2023 Kogi State gubernatorial election

The 2023 Kogi State gubernatorial election will take place on 11 November 2023 to elect the Governor of Kogi State.[1] Incumbent APC Governor Yahaya Bello is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third term. The primaries are scheduled for between 27 March and 17 April 2022.

2023 Kogi State gubernatorial election
11 November 2023
 
Party APC PDP
Governor before election

Yahaya Bello
APC

 Elected Governor

TBD

Electoral system

The Governor of Kogi State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.

Background

Kogi State is a diverse state in the North Central with a large number of mineral resources but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, deforestation, and low vaccination rates.

Politically, the state's early 2019 elections were described by a swing towards the APC as the party was mainly successful, unseating almost all PDP senators and house members to sweep most House of Representatives and two senate seats as the state was won by APC presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari with over 54%. The House of Assembly election also was a win for the APC as the party won every seat in the assembly. The November election ended similarly with Bello winning election to a second term and the APC gained a senate seat in a rerun election; however, both elections were riddled with irregularities and electoral violence.

In Bello's second inaugural address in 2020, he declared that his second term would highlight agricultural development, increasing employment, and improving the state's revenue.[2] Performance-wise, Bello was commended for gender inclusion in his cabinet[3] but his term was immensely controversial as he was criticized for inciting electoral violence,[4] autocratic actions,[5] lies about COVID-19 and vaccines,[6][7][8][9] and further corruption allegations.[10][11][12][13][14]

Primary elections

The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, will take place between 27 March and 17 April 2022.[1] While no formal zoning agreement is in place, groups from Kogi West Senatorial District (specifically some groups representing the Okun people) have called for the governorship to be zoned to their district with the justification of no elected governor having come from Kogi West beforehand.[15][16] On the other hand, groups from Kogi Central Senatorial District (specifically some groups representing the Ebira people) are pushing for the office to be retained by their district by claiming that Kogi East Senatorial District held the office for over four terms and thus Kogi Central should as well.[17][18][19]

All Progressives Congress

Ahead of the APC primary, major questions were asked about which candidate would receive the endorsement of Bello to be his successor. However, after the May 2022 primary for federal positions resulted in several losses for Bello loyalists, new questions emerged over Bello's waning control of the state party.[20]

In February 2022, the national APC announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦10 million and nomination form price at ₦40 million with a 50% nomination form discount for candidates younger than 40 while women and candidates with disabilities get free nomination forms. Both primary forms were sold from 14 to 22 February 2023. The form submission deadline was set for 22 February while candidates would be screened between 24 and 26 February. Ward congresses were set for 8 April in Bayelsa and Imo states to elect delegates for the primary while the Kogi congresses had been held on 8 February. Candidates approved by the screening process advanced to a primary set for 10 April, in concurrence with the other APC gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result could be made on 12 April.[21]

Purchased forms

Declared

Potential

Emerged Winner

Ahmed Usman Ododo won the election and emerged flagbearer of the party for the election.

People's Democratic Party
On 1 December 2022, the national PDP announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule. Both primary forms—the expression of interest and nomination forms—were sold from 16 to 31 January 2023, aside from Kogi State where the deadline was later extended to 13 February. Similarly, all form submission deadlines were pushed back from 13 February to 1 March. Ward congresses were set for 28-29 March and LGA congresses were rescheduled for 8 April to elect delegates for the primary. Candidates approved by the screening process advanced to a primary set for 14-15 May, in concurrence with all other PDP gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result could be made in the following days.[31]

Purchased forms

Potential

Emerged Winner

Dino Melaye won the election and emerged flagbearer of the party.


Conduct

Electoral timetable

On 25 October 2022, the Independent National Electoral Commission released the timetable, setting out key dates and deadlines for the election.[33][34]

  • 14 November 2022 – Publication of Notice of Election
  • 27 March 2023 – First day for the conduct of party primaries
  • 17 April 2023 – Final day for the conduct of party primaries, including the resolution of disputes arising from them
  • 24 April 2023 – First day for submission of nomination forms to INEC via the online portal
  • 5 May 2023 – Final day for submission of nomination forms to INEC via the online portal
  • 9 June 2023 – Publication of final nominee list
  • 14 June 2023 – Commencement of the official campaign period
  • 9 November 2023 – Final day of the official campaign period

General election

Results
2023 Kogi State gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
A
AA
ADP
APP
AAC
ADC
APM
APC
APGA
BP
LP
NNPP
NRM
PDP
PRP
SDP
YPP
ZLP
Total votes 100.00%
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District TBD
APC		 TBD
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Kogi Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 1] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kogi East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 2] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kogi West Senatorial District[lower-alpha 3] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency TBD
APC		 TBD
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Adavi/Okehi Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 4] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ajaokuta Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 5] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ankpa/Omala/Olamaboro Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 6] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bassa/Dekina Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ibaji/Idah/Igalamela/Odolu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kabba/Bunu/Ijumu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Lokoja Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Okene/Ogori-Magogo Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Yagba East/Yagba West/Mopamuro Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA TBD
APC		 TBD
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Adavi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ajaokuta TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ankpa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bassa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dekina TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ibaji TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Idah TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Igalamela-Odolu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ijumu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kabba/Bunu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kogi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Lokoja TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mopa-Muro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ofu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Okehi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Okene TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Olamaboro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Omala TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yagba East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yagba West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

Notes
  1. Comprising the local government areas of Adavi, Ajaokuta, Okehi, Okene, and Ogori/Magongo.
  2. Comprising the local government areas of Ankpa, Bassa, Dekina, Ibaji, Idah, Igalamela-Odolu, Ofu, Olamaboro, and Omala.
  3. Comprising the local government areas of Ijumu, Kabba/Bunu, Kogi, Lokoja, Mopa Muro, Yagba East, Yagba West.
  4. Comprising the local government areas of Adavi and Okehi.
  5. Comprising the local government area of Ajaokuta.
  6. Comprising the local government areas of Ankpa, Olamaboro, and Omala.
  7. Comprising the local government areas of Bassa and Dekina.
  8. Comprising the local government areas of Ibaji, Idah, and Igalamela-Odolu.
  9. Comprising the local government areas of Ijumu and Kabba/Bunu.
  10. Comprising the local government area of Lokoja.
  11. Comprising the local government areas of Ogori/Magongo and Okene.
  12. Comprising the local government areas of Mopa-Muro, Yagba East, and Yagba West.

See also

References
  1. Adenekan, Samson. "INEC releases date for Bayelsa, Imo, Kogi off-cycle governorship elections". Premium Times. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  2. Akubo, John; Obansa, Ibrahim (28 January 2020). "Yahaya Bello takes oath of office, urges support". The Guardian. Abuja and Lokoja. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  3. Lawal, Ahmid. "Liberian VP lauds Bello for surpassing 35% gender inclusion". Blueprint Newspaper. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  4. Olatunji, Haleem. "Gov poll: Yahaya Bello takes violence-charged 'ta-ta-ta-ta chant' to Ondo". TheCable. Retrieved 6 September 2021.
  5. "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, FEBRUARY, 2020: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 18 April 2022. We recall that Bello, in the desperation to expel Achuba from his government, failed to respect the rule of law, especially the no guilty verdict returned by the seven-man committee constituted by the state Chief Judge Justice Nasir Ajana to investigate the former deputy governor.
  6. "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, MARCH, 2020: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 18 April 2022. Yahaya Bello of Kogi State gets a bottom five mention on account of some reckless pronouncements regarding measures the state government was taking to control the spread of the coronavirus.
  7. "NIGERIAN GOVERNORS: Fumbling, wobbling dominate June 2020 performance". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 18 April 2022. The continued denial of the presence of the COVID-19 pandemic in Kogi State by Governor Yahaya Bello has confounded even the worst of skeptics in the land. This denial has become the past time of the governor despite confirmation of cases of the virus in the state by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC). Apart from the consistent denial, Governor Bello has also continued to cast doubts on the reality of the pandemic in the country, claiming it was an artificial creation meant to drive fear and panic in the minds of the public. It is regrettable that because of this, the average man in the state continues to live in denial of the pandemic.
  8. Onyeji, Ebuka. "COVID-19: Governor Yahaya Bello makes 'false' claims about 'mass testing' in Kogi". Premium Times. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  9. Ufuoma, Vincent. "NGF distances self from comments made by Yahaya Bello on COVID-19 vaccines". International Centre for Investigative Reporting. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  10. Princewill, Nimi. "Gov. Bello allocates suspicious N9bn for COVID-19 while denying virus exists". Peoples Gazette. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  11. Olufemi, Alfred. "INVESTIGATION: Kogi govt spent N90 million on a N300,000 software". Premium Times. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  12. Joshua, Benneth. "Civil Society Groups, PDP, Others Want Yahaya Bello Prosecuted Over Alleged Diversion of N300 Billion". The Whistler. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  13. Olufemi, Alfred. "INVESTIGATION: Kogi farmers excluded from billions of naira 'spent' on COVID-19 recovery". Premium Times. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  14. "N20bn Bailout Loan: Court freezes Kogi govt's account". Premium Times. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  15. Iroanusi, QueenEsther. "2023: Kogi West Elders demand governorship seat, reject deputy position". Premium Times. Retrieved 13 September 2021.
  16. "We've Been Marginalised For Over 30 Years — Kogi West Residents Seek To Clinch 2023 Governorship". Sahara Reporters. Retrieved 13 September 2021.
  17. Omololu Agbana, Ralph. "Kogi 2023: Possibilities, speculations and manipulations". The Guardian. Retrieved 25 November 2021.
  18. Agbana, Ralph (19 April 2022). "Kogi West demands complete power shift come 2023". The Guardian. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  19. Agbana, Ralph. "Kogi guber 2023: Politicians eyeing Bello's seat". The Guardian. Retrieved 6 May 2022.
  20. "POST-MORTEM: 47 votes from 63 delegates — is Yahaya Bello losing grip of Kogi APC?". TheCable. Retrieved 24 June 2022.
  21. APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (February 17, 2023). "APC RELEASES TIMETABLE AND SCHEDULE OF ACTIVITIES FOR 2023 GOVERNORSHIP ELECTIONS IN IMO, KOGI AND BAYELSA STATES" (Tweet). Retrieved 17 February 2023 – via Twitter.
  22. Mudashir, Ismail; Salau, Abdullateef. "10 Senators Eyeing Gov'ship Seats In 2023". Daily Trust. Retrieved 10 July 2021.
  23. Akinsuyi, Temidayo. "2023: Yahaya Bello Okays Smart Adeyemi As Successor". Independent Nigeria. Retrieved 11 July 2021.
  24. Oluokun, Ayorinde. "Group warns Igala politicians working against power shift to Kogi East". P.M. News. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
  25. Agba, George. "Yahaya Bello's Chief Of Staff Joins Kogi Guber Race". Leadership. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  26. Folorunsho-Francis, Adebayo. "Yahaya Bello's commissioner, auditor general join Kogi governorship race". The Punch. Retrieved 20 February 2023.
  27. Adeuyi, Seun. "Kogi: Friends, Associates Pick APC Governorship Form For Momoh Jibril". Daily Trust. Retrieved 23 February 2023.
  28. Agba, George. "Ex-REA Executive Director Joins Kogi Guber Race". Leadership. Retrieved 23 February 2023.
  29. "Kogi Guber Race: Senator Oseni Picks Intent, Nomination Forms". Kogi Reports. Retrieved 24 March 2023.
  30. "2023 Kogi Gov'ship: Akanmode Promises To Bridge Disconnect Between Govt And People". Kogi Reports. Retrieved 24 June 2022.
  31. Odunsi, Wale. "PDP postpones screening date for Bayelsa, Imo, Kogi governorship aspirants". Daily Post. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  32. Akinfehinwa, John. "2023 guber poll: Kogi ex-Deputy Gov, Awoniyi picks PDP nomination form". Daily Post. Retrieved 6 February 2023.
  33. Adenekan, Samson. "INEC releases date for Bayelsa, Imo, Kogi off-cycle governorship elections". Premium Times. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  34. INEC Nigeria [@inecnigeria] (October 25, 2022). "Release of Timetable and Schedule of Activities for Bayelsa, Imo and Kogi Governorship Elections" (Tweet). Retrieved 26 October 2022 – via Twitter.
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