2023 Nigerian presidential election in Adamawa State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Adamawa State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Adamawa State
25 February 2023
Registered2,196,566
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Adamawa State is a large, diverse northeastern state in the process of recovering from the worst of the Boko Haram insurgency. The state also has to contend with an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector and low education rates along with continued security challenges from Boko Haram and ISWAP to sustained conflict between herders and farmers.

Politically, the 2019 Adamawa elections were a swing back to the PDP as its presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state back from Buhari and Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri unseated APC Governor Bindo Jibrilla. Legislatively the PDP also gained ground, winning two Senate seats, five House of Representatives seats, and control of the House of Assembly.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 17% 7% 2% 44% – 24% 2% 4%
Nextier
(Adamawa crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 33.8% 30.8% 6.3% 29.2% – – – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Adamawa crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 9% 11% – 76% 5% – – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Safe Abubakar 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 24.51% 11 February 2023
Obi: 20.60%
Abubakar: 37.55%
Others: 17.34%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Abubakar 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Abubakar 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 20% 27 December 2022
Obi: 10%
Kwankwaso: 5%
Abubakar: 60%
Others/Undecided: 5%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Adamawa State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Adamawa Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Adamawa North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Adamawa South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Demsa/Numan/Lamurde Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Fufore/Song Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Gombi/Hong Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Guyuk/Shelleng Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Madagali/Michika Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Maiha/Mubi North/Mubi South Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Mayo Belwa/Ganye/Toungo/Jada Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Yola North/Yola South/Girei Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Demsa[9][10] 5,746 17.89% 7,962 24.80% 199 0.62% 17,166 53.46% 1,037 3.23% 32,110 34.80%
Fufore[11][12] 12,633 31.03% 897 2.2% 508 1.25% 26,059 64.01% 615 1.51% 40,712 32.88%
Ganye[13][14] 10,112 29.93% 1,069 3.16% 191 0.57% 21,672 64.15% 739 2.19% 33,783 34.76%
Girei[15][16] 8,531 27.89% 3,748 12.25% 254 0.83% 17,557 57.40% 500 1.63% 30,590 37.17%
Gombi[17] 8,341  % 2,628  % 541  % 21,744  % TBD  % TBD  %
Guyuk[18][19] 5,904 20.56% 8,165 28.43% 91 0.32% 13,942 48.55% 615 2.14% 28,717  %
Jada[20] 8,479  % 984  % 186  % 28,561  % TBD  % TBD  %
Lamurde[21][22] 3,645 15.05% 9,744 40.24% 188 0.78% 9,912 40.94% 724 2.99% 24,213 38.90%
Madagali[23] 4,935  % 4,034  % 201  % 18,077  % TBD  % TBD  %
Maiha[24] 7,335  % 440  % 146  % 14,088  % TBD  % TBD  %
Michika[25] 7,062  % 6,047  % 177  % 28,328  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mubi North[26] 10,078  % 12,261  % 1,253  % 21,528  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mubi South[27] 9,399  % 2,936  % 519  % 15,463  % TBD  % TBD  %
Numan[28][29] 5,115  % 10,229  % 168  % 8,984  % TBD  % TBD  %
Shelleng[30] 6,213 27.64% 1,028 4.57% 69 0.31% 14,765 65.67% 407 1.81% 22,482  %
Song[31][32] 10,993 26.05% 8,506 20.16 1,223 2.90% 20,406 48.36% 1,065 2.53% 42,193 39.97%
Toungo[33][34] 4,163  % 651  % 59  % 7,401  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yola North[35] 15,885  % 9,925  % 584  % 32,136  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yola South[36] 13,552 27.08% 3,469 6.93% 379 0.76% 31,774 63.49% 873 1.74% 50,047 32.68%
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Fufore, Girei, Gombi, Hong, Song, Yola North, and Yola South.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Madagali, Maiha, Michika, Mubi North, and Mubi South.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Demsa, Ganye, Guyuk, Jada, Lamurde, Mayo-Belwa, Numan, Shelleng, and Toungo.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Demsa, Numan, and Lamurde.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Fufore and Song.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Gombi and Hong.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Guyuk and Shelleng.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Madagali and Michika.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Maiha, Mubi North, and Mubi South.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Mayo-Belwa, Ganye, Toungo, and Jada.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Yola North, Yola South, and Girei.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Demsa LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "DEMSA LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  11. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Fufore LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "FUFORE LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  13. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Ganye LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  14. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "GANYE LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  15. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Girei LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  16. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "GIREI LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  17. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "GOMBI LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  18. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Guyuk LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  19. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "GUYUK LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  20. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "JADA LGA (ATIKU ABUBAKAR'S HOMETOWN)" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Lamurde LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "Lamurde LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  23. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "MADAGALI LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  24. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "And we're back on. MAIHA LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  25. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "MICHIKA LGA, Adamawa state" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  26. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "MUBI NORTH LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  27. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "MUBI SOUTH LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  28. TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PETER OBI WINS LGA IN ADAMAWA PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Numan LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  29. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "NUMAN LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  30. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Shelleng LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  31. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Song LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  32. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "SONG LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  33. TheCable [@thecableng] (27 February 2023). "Toungo LGA, Adamawa" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  34. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "TUNGO[sic] LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  35. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (27 February 2023). "YOLA NORTH LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  36. Yemisi Adegoke [@briticoyemo] (26 February 2023). "YOLA SOUTH" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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