2023 Nigerian presidential election in Rivers State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Rivers State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Rivers State
25 February 2023
Registered3,537,190
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party NNPP PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

Background

Rivers State is a highly populated, diverse state in the South South with major oil and natural gas reserves along with industrial centres. Despite its vast oil revenues, the state has several major issues with pirates and illegal oil bunkering gangs in riverine areas while urban areas have overcrowding and intense environmental pollution.[2][3][4][5]

The 2019 Rivers elections were a continuation of the state PDP's control as the state APC's inability to hold valid primaries led to its disqualification by a court. PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state by 50% and the party gained all three senate seats while also sweeping the House of Representatives elections. On the state level, the PDP also retained its House of Assembly majority and incumbent Governor Nyesom Wike won the gubernatorial election by a wide margin.

Polling
Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 2% 88% 2% 3% – 2% 2% 0%
Nextier
(Rivers crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 7.7% 77.8% 0.9% 11.1% – 2.6% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Rivers crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 9% 65% 1% 18% 6% 2% – –

Projections
Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][6] Likely Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][7]
Tinubu: 14.49% 11 February 2023
Obi: 62.46%
Abubakar: 19.27%
Others: 3.83%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][8]		 Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][9] Abubakar 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][10]
Tinubu: 10% 27 December 2022
Obi: 35%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 15%
Others/Undecided: 40%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][11][12] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results
2023 Nigerian presidential election in Rivers State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
NNPP Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Rivers East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Rivers South East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Rivers West Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Abua/Odua/Ahoada East Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ahoada West/Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Akuku Toru/Asari Toru Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Andoni/Opobo/Nkoro Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Degema/Bonny Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Eleme/Oyigbo/Tai Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Etche/Omuma Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ikwerre/Emohua Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Khana/Gokana Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Obio/Akpor Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Okrika/Ogu/Bolo Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 20] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Port Harcourt I Federal Constituency
and Port Harcourt II Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 21][lower-alpha 22] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Abua–Odual TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ahoada East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ahoada West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Akuku-Toru TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Andoni TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Asari-Toru TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bonny TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Degema TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Eleme TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Emohua TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Etche TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gokana TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ikwerre TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Khana TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Obio-Akpor TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ogba–Egbema–Ndoni TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ogu–Bolo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Okrika TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Omuma TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Opobo–Nkoro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Oyigbo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Port Harcourt TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tai TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes
  1. Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Emohua, Etche, Ikwerre, Obio-Akpor, Ogu–Bolo, Okrika, Omuma, and Port Harcourt.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Andoni, Eleme, Gokana, Khana, Opobo–Nkoro, Oyigbo, and Tai.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Abua–Odual, Ahoada East, Ahoada West, Akuku-Toru, Asari-Toru, Bonny, Degema, and Ogba–Egbema–Ndoni.
  10. Comprising the local government areas of Abua–Odual and Ahoada East.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Ahoada East and Ogba–Egbema–Ndoni.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Akuku-Toru and Asari-Toru.
  13. Comprising the local government areas of Andoni and Opobo–Nkoro.
  14. Comprising the local government areas of Bonny and Degema.
  15. Comprising the local government areas of Eleme, Oyigbo, and Tai.
  16. Comprising the local government areas of Etche and Omuma.
  17. Comprising the local government areas of Emohua and Ikwerre.
  18. Comprising the local government areas of Gokana and Khana.
  19. Comprising the local government area of Obio-Akpor.
  20. Comprising the local government areas of Ogu–Bolo and Okrika.
  21. Together comprising the local government area of Port Harcourt.
  22. These two constituencies are within a single LGA. As this table does not differentiate between intra-LGA results, these figures are for the entire LGA which is the same as the data for both constituencies.

References
  1. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. Igonikon, Karina (4 November 2019). "Maritime workers protest sea pirates attacks for Rivers State". BBC Pidgin (in Nigerian Pidgin). Port Harcourt. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  3. Onukwue, Alexander (25 April 2022). "Nigeria's illegal oil refineries keep killing people". Quartz. Retrieved 16 May 2022.
  4. Naku, Dennis (12 March 2022). "Security agencies fully involved in illegal bunkering – Wike". The Punch. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  5. Igonikon, Karina (2 February 2022). "Soot in Port Harcourt: Wetin don hapun afta Rivers state Governor Nyesom Wike declare war against kpo fire operators?". BBC Pidgin (in Nigerian Pidgin). Port Harcourt. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  6. Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  7. "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  8. "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  10. "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  11. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  12. Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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