2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Virginia could be considered a secondary battleground state, and may be targeted by the Republican Party in 2024, even though it is generally seen as a blue-leaning state, mainly as a result of the 2021 elections where Republicans won every statewide office up for election.[1][2] Nonetheless the Democrats have won the state in the last four presidential elections, and in 2020 they did so by more than 10 points.
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| Elections in Virginia |
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Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[3]
Primary elections
Republican primary
The Virginia Republican primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Roanoke College | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.43% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 46% | 6% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
- Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Glenn Youngkin Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 37% | 44% | 19% |
| Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 55% | 6% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- https://www.roanoke.edu/documents/rcpoll/RCPoll%20March%202023%20Topline.pdf
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
