2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State
	25 February 2023
Registered	2,172,056
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari; APC	Elected President ; TBD;

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Sokoto State is a large northwestern state with agricultural and energy potential but facing a debilitated health sector, low education rates, and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, religious riots, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state.

Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a swing back towards the PDP. Although Buhari won the state again (by 15%), Sokoto was the state that swung the most towards the PDP in the presidential election; legislatively, the PDP held its one Senate seat after a court ruling and won four House of Representatives seats after the APC won all legislative seats in 2015. Statewise, incumbent Governor Aminu Tambuwal won re-election by about 300 votes while the APC won a narrow majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	32%	4%	2%	30%	–	23%	5%	3%
Nextier (Sokoto crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	18.2%	5.2%	9.1%	18.2%	–	6.5%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Sokoto crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	16%	38%	5%	23%	6%	11%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2]	Likely Abubakar		24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
	Tinubu:	28.49%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	8.32%
	Abubakar:	56.89%
	Others:	6.31%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]	Abubakar		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5]	Abubakar		15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
	Tinubu:	35%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	–
	Kwankwaso:	15%
	Abubakar:	40%
	Others/Undecided:	10%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8]	Battleground		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	NNPP	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes
Senatorial District	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Total Valid Votes
Sokoto East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Sokoto North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Sokoto South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes
Federal Constituency	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Total Valid Votes
Binji/Silame Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dange-Shuni/Bodinga/Tureta Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Goronyo/Gada Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Illela/Gwadabawa Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Isa/Sabon Birni Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kebbe/Tambuwal Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kware/Wamakko Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Sokoto North/Sokoto South Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Tangaza/Gudu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Wurno/Rabah Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Yabo/Shagari Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 20]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA	Bola Tinubu APC		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Others		Total Valid Votes	Turnout Percentage
LGA	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Votes	Percentage	Total Valid Votes	Turnout Percentage
Binji	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bodinga	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dange Shuni	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gada	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Goronyo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gudu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Gwadabawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Illela	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Isa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kebbe	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kware	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rabah	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sabon Birni	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Shagari	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Silame	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sokoto North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sokoto South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tambuwal	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tangaza	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tureta	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Wamako	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Wurno	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Yabo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

Notes

Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
Comprising the local government areas of Gada, Goronyo, Gwadabawa, Illela, Isa, Rabah, Sabon Birni, and Wurno.
Comprising the local government areas of Binji, Gudu, Kware, Silame, Sokoto North, Sokoto South, Tangaza, and Wamako.
Comprising the local government areas of Bodinga, Dange Shuni, Kebbe, Shagari, Tambuwal, Tureta, and Yabo.
Comprising the local government areas of Binji and Silame.
Comprising the local government areas of Bodinga, Dange Shuni, and Tureta.
Comprising the local government areas of Gada and Goronyo.
Comprising the local government areas of Gwadabawa and Illela.
Comprising the local government areas of Isa and Sabon Birni.
Comprising the local government areas of Kebbe and Tambuwal.
Comprising the local government areas of Kware and Wamako.
Comprising the local government areas of Sokoto North and Sokoto South.
Comprising the local government areas of Gudu and Tangaza.
Comprising the local government areas of Rabah and Wurno.
Comprising the local government areas of Shagari and Yabo.

References

Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
"President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
"The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
"Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
"THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

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[2] Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[4] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[6] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[8] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[10] ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[12] The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[15] Comprising the local government areas of Gada, Goronyo, Gwadabawa, Illela, Isa, Rabah, Sabon Birni, and Wurno.

[16] Comprising the local government areas of Binji, Gudu, Kware, Silame, Sokoto North, Sokoto South, Tangaza, and Wamako.

[17] Comprising the local government areas of Bodinga, Dange Shuni, Kebbe, Shagari, Tambuwal, Tureta, and Yabo.

[18] Comprising the local government areas of Binji and Silame.

[19] Comprising the local government areas of Bodinga, Dange Shuni, and Tureta.

[20] Comprising the local government areas of Gada and Goronyo.

[21] Comprising the local government areas of Gwadabawa and Illela.

[22] Comprising the local government areas of Isa and Sabon Birni.

[23] Comprising the local government areas of Kebbe and Tambuwal.

[24] Comprising the local government areas of Kware and Wamako.

[25] Comprising the local government areas of Sokoto North and Sokoto South.

[26] Comprising the local government areas of Gudu and Tangaza.

[27] Comprising the local government areas of Rabah and Wurno.

[28] Comprising the local government areas of Shagari and Yabo.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-3] Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-5] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-7] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[9] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[ThisDay_December_projections-11] "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-13] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[14] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

(2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara