2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State
25 February 2023
Registered2,501,081
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Edo State is a diverse state in the South South; politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the state's competitiveness as PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state by 1% and the party won two senate seats. However, the APC won five of nine House of Representatives seats and a majority in the House of Assembly. The next year, incumbent Governor Godwin Obaseki defected from the APC to the PDP before winning re-election by over 15%.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 3% 64% 5% 5% – 11% 9% 5%
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 15% 56% 0% 5% – 4% 5% 2%
Nextier
(Edo crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 2.6% 76.9% – 9.0% 1.3% 10.3% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Edo crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 3% 61% – 10% 2% 23% – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Likely Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 25.14% 11 February 2023
Obi: 31.46%
Abubakar: 25.14%
Others: 18.25%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Obi 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 15% 27 December 2022
Obi: 35%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Edo Central
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Edo North
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Edo South
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Akoko-Edo
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Egor/Ikpoba-Okha
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Esan Central/Esan West/Igueben
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Esan North East/Esan South East
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Etsako East/Etsako West/Etsako Central
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Oredo
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Orhionmwon/Uhunmwonde
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ovia North East/Ovia South West
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Owan East/Owan West
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes		 Turnout
Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Akoko Edo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Egor TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Esan Central TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Esan North-East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Esan South-East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Esan West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Etsako Central TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Etsako East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Etsako West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Igueben TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ikpoba Okha TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Oredo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Orhionmwon TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ovia North-East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ovia South-West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Owan East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Owan West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Uhunmwonde TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Esan Central, Esan North-East, Esan South-East, Esan West, and Igueben.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Akoko Edo, Etsako Central, Etsako East, Etsako West, Owan East, and Owan West.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Egor, Ikpoba Okha, Oredo, Orhionmwon, Ovia North-East, Ovia South-West, and Uhunmwonde.
  10. Comprising the local government area of Akoko Edo.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Egor and Ikpoba Okha.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Esan Central, Esan West, and Igueben.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Esan North-East and Esan South-East.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Etsako Central, Etsako East, and Etsako West.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Oredo.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Orhionmwon and Uhunmwonde.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Ovia North-East and Ovia South-West.
  18. Comprising the local government areas of Owan East and Owan West.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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