2024 United States gubernatorial elections
United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.
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13 governorships 11 states; 2 territories | |||||||
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![]() Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican New Progressive incumbent Nonpartisan No election |
The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.
This will be the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democrats will be running for re-election.
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup" or "battleground": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State | PVI | Incumbent | Last race |
Cook October 23, 2023[1] |
IE September 1, 2023[2] |
Sabato October 16, 2023[3] |
ED July 12, 2023[4] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaware | D+7 | John Carney (term-limited) |
59.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
Indiana | R+11 | Eric Holcomb (term-limited) |
56.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Missouri | R+10 | Mike Parson (term-limited) |
57.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Montana | R+11 | Greg Gianforte | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
New Hampshire | D+1 | Chris Sununu (retiring) |
57.0% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
North Carolina | R+3 | Roy Cooper (term-limited) |
51.5% D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
North Dakota | R+20 | Doug Burgum | 65.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Utah | R+13 | Spencer Cox | 63.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Vermont | D+16 | Phil Scott | 69.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R |
Washington | D+8 | Jay Inslee (retiring) |
56.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D |
West Virginia | R+22 | Jim Justice (term-limited) |
63.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Race summary
States
State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaware | John Carney | Democratic | 2016 | 59.5% D | Term-limited |
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Indiana | Eric Holcomb | Republican | 2016 | 56.5% R | Term-limited |
|
Missouri | Mike Parson | Republican | 2018[lower-alpha 1] | 57.1% R | Term-limited |
|
Montana | Greg Gianforte | Republican | 2020 | 54.4% R | Eligible |
|
New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | Republican | 2016 | 57.0% R | Retiring[21] |
|
North Carolina | Roy Cooper | Democratic | 2016 | 51.5% D | Term-limited |
|
North Dakota | Doug Burgum | Republican | 2016 | 65.8% R | Eligible[36] |
|
Utah | Spencer Cox | Republican | 2020 | 63.0% R | Running |
|
Vermont | Phil Scott | Republican | 2016 | 69.2% R | Eligible |
|
Washington | Jay Inslee | Democratic | 2012 | 56.6% D | Retiring[38] |
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West Virginia | Jim Justice | Republican | 2016[lower-alpha 2] | 63.5% R | Term-limited |
|
Territories
State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Samoa | Lemanu Peleti Mauga | Nonpartisan/Democratic[lower-alpha 3] | 2020 | 60.3% | Eligible |
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Puerto Rico | Pedro Pierluisi | New Progressive[lower-alpha 4] | 2020 | 32.9% PNP | Running |
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Delaware
Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term.
New Castle County executive Matt Meyer became the first declared candidate on June 6, 2023.[6]
Indiana
Governor Eric Holcomb was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 56.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. United States Senator Mike Braun,[58] lieutenant governor Suzanne Crouch,[59] former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden[10] and former attorney general Curtis Hill[60] are running for the Republican nomination.
Former Republican Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick is running for the Democratic nomination, having switched parties in 2021.[12]
Missouri
Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he will be term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[17][15] In the Democratic primary, Missouri House of Representatives minority leader Crystal Quade has declared her candidacy.[61]
Montana
Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
On June 13, 2023, Republican state representative Tanner Smith launched a primary challenge to Gianforte.[20]
New Hampshire
Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However on July 19, 2023 he announced he would not seek re-election.[62] Former acting governor Chuck Morse and former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte have announced their campaigns for the Republican nomination.[63][22] Former Hillsborough County Treasurer and 2022 Congressional nominee Robert Burns has expressed interest in running.[64] In the Democratic primary, Manchester mayor Joyce Craig[65] and Executive Council of New Hampshire member Cinde Warmington[66] have declared their candidacies.
North Carolina
Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney general Josh Stein and former North Carolina Supreme Court justice Michael Morgan are running for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while state treasurer Dale Folwell, lieutenant governor Mark Robinson, retired healthcare executive Jesse Thomas, former congressman Mark Walker and former state senator Andy Wells are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[32][29][27][30][33][34][35]
North Dakota
Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023.[67] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remains eligible to run for re-election for a third term. Burgum is currently running for the Republican nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election,[68] though he may still run for re-election in the event his presidential campaign is not successful.[36]
Utah
Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for reelection to a second term. Although Utah does not have gubernatorial term limits, he pledged to only serve two terms.[37]
Vermont
Governor Phil Scott won reelection to a fourth term in 2022. Because Vermont does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he will be eligible to run for re-election for a fifth term in 2024.
Washington
Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term but he has decided not to seek re-election.[69] Washington State Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and state senator Mark Mullet have declared their candidacies,[70][71] while Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson has formed an exploratory committee.[72] In the Republican primary, former congressman Dave Reichert has declared his candidacy.[73]
West Virginia
Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and is ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term.
Candidates in the Republican primary include state delegate Moore Capito,[74] businessman Chris Miller,[47] state attorney general Patrick Morrisey,[75] secretary of state Mac Warner[76] and preschool owner Rashida Yost.[74] Huntington mayor Steve Williams has declared he will run in the Democratic primary.[77][78]
Territories
American Samoa
Governor Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected in 2020 with 60.3% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Puerto Rico
Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and stated that he would on March 20, 2022 during the New Progressive Party's general assembly.[54]
See also
Notes
- Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- Governor Jim Justice was originally elected as a Democrat before switching back to a Republican in 2017. Justice won re-election as a Republican in 2020.[44]
- The governor of American Samoa is elected on a non-partisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties, in Mauga's case with the Democratic Party.
- Pierluisi affiliates with the Democratic Party on the national level.
References
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- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
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- Singer, Jeff (17 August 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/17". Daily Kos. Retrieved 17 August 2023.
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- Rubashkin, Jacob (Jun 15, 2023). "North Dakota Governor: Burgum Bows Out?". Inside Elections.
If he doesn't take off, he would absolutely come back and run for governor," one Republican strategist with extensive North Dakota experience told Inside Elections. Another longtime strategist plugged into the state concurred, saying "Burgum is the one to watch. All indications are that he would indeed run for a third term should the presidential race turn south for him.
- McKellar, Katie (April 21, 2022). "Are Utah Republicans mad at Gov. Cox for transgender veto? Let political chips fall, he says". Deseret News. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
Cox has said he does intend to run for reelection in 2024. On Thursday, he told reporters he stands by his pledge to only serve two terms.
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- "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". king5.com. July 7, 2023. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
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