2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Minnesota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Although a Democratic-leaning state, Minnesota is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024. Minnesota has the longest active streak of voting for Democratic presidential nominees of any state, as it has not voted for a Republican for president since Richard Nixon won the state in 1972. Despite this, the state is generally not seen as a safe blue state, evident by the fact that no Democrat since 1964 has won more than 55% of the vote in the state, with elections having been particularly close in 1984, 2000, 2004 and 2016. If the Democratic nominee wins in 2024, it will be the thirteenth consecutive Democratic win. It is also predicted that it likely will.

2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

November 5, 2024
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



Incumbent president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Minnesota Democratic primary is scheduled be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

The Minnesota Republican primary is scheduled be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

General election

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1-4, 2023 477 (LV) 4.4% 40% 38% 22%
Public Opinion Strategies May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) 48% 40% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) 45% 43% 12%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
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