2023 Nigerian presidential election in Delta State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Delta State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Delta State
25 February 2023
Registered3,221,697
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Delta State is a diverse state in the South South; although its oil reserves make it one of the most wealthy states in the nation, Delta has faced challenges in frequent oil spills, environmental degradation, and cult violence in large part due to years of systemic corruption. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the PDP's control as Governor Ifeanyi Okowa won with over 80% of the vote and the party won a majority in the House of Assembly along with holding two senate seats. For the federal House, the PDP won back one seat lost from a defection but the seat of a different defector from the PDP went to the APC leaving the total results at 9 PDP, 1 APC. Although the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar, it still swung towards Buhari compared to 2015 and had much lower turnout.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 4% 68% 4% 10% – 6% 3% 4%
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 10% 40% 4% 15% – 9% 7% 16%
Nextier
(Delta crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 2.3% 65.9% – 30.7% – 1.1% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Delta crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 5% 56% – 9% – 30% – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Tossup 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 15.99% 11 February 2023
Obi: 57.94%
Abubakar: 20.84%
Others: 5.23%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Abubakar 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 15% 27 December 2022
Obi: 30%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 40%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Abubakar 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Delta State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Delta Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Delta North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Delta South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Aniocha/Oshimili Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bomadi/Patani Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Burutu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ethiope East/Ethiope West Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ika North East/Ika South Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Isoko South/Isoko North Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Okpe/Sapele/Uvwie Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ndokwa East/Ndokwa West/Ukwuani Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ughelli North/Ughelli South/Udu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Warri North/Warri South/Warri South West Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Aniocha North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Aniocha South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bomadi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Burutu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ethiope East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ethiope West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ika North East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ika South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Isoko North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Isoko South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ndokwa East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ndokwa West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Oshimili North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Oshimili South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Patani TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sapele TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Udu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ughelli North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ughelli South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ukwuani TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Uvwie TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Warri North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Warri South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Warri South West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Ethiope East, Ethiope West, Sapele, Okpe, Udu, Ughelli North, Ughelli South, and Uvwie.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Aniocha North, Aniocha South, Ika North East, Ika South, Ndokwa East, Ndokwa West, Oshimili South, Oshimili North, and Ukwuani.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Bomadi, Burutu, Isoko North, Isoko South, Patani, Warri North, Warri South, and Warri South West.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Aniocha North, Aniocha South, Oshimili North, and Oshimili South.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Bomadi and Patani.
  12. Comprising the local government area of Burutu.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Ethiope East and Ethiope West.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Ika North East and Ika South.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Isoko North and Isoko South.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Okpe, Sapele, and Uvwie.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Ndokwa East, Ndokwa West, and Ukwuani.
  18. Comprising the local government areas of Udu, Ughelli North, and Ughelli South.
  19. Comprising the local government areas of Warri North, Warri South, and Warri South West.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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