2024 United States Senate election in Utah
The 2024 United States Senate election in Utah will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Utah. Incumbent Senator Mitt Romney (R) was elected with 62.6% of the vote in 2018 and has declined to seek a second term.[1] Utah is considered a safe red state by election analysts; no Democrat has served in the Senate from the state since Frank Moss left office in 1977.[2] Primary elections will take place on June 25, 2024.[3]
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| Elections in Utah |
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Republican primary
Declared
- Rod Bird, mayor of Roosevelt[4]
- Tyrone Jensen, political commentator and perennial candidate[5]
- Gabriel Lobo-Blanco, data architect[5]
- Josh Randall, CPA and audit manager for the School and Institutional Trust Lands Administration
- Trent Staggs, mayor of Riverton and nominee for mayor of Salt Lake County in 2020[6]
- Brad Wilson, Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives (2019–present) from the 15th district (2011–present)[7]
Publicly expressed interest
- Tim Ballard, founder and former CEO of Operation Underground Railroad[8]
- Jason Chaffetz, former U.S. Representative from Utah's 3rd congressional district (2009–2017) (decision expected in fall 2023)[9]
- Carolyn Phippen, former advisor to U.S. Senator Mike Lee[10]
Potential
- Brad Bonham, member of the Republican National Committee[11]
- Kim Coleman, former state representative from the 42nd district (2015–2021) and candidate for Utah's 4th congressional district in 2020[11]
- Becky Edwards, former state representative from the 20th district (2009–2018), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022, and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2023[12]
- Henry Eyring, Duke University professor, grandson of LDS Church First Presidency Second Counselor Henry B. Eyring, and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2023[11]
- Deidre Henderson, Lieutenant Governor of Utah (2021–present)[13]
- Jon Huntsman Jr., former Governor of Utah (2005–2009)[14]
- Carson Jorgensen, chair of the Utah Republican Party (2021–2023) and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020[11]
- Kirk Jowers, attorney and former director of the Hinckley Institute of Politics[11]
- Mike Kennedy, state senator from the 21st district (2021–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[15]
- Boyd Matheson, radio host[16]
- Dan McCay, state senator from the 18th district (2019–present) and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Utah in 2020[11]
- Derek Miller, president of Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[11]
- Blake Moore, U.S. Representative from Utah's 1st congressional district (2021–present)[17]
- Corey Norman, former chief of staff to then-U.S. Representative Jason Chaffetz[11]
- Burgess Owens, U.S. Representative from Utah's 4th congressional district (2021–present)[18]
- Jason Perry, director of the Hinckley Institute of Politics[11]
- Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilor and candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020[11]
- Thomas Wright, former chair of the Utah Republican Party (2011–2013) and candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020[12]
Declined
- Spencer Cox, Governor of Utah (2021–present) (running for re-election)[19]
- John Curtis, U.S. Representative from Utah's 3rd congressional district (2017–present) (running for re-election)[20]
- Greg Hughes, former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives (2015–2018) from HD-51 (2003–2018), candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020, and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2023[11][21]
- Robert O'Brien, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021)[15][16]
- Sean Reyes, Utah Attorney General (2013–present)[22] (running for re-election)[23]
- Josh Romney, real estate executive and son of incumbent Mitt Romney[24]
- Mitt Romney, incumbent U.S. Senator (2019–present)[1]
- Chris Stewart, U.S. Representative from Utah's 2nd congressional district (2013–2023)[25][26] (resigned from Congress)[27]
Endorsements
Mitt Romney (declined to run)
- U.S. Senators
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[28]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2007-2015, 2021–present), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[28]
- Organizations
Trent Staggs
- Federal executive officials
- Richard Grenell, former United States Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020), former Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020) and former Special Presidential Envoy for Serbia and Kosovo Peace Negotiations (2019–2021)[30]
- Mark Levin, Chief of Staff to the U.S. Attorney General (1988–1989); Deputy Solicitor of the U.S. Department of the Interior (1986–1987); U.S. Associate Deputy Attorney General (1985–1986)[31]
- Kash Patel, former chief of staff to the acting United States Secretary of Defense[32]
- Party leaders
- Harmeet Dhillon, Republican National Committeewoman for California (2016–present)[31]
- Individuals
- Charlie Kirk, founder and executive director of Turning Point USA and CEO of Turning Point Action and Students for Trump[31]
- Kari Lake, former television news anchor and nominee for governor of Arizona in 2022[33]
- Organizations
Brad Wilson
- Statewide officials
- Spencer Cox, Governor of Utah (2021–present)[36]
- State senators
- Stuart Adams, President of the Utah State Senate (2019–present) from the 7th district (2023–present)[22]
- 15 other state senators[22]
- State representatives
- 47 state representatives[22]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Brad Wilson (R) | $2,218,586 | $78,197 | $2,140,388 |
| Trent Staggs (R) | $220,573 | $11,467 | $209,105 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[37] | |||
Polling
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Deidre Henderson |
Mike Kennedy |
Sean Reyes |
Mitt Romney |
Trent Staggs |
Brad Wilson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | August 7–14, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | 44% | 3% | 6% | 32%[lower-alpha 1] | 14% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | July 7–18, 2023 | 301 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 3% | 5% | – | 39% |
| 8% | 7% | 16% | – | 4% | 7% | – | 55% |
Democratic primary
Potential
- Luz Escamilla, Minority Leader of the Utah Senate (2023–present) from the 10th district (2009–present) and runner-up for mayor of Salt Lake City in 2019[11]
- Ben McAdams, former U.S. Representative from Utah's 4th congressional district (2019–2021)[11]
- Kathleen Riebe, state senator from the 15th district (2019–present) and nominee for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2023[11]
- Kael Weston, former U.S. State Department official, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022, and nominee for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020[11]
- Jenny Wilson, mayor of Salt Lake County (2019–present) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[11]
Independents
Potential
- Evan McMullin, political activist, former CIA operations officer, candidate for President of the United States in 2016, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[38]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | May 3, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | January 24, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[42] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
Notes
- "Another candidate" with 32%
References
- Balz, Dan (September 13, 2023). "Mitt Romney says he will not seek a second term in the Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- "Romney Won't Run for Reelection, Opening GOP Primary Fight". Cook Political. September 13, 2023.
- "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- Schott, Bryan (September 18, 2023). "Roosevelt Mayor Rod Bird joins race for Senate and Trump official O'Brien says he won't run". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
- Mondeaux, Cami (September 19, 2023). "Small town mayor launches bid to replace Romney as GOP primary field grows for Utah Senate". The Colorado Springs Gazette. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
- Bates, Suzanne (May 23, 2023). "Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs announces run for Mitt Romney's Senate seat". Deseret News.
- Irwin, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "Utah House speaker joins race to replace Romney". The Hill. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- Bates, Suzanne (September 15, 2023). "Tim Ballard considers run for Senate amid renewed controversy". Deseret News. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- Singer, Jeff (August 14, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/14". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
- "Ballots & Boundaries". Bloomberg Government. September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- Pignanelli, Frank; Webb, LaVarr (September 13, 2023). "Opinion: Who will replace Mitt Romney?". Deseret News. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- Winslow, Ben (April 13, 2023). "House Speaker Brad Wilson explores potential challenge to Sen. Mitt Romney". KSTU.
- Schott, Bryan (August 17, 2023). "Poll: Mitt Romney leads potential Senate challengers ahead of 2024 election — if he decides to run". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 17, 2023.
- Schott, Bryan (August 17, 2023). "Poll: Mitt Romney leads potential Senate challengers ahead of 2024 election — if he decides to run". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 17, 2023.
- "Mitt Romney takes first step toward 2024 Senate reelection campaign". April 12, 2023.
- Tomco, Brigham (September 18, 2023). "The latest on who might run for Romney's Senate seat: Robert O'Brien announces his decision". Deseret News. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
- Taylor, Jessica (August 3, 2023). "Will Romney Run Again? If So, He Faces Primary Peril". The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Retrieved August 4, 2023.
- Schott, Bryan (September 15, 2023). "Expect a lot of contenders for Romney's old seat — and a few surprise entries". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- Woodruff, Daniel (September 14, 2023). "Utah governor not considering run for U.S. Senate". KUTV. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- "Rep. John Curtis: 'I am staying the course in the House'". Deseret News. October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
- Winslow, Ben (September 13, 2023). "As Romney exits, Republicans line up to replace him". Fox 13. Retrieved September 14, 2023.
- Everett, Burgess; Adragna, Anthony (August 10, 2023). "A group of 60 members of the Utah Legislature are pushing Brad Wilson to run for the U.S. Senate seat held by Mitt Romney". Politico. Retrieved August 10, 2023.
- Holt, Matt (September 13, 2023). "Here's Who Could Replace Mitt Romney in the Senate". The Messenger. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- Schott, Bryan (September 28, 2023). "Josh Romney won't run to replace his father in the Senate next year". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- "What lies ahead for Utah in 2023? Robert Gehrke gives you a sneak peek". December 29, 2022.
- "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat". Deseret News. April 13, 2023. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
- Schott, Bryan (May 30, 2023). "Breaking: Rep. Chris Stewart plans to resign from Congress". The Salt Lake Tribune.
- Everett, Burgess (December 21, 2022). "See Romney run? Trump's top GOP foil eyes Senate reelection". Politico.
- "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- Moran, Sean (September 15, 2023). "Ric Grenell Endorses Trent Staggs for Utah Senate". NewFinals.
- Mondeaux, Cami (August 4, 2023). "Romney Challenger Garners Slew of Endorsements from Utah Lawmakers". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved August 5, 2023.
- Ogbonna, Gloria (October 2, 2023). "Exclusive: Former Pentagon Chief of Staff Kash Patel Backs America First Candidate Trent Staggs for U.S. Senate". yourNEWS. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- Schott, Bryan (September 16, 2023). "Conservative star Kari Lake to headline fundraising event for U.S. Senate hopeful Trent Staggs". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
- Cooper, Reed (July 19, 2023). "Mitt Romney Challenger Trent Staggs Secures Major Endorsement from TPAction: 'We Will Retire Romney'". D.C. Enquirer. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- Schnee, Brian (June 5, 2023). "Utah police union backs Trent Staggs' Senate push". KUTV 2. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- "Utah Gov. Spencer Cox backs Brad Wilson in race for Romney's Senate seat". www.abc4.com. October 19, 2023. Retrieved October 21, 2023.
- "2024 Election United States Senate - Utah". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- Bobic, Igor; Skalka, Liz (September 14, 2023). "Utah's Next Senator Could Be More MAGA Than Mitt". HuffPost. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
- "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Rod Bird (R) for Senate
- Trent Staggs (R) for Senate
- Brad Wilson (R) for Senate
- Josh Randall (R) for Senate
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