2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State
25 February 2023
Registered2,698,344
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Niger State is a large, diverse state in the North Central with agricultural and energy potential but facing a debilitated health sector and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state with added fears of ISWAP encroachment.[2][3]

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were a solidification of the control of the state APC. In federal elections, Buhari retained the state presidentially while the APC swept all three senate seats and ten House of Representatives seats. On the state level, the party also held the governorship and kept the majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 17% 25% 6% 13% – 21% 7% 11%
Nextier
(Niger crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 26.1% 4.5% 2.3% 55.7% 3.4% 8.0% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Niger crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 13% 14% 3% 47% 1% 21% – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][4] Tossup 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][5]
Tinubu: 47.59% 11 February 2023
Obi: 16.94%
Abubakar: 20.88%
Others: 14.58%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][6]		 Abubakar 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][7] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][8]
Tinubu: 35% 27 December 2022
Obi: 10%
Kwankwaso: 10%
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][9][10] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Niger State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Niger East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Niger North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Niger South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Agaie/Lapai Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Agwara/Borgu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bida/Gbako/Katcha Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bosso/Paikoro Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Chanchaga Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Gurara/Suleja/Tafa Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kontagora/Wushishi/Mariga/Mashegu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Lavun/Mokwa/Edati Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Magama/Rijau Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Shiroro/Rafi/Munya Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Agaie TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Agwara TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bida TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Borgu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bosso TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Chanchaga TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Edati TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gbako TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gurara TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Katcha TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kontagora 20,032 48.00% 2,832 6.78% 3,847 9.22% 14,248 34.14% 776 1.86% 41,735 31.73%
Lapai TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Lavun TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Magama TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mariga TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mashegu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mokwa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Munya TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Paikoro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Rafi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Rijau TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Shiroro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Suleja TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tafa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Wushishi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Bosso, Chanchaga, Munya, Paikoro, Rafi, Shiroro, Suleja, Tafa, and Gurara.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Agwara, Borgu, Kontagora, Magama, Mariga, Mashegu, Rijau, and Wushishi.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Agaie, Bida, Edati, Gbako, Katcha, Lapai, Lavun, and Mokwa.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Agaie and Lapai.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Agwara and Borgu.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Bida, Gbako, and Katcha.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Bosso and Paikoro.
  14. Comprising the local government area of Chanchaga.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Gurara, Suleja, and Tafa.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Kontagora, Mashegu, Mariga, and Wushishi.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Edati, Lavun, and Mokwa.
  18. Comprising the local government areas of Magama and Rijau.
  19. Comprising the local government areas of Munya, Rafi, and Shiroro.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. "Bandits Occupy 12 Of 25 Local Government Areas In Niger State, Governor Laments". Sahara Reporters. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
  3. Olaniyi, Muideen (18 January 2022). "Sani Bello: Niger Has Recorded 50 Attacks, Lost 220 Lives In January Alone". Daily Trust. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
  4. Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  5. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  6. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  7. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  8. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  9. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  10. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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