2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee

The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign.[1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Tennessee Senate election.
2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee
November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marsha Blackburn
Republican


Elections in Tennessee
Federal government
U.S. President
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2004
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Government

Background

At the federal and state level, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In the Volunteer state, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 House seats, supermajorities in its state legislature, and the governor's office.

In 2018, Marsha Blackburn was elected by almost 11 points, defeating former Tennessee governor Phil Bredesen and outperforming the polls in what was considered to be a competitive race. A staunch conservative, Blackburn opposes abortion,[2] same-sex marriage,[3] and gun control.[4] Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.

Republican primary

Filed paperwork

Endorsements
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Organizations

Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marsha Blackburn (R) $7,608,459 $2,754,909 $5,467,650
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

Democratic primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Potential

Declined

Independent candidates

Filed paperwork
  • Dr. Wisdom Zerit Teklay (Wisdom People Party)[14]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Solid R May 3, 2023
Inside Elections[16] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R January 24, 2023
Elections Daily[18] Safe R May 4, 2023

Polling
Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Marsha
Blackburn (R)		 Marquita
Bradshaw (D)		 Undecided
Beacon Center October 5–16, 2023 1,181 (RV) ± 2.79% 48% 36% 17%
Marsha Blackburn vs. Gloria Johnson
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Marsha
Blackburn (R)		 Gloria
Johnson (D)		 Undecided
Beacon Center October 5–16, 2023 1,181 (RV) ± 2.79% 49% 29% 23%

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

See also

References
  1. Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
  2. "Marsha Blackburn on Abortion". www.ontheissues.org. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  3. Boucher, Dave. "Gay marriage: Tennessee reacts to landmark decision". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  4. Rupar, Aaron (November 8, 2018). "Marsha Blackburn is an NRA favorite. Her comments about the Thousand Oaks shooting show why". Vox. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  5. "FEC Filing" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 30, 2023.
  6. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  7. "Press Releases | Maggie's List". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  8. "2024 Election United States Senate - Tennessee". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  9. Elliott, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Former Nominee Marquita Bradshaw Running for Senate Again". Nashville Scene. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  10. Kamisar, Ben (September 5, 2023). "Tennessee Democrat reprimanded for gun violence protest is running for Senate". NBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2023.
  11. "FEC Filing" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 30, 2023.
  12. Elliott, Stephen (May 19, 2023). "Nashville attorney preparing Democratic campaign for U.S. Senate". Nashville Post. Retrieved May 19, 2023.
  13. Elliott, Stephen (July 14, 2023). "Nashville attorney ends U.S. Senate campaign effort". Nashville Post. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
  14. "FEC Filing". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  15. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  16. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  17. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  18. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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