2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kebbi State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kebbi State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kebbi State
25 February 2023
Registered2,032,041
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Kebbi State is a diverse, northwestern state with a growing economy but is facing rising insecurity and desertification. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and incumbent Governor Abubakar Atiku Bagudu won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 27% 1% 3% 41% – 21% 3% 3%
Nextier
(Kebbi crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 34.8% 10.1% – 49.3% 1.4% 4.3% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Kebbi crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 28% 30% 2% 35% – 5% – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Lean Abubakar 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 42.87% 11 February 2023
Obi: 7.91%
Abubakar: 42.87%
Others: 6.36%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Abubakar 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Too close to call 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 35% 27 December 2022
Obi: –
Kwankwaso: 20%
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kebbi State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Kebbi Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kebbi North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kebbi South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Aleiro/Gwandu/Jega Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Arewa/Dandi Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Argungu/Augie Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bagudo/Suru Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bunza/Birnin Kebbi/Kalgo Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Fakai/Sakaba/Wasagu/Danko/Zuru Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Koko-Besse/Maiyama Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ngaski/Shanga/Yauri Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Aleiro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Arewa Dandi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Argungu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Augie TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bagudo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Birnin Kebbi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bunza TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dandi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Fakai TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gwandu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Jega TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kalgo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Koko/Besse TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Maiyama TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ngaski TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sakaba TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Shanga TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Suru TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Wasagu/Danko TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yauri TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Zuru TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Aliero, Birnin Kebbi, Bunza, Gwandu, Kalgo, Koko/Besse, and Maiyama.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Arewa Dandi, Argungu, Augie, Bagudo, Dandi, Jega, and Suru.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Fakai, Ngaski, Sakaba, Shanga, Wasagu/Danko, Yauri, and Zuru.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Aleiro, Gwandu, and Jega.
  11. Comprising the local government area of Arewa Dandi.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Argungu and Augie.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Bagudo and Suru.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Birnin Kebbi, Bunza, and Kalgo.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Fakai, Sakaba, Wasagu/Danko, and Zuru.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Koko/Besse and Maiyama.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Ngaski, Shanga, and Yauri.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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