2024 United States presidential election in Nevada
The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Nevada is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024, although no Republican has carried the Silver State since George W. Bush's narrow victory twenty years earlier.
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Elections in Nevada |
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Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Nevada Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on February 6, 2024, alongside the New Hampshire primary.
Republican primary
The Nevada Republican caucuses are scheduled to be held on February 24, 2024, alongside the South Carolina primary.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN | Sep 29– Oct 3, 2023 | 1251 (RV) | ± | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | 41% | 48% | 11% | |
Noble Predictive Insights | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 42% | 18% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 679 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[upper-alpha 1] | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 49% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 36% | 46% | 17% |
Noble Predictive Insights | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Public Opinion Strategies | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 44% | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
References
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.