2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ekiti State
The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ekiti State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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| Registered | 987,647 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 31.84% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results Tinubu: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Bola Tinubu—the nominee of the All Progressives Congress—ultimately won the state by over 110,000 votes, a 36% margin, over runner-up Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party.[2] The other two major contenders, Peter Obi (Labour Party) and Rabiu Kwankwaso (New Nigeria Peoples Party), trailed with just 3.7% and 0.09%, respectively.[2]
Background
Ekiti State is a small, Yoruba-majority southwestern state with vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, high unemployment, and rising debt. The state also has to contend with insecurity with abated, but still present, conflict between herders and farmers in the state's rural areas.[3]
The state's 2019 elections categorized by a massive swing to the APC as its presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari won the state back after the PDP had won it in 2015. Legislatively the APC also gained ground, winning all two Senate seats, all six House of Representatives seats, and control of the House of Assembly. Two years later, Abiodun Oyebanji retained the gubernatorial office for the APC, winning with 53% of the vote.[4]
Polling
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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 |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 31% | 14% | 0% | 5% | – | 36% | 8% | 6% |
| Nextier (Ekiti crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 22.4% | 36.2% | 6.9% | 34.5% | – | – | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Ekiti crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 56% | 9% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 15% | – | – |
Projections
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][5] | Safe Tinubu | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 38.33% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 33.52% | ||
| Abubakar: | 15.47% | ||
| Others: | 12.62% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][7] |
Tinubu | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][8] | Tinubu | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][9] | |||
| Tinubu: | 45% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 10% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 20% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 20% | ||
| The Nation[lower-alpha 6][10][11] | Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
Results
Candidates' vote share
Other candidates (1.77%)
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | Bola Tinubu | 201,486 | 65.38% | |
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | 89,554 | 29.06% | |
| LP | Peter Obi | 11,397 | 3.70% | |
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | 2,011 | 0.65% | |
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | 1,337 | 0.43% | |
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | 737 | 0.24% | |
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | 460 | 0.15% | |
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | 268 | 0.09% | |
| NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso | 264 | 0.09% | |
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | 131 | 0.04% | |
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | 108 | 0.04% | |
| APP | Osita Nnadi | 91 | 0.03% | |
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | 81 | 0.03% | |
| A | Christopher Imumolen | 69 | 0.02% | |
| PRP | Kola Abiola | 48 | 0.02% | |
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | 46 | 0.01% | |
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | 46 | 0.01% | |
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | 29 | 0.01% | |
| Total votes | 308,171 | 100.00% | ||
| Invalid or blank votes | 6,301 | N/A | ||
| Turnout | 314,472 | 31.84% | ||
By senatorial district
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||
| Ekiti Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] | 76,033 | 68.36% | 5,918 | 5.32% | 128 | 0.12% | 26,254 | 23.61% | 2,886 | 2.59% | 111,219 |
| Ekiti North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] | 58,499 | 61.07% | 2,547 | 2.66% | 59 | 0.06% | 33,326 | 34.79% | 1,355 | 1.41% | 95,786 |
| Ekiti South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] | 58,795 | 65.83% | 2,467 | 2.76% | 61 | 0.07% | 26,939 | 30.16% | 1,046 | 1.17% | 89,308 |
| Totals | 201,486 | 65.38% | 11,397 | 3.70% | 264 | 0.09% | 89,554 | 29.06% | 5470 | 1.77% | 308,171 |
By federal constituency
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||
| Ado Ekiti/Irepodun-Ifelodun Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] | 43,016 | 67.75% | 5,029 | 7.92% | 111 | 0.17% | 13,684 | 21.55% | 1,650 | 2.60% | 63,490 |
| Ekiti South West/Ikere/Ise/Orun Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] | 34,408 | 66.24% | 1,847 | 3.56% | 43 | 0.08% | 14,979 | 28.84% | 668 | 1.29% | 51,945 |
| Emure/Gbonyin/Ekiti East Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] | 32,546 | 66.12% | 1,085 | 2.20% | 32 | 0.07% | 14,995 | 30.46% | 8,877 | 1.14% | 49,221 |
| Ido/Osi, Moba/Ilejemeje Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] | 28,562 | 61.98% | 1,125 | 2.44% | 28 | 0.06% | 15,985 | 34.69% | 382 | 0.83% | 46,082 |
| Ijero/Ekiti West/Efon Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] | 33,017 | 69.18% | 889 | 1.86% | 17 | 0.04% | 12,570 | 26.34% | 1,236 | 2.59% | 47,729 |
| Ikole/Oye Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] | 29,937 | 60.23% | 1,422 | 2.86% | 31 | 0.06% | 17,341 | 34.89% | 973 | 1.96% | 49,704 |
| Totals | 201,486 | 65.38% | 11,397 | 3.70% | 264 | 0.09% | 89,554 | 29.06% | 5470 | 1.77% | 308,171 |
By local government area
The results of the election by local government area.
| LGA | Bola Tinubu APC |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes |
Turnout Percentage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | |||
| Ado Ekiti[lower-roman 1] | 28,751 | 67.22% | 4,485 | 10.49% | 87 | 0.20% | 8,168 | 19.1% | 1,282 | 3.00% | 42,773 | 24.49% |
| Efon | 5,873 | 67.84% | 125 | 1.44% | 3 | 0.04% | 2,521 | 29.12% | 135 | 1.56% | 8,657 | 30.00% |
| Ekiti East[lower-roman 2] | 12,426 | 59.82% | 375 | 1.81% | 7 | 0.03% | 7,782 | 37.46% | 182 | 0.88% | 20,772 | 34.37% |
| Ekiti South-West | 11,334 | 66.50% | 440 | 2.58% | 9 | 0.05% | 5,047 | 29.61% | 215 | 1.26% | 17,045 | 32.50% |
| Ekiti West | 14,516 | 73.47% | 391 | 1.98% | 8 | 0.04% | 4,318 | 21.85% | 525 | 2.66% | 19,758 | 34.13% |
| Emure | 8,159 | 68.81% | 465 | 3.92% | 14 | 0.12% | 3,035 | 25.59% | 185 | 1.56% | 11,858 | 32.44% |
| Gbonyin | 11,961 | 72.09% | 245 | 1.48% | 11 | 0.07% | 4,178 | 25.18% | 196 | 1.18% | 16,591 | 31.41% |
| Ido-Osi | 11,917 | 58.32% | 782 | 3.83% | 14 | 0.07% | 7,476 | 36.58% | 246 | 1.20% | 20,435 | 36.11% |
| Ijero Ekiti | 12,628 | 65.38% | 373 | 1.93% | 6 | 0.03% | 5,731 | 29.68% | 576 | 2.98% | 19,314 | 31.19% |
| Ikere-Ekiti | 11,659 | 58.17% | 910 | 4.54% | 24 | 0.12% | 7,198 | 35.91% | 253 | 1.26% | 20,044 | 31.28% |
| Ikole | 15,465 | 57.36% | 779 | 2.89% | 11 | 0.04% | 10,198 | 37.82% | 509 | 1.89% | 26,962 | 38.27% |
| Ilejemeje | 4,599 | 62.05% | 97 | 1.31% | 3 | 0.04% | 2,662 | 35.91% | 51 | 0.69% | 7,412 | 40.03% |
| Irepodun/Ifelodun | 14,265 | 68.86% | 544 | 2.63% | 24 | 0.12% | 5,516 | 26.63% | 368 | 1.78% | 20,717 | 30.10% |
| Ise/Orun | 11,415 | 76.84% | 497 | 3.34% | 10 | 0.07% | 2,734 | 18.40% | 200 | 1.35% | 14,856 | 32.47% |
| Moba | 12,046 | 66.06% | 246 | 1.35% | 11 | 0.06% | 5,847 | 32.06% | 85 | 0.47% | 18,235 | 34.53% |
| Oye | 14,472 | 63.64% | 643 | 2.83% | 20 | 0.09% | 7,143 | 31.41% | 464 | 2.04% | 22,742 | 35.49% |
| Totals | 201,486 | 65.38% | 11,397 | 3.70% | 264 | 0.09% | 89,554 | 29.06% | 5470 | 1.77% | 308,171 | 31.84% |
Notes
- AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- Comprising the local government areas of Ado Ekiti, Efon, Ekiti West, Ijero Ekiti, and Irepodun/Ifelodun.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ido-Osi, Ikole, Ilejemeje, Moba, and Oye.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ekiti East, Ekiti South-West, Emure, Gbonyin, Ikere-Ekiti, and Ise/Orun.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ado Ekiti and Irepodun/Ifelodun.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ekiti South-West, Ikere-Ekiti, and Ise/Orun.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ekiti East, Emure, and Gbonyin.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ido-Osi, Ilejemeje, and Moba.
- Comprising the local government areas of Efon, Ekiti West, and Ijero Ekiti.
- Comprising the local government areas of Ikole and Oye.
References
- Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- Adegboyega, Ayodeji; Omoniyi, Oluwaferanmi (26 February 2023). "#NigeriaDecides2023: It's Official: INEC declares Tinubu winner of presidential election in Ekiti". Premium Times. Retrieved 26 February 2023.
- Oluwole, Josiah (13 January 2022). "SPECIAL REPORT: Respite in Ekiti as govt, community efforts reduce farmers, herders clashes". Premium Times. Retrieved 18 March 2022.
- "INEC declares APC's Biodun Oyebanji as winner of Ekiti governorship election". The Guardian. 19 June 2022. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
- Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- "Ekiti Results". Premium Times. Retrieved 26 February 2023.
- Folorunsho-Francis, Adebayo (26 February 2023). "#NigeriaElection2023: INEC cancels two Ekiti election results, Melaye demands explanation". The Punch. Retrieved 26 February 2023.
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