2024 United States Senate election in Michigan
The 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a Class I member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. It will be held concurrently with the 2024 United States presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate, other elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024.[1]
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow was first elected in 2000, unseating Spencer Abraham (R). Stabenow was most recently re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote and announced on January 5, 2023 that she would not seek a fifth term in office. This will be the first open race for this seat since 1994.[2][3]
Background
A typical swing state, Michigan is considered to be a purple to slightly blue state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Michigan by less than 3 percentage points. However, Democrats have seen much more success in recent years in the state. Democrats currently control both U.S. Senate seats, a slight majority of the U.S. House congressional delegation, majorities in both houses of the Michigan Legislature, and all statewide offices.[4]
This race is considered to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean and the fact that there is no incumbent; however, most analysts consider the race leaning towards the Democrats.[5] In-fighting among Michigan Republicans after the 2022 elections left the state party cash poor in funding for the U.S. Senate race.[6][7]
Democratic primary
Declared
- Nasser Beydoun, businessman, former executive director of the Arab American Chamber of Commerce, and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2006[8]
- Zack Burns, attorney and scientist[9]
- Hill Harper, actor known for CSI: NY and The Good Doctor and former member of the President's Cancer Panel[10]
- Leslie Love, former member of the Michigan Natural Resources Commission (2022–2023) and former state representative for the 10th district (2014–2020)[11]
- Pamela Pugh, president of the Michigan State Board of Education (2015–present)[12]
- Elissa Slotkin, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district (2019–present)[13]
Declined
- Jocelyn Benson, Michigan Secretary of State (2019–present)[14]
- Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation (2021–present), former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[15][16]
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[17][18] (running for re-election)[19]
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit (2014–present)[20]
- Abdul El-Sayed, CNN contributor, former executive director of the Detroit Department of Health and Wellness Promotion, and candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2018[21]
- Garlin Gilchrist, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[22]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2013–present)[23]
- Andy Levin, former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)[23]
- Karen McDonald, Oakland County Prosecutor (2021–present)[24]
- Mallory McMorrow, state senator for the 8th district (2019–present)[25][26] (endorsed Slotkin)
- Dana Nessel, Michigan Attorney General (2019–present)[27]
- Hillary Scholten, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2023–present)[28] (running for re-election)[29]
- Debbie Stabenow, incumbent U.S. Senator (2001–present)[30]
- Haley Stevens, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 11th congressional district (2019–present)[31] (running for re-election, endorsed Slotkin)[19][32]
- Shri Thanedar, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 13th congressional district (2023–present)[33]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[17]
Endorsements
Hill Harper
Elissa Slotkin
- Statewide elected officials
- James J. Blanchard, former governor of Michigan (1983–1991)[37]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jamie Raskin, U.S. Representative for MD-8 (2017–present)[38]
- Haley Stevens, U.S. Representative for MI-11 (2019–present)[32]
- State cabinet officials
- Randy Watkins, former Senior Investigator of the Michigan Office of Financial and Insurance Regulation (1979–2010)[39]
- State legislators
- Sarah Anthony, state senator from the 21st district (2023–present)[39]
- Rosemary Bayer, state senator from the 13th district (2023–present)[32]
- Jeremy Moss, state senator from the 7th district (2023–present)[32]
- 9 state representatives[39]
- Municipal officials
- Barbara Byrum, Ingham County Clerk (2013–present) and former state representative from 67th district (2007–2012)[39]
- David Coulter, Oakland County Executive (2019–present)[32]
- Robert Wittenberg, Oakland County Treasurer (2021–present) and former state representative from 27th district (2015–2021)[32]
- Andy Meisner, former Oakland County Treasurer (2009–2021) and former state representative from 27th district (2003–2009)[32]
- Local officials
- Andy Schor, Mayor of Lansing (2018–present) and former state representative from 68th district (2013–2018)[39]
- Dave Bing, Mayor of Detroit (2009–2014)[40]
- Tim Greimel, mayor of Pontiac (2021–present) and former state representative from 29th district (2012–2019)[32]
- Individuals
- Jon Horford, NBA basketball player[39]
- Labor unions
- Amalgamated Transit Union[41]
- International Association of Fire Fighters Michigan Professional Union and Local 412[41]
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers Michigan State Council[41]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers[41]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Michigan State Council[41]
- International Union of Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers[41]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Local 324[41]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades[41]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers[41]
- Laborers’ International Union of North America[41]
- Michigan Building Trades Council[41]
- Michigan Pipe Trades Association[41]
- United Steelworkers District Council 1[41]
- Utility Workers Union of America[41]
- Organizations
Pamela Pugh
- Mayors
- Karen Weaver, former Mayor of Flint, Michigan (2015–2019)[48]
Declined to endorse
- Presidents
- Barack Obama, former President of the United States (2009–2017)[49]
- U.S. Senators
- Debbie Stabenow, incumbent U.S. Senator from Michigan (2001–present)[50]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Nasser Beydoun (D) | $149,885 | $19,665 | $130,219 |
| Zack Burns (D) | $28,987 | $18,843 | $10,144 |
| Leslie Love (D) | $11,077 | $103 | $10,973 |
| Pamela Pugh (D) | $40,016 | $21,847 | $18,169 |
| Elissa Slotkin (D) | $5,875,626 | $2,154,734 | $3,720,892 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[51] | |||
Elissa Slotkin has led the field in fundraising with nearly $7.9 million for her Senate campaign as of October 2023.[52][53] By mid-August of 2023, she had raised nearly $6 million for her Senate campaign.[54] Slotkin received more than $35,000 from executives of the studios involved in the 2023 SAG-AFTRA strike and the 2023 Writers Guild of America strike, including more than $26,000 in contributions from Disney executives, $2,500 from a Sony Pictures film executive, and $2,250 from an executive vice president for Paramount Pictures.[54]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Nasser Beydoun |
Zach Burns |
Hill Harper |
Leslie Love |
Pamela Pugh |
Jacquise Purifoy |
Elissa Slotkin |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 551 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 34% | 22% | 25% |
Republican primary
Declared
- James Craig, former Chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021) and disqualified candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022[55]
- Michael Hoover, pest control company owner[56]
- Sherry O'Donnell, physician and candidate for Michigan's 5th congressional district in 2022[57]
- Mike Rogers, former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2001–2015)[58]
- Sharon Savage, at-large Oscoda Area Schools Board of Education trustee[59]
- Ezra Scott, former Berrien County commissioner (2016–2022)[60]
- Nikki Snyder, member of the Michigan State Board of Education (2017–present)[61]
- Alexandria Taylor, former Allen Park City Attorney[62]
- J.D. Wilson, small business owner[63]
Formed exploratory committee
- Peter Meijer, former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2021–2023)[64]
Publicly expressed interest
- Bill Huizenga, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 4th congressional district (2011–present)[65][66]
- Perry Johnson, businessman, former candidate for president in 2024 and disqualified candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022 [67]
Potential
- Sandy Pensler, former Wayne County commissioner and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[68][55]
- Bill Schuette, former Michigan Attorney General (2011–2019), nominee for U.S. Senate in 1990, and nominee for Governor of Michigan in 2018[69]
Declined
- Tom Barrett, former state senator for the 24th district (2019–2023) and nominee for Michigan's 7th congressional district in 2022 (running for U.S. House)[70]
- Brian Calley, former Lieutenant Governor of Michigan (2011–2019) and candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2018[21]
- Tudor Dixon, conservative media personality and nominee for Governor of Michigan in 2022[71]
- John James, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2023–present) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020 (running for re-election)[72]
- Lisa McClain, U.S. Representative for Michigan's 9th congressional district (2021–present)[73]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner (2017–present), former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2016), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003)[24][74]
- John Tuttle, vice chair of the New York Stock Exchange[75]
Endorsements
Mike Rogers
- Organizations
- Police Officers Association of Michigan[76]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Michael Hoover (R) | $204,633 | $43,913 | $160,719 |
| Nikki Snyder (R) | $146,099 | $32,804 | $113,294 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[51] | |||
Polling
- James Craig vs. Mike Rogers
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
James Craig |
Mike Rogers |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | Oct 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 30% | 19% | 51% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Michael Hoover |
Peter Meijer |
Mike Rogers |
Ezra Scott |
Nikki Snyder |
Alexandra Taylor |
John Tuttle |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 39% | 29% |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[77] | Lean D | August 8, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[78] | Lean D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[79] | Lean D | January 24, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[80] | Lean D | May 4, 2023 |
Polling
- Elissa Slotkin vs. James Craig
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
James Craig (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
| EPIC-MRA | Jun 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Mike Rogers
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | Aug 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 38% | 18% |
| Mitchell Research[upper-alpha 1] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Nikki Snyder
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Nikki Snyder (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 36% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Peter Meijer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Peter Meijer (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Mitchell Research[upper-alpha 1] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 28% | 31% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. John Tuttle
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
John Tuttle (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 35% | 20% |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll commissioned by MIRS
References
- "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- "Sen. Stabenow will not seek re-election in 2024". Upper Michigan Source. TV6 News Team. January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
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- Cappelletti, Joey; Foody, Kathleen (November 9, 2022). "Whitmer, Democrats get sweeping wins in divided Michigan". Associated Press. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
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- https://www.mlive.com/politics/2023/09/michigans-gop-is-a-doggone-mess-inside-a-party-torn-by-infighting-and-paranoia.html
- https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/09/22/mackinac-republican-leadership-conference-michigan-gop/70898529007/
- Spangler, Todd (April 25, 2023). "Dearborn businessman challenges Elissa Slotkin for Senate bid". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- Haddad, Ken (April 19, 2023). "Michigan lawyer launches bid for US Senate seat". Click on Detroit. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
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- Bernstein, Jonathan (March 5, 2023). "How Democrats Are Able to Accomplish So Much". Bloomberg. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
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Scholten is seeking another term in the U.S. House. If she wins the Democratic primary, she would be on the general election ballot in November 2024.
- Burke, Melissa Nann (January 5, 2023). "Michigan's U.S. Sen. Stabenow won't seek reelection in 2024". Detroit News. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
- "Haley Stevens passes on bid for Michigan Senate seat".
- Beggin, Riley (June 14, 2023). "Haley Stevens endorses Elissa Slotkin for U.S. Senate". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
- "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/5". The Daily Kos. January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 9, 2023.
- Lewis, Shawntay (July 11, 2023). "Harper kicks off Senate campaign with Detroit rally". The Detroit News. Retrieved July 12, 2023.
- "Alpha Phi Alpha Fraternity, Inc. Brother and Actor Hill Harper, who is running for U.S. Senate in the 2024 election in Michigan, offered remarks yesterday at the Alpha PAC's reception. #APA1906Network #MenOfDistinction #AlphaPAC #CBC52ndAnnualLegislativeConference#AlphasAtCBC".
- Mauger, Craig (September 2, 2023). "Harper gets Black Caucus nod". The Detroit News. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
- "Guest column: A once in a generation opportunity for Michigan". The Oakland Press. July 24, 2023. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
- "Raskin endorses Slotkin's Senate bid, boosting her in Democratic primary". Colorado Springs Gazette. August 21, 2023. Retrieved August 21, 2023.
- Melinn, Kyle; Heywood, Todd (May 12, 2023). "Anthony, 52 Mid-Michigan leaders back Slotkin's U.S. Senate run". City Pulse. Retrieved May 12, 2023.
- Coleman, Ken (August 14, 2023). "Former Detroit Mayor Dave Bing endorses Slotkin for U.S. Senate in 2024". Michigan Advance. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
- "Slotkin gets endorsements from 14 major labor unions". Livingston County Daily Press & Argus. May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 27, 2023.
- Chou, Lauren (March 30, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Elissa Slotkin for Election to the United States Senate". EMILY's List. Retrieved April 1, 2023.
- Fernandez, Madison (March 20, 2023). "The next battleground for abortion rights". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
- "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". Feminist Majority Foundation PAC. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
- "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Elissa Slotkin for US Senate". Giffords. July 13, 2023. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
- "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- Schmeltzer, Eric (May 18, 2023). "VoteVets PAC Endorses Slotkin for Senate". Punchbowl News. VoteVets. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
- Michaelis, Mathias (March 20, 2023). "Pamela Pugh, the president of the Michigan State Board of Education, said she's considering a run against Elissa Slotkin and other Dems for the seat held by retiring Debbie Stabenow". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
- Racker, Mini (July 10, 2023). "In His Bid for Senate, Hill Harper Wants Michigan Voters to Look Past His TV Fame". TIME. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
- "Former Detroit lawmaker joins race for Michigan seat in US Senate". Michigan Radio. May 16, 2023. Retrieved May 16, 2023.
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- Nann Burke, Melissa (October 3, 2023). "'I'm not doing it for ego': James Craig launches bid for Michigan's open U.S. Senate". The Detroit News. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
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- Markarian, Jerry (September 28, 2023). "Doctor Sherry O'Donnell runs for U.S. Senate". ABC 57. Retrieved October 11, 2023.
- Frisk, Garrett (September 5, 2023). "Former Congressman is First Big-Name Republican in Michigan Senate Race". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved September 5, 2023.
- Burr, Alyssa (October 3, 2023). "James Craig formally announces bid for Michigan's U.S. Senate seat". MLive. Retrieved October 11, 2023.
- "Former Berrien County commissioner announces bid for US Senate seat". WNDU. June 6, 2023. Retrieved June 6, 2023.
- Mauger, Craig (February 16, 2023). "State Board of Ed member Nikki Snyder launches U.S. Senate campaign". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 16, 2023.
- Nann Burke, Melissa; LeBlanc, Beth; Mauger, Craig (June 11, 2023). "2 more Republican candidates enter Michigan's US Senate race". GazetteXtra. Retrieved June 19, 2023.
- Spangler, Todd (September 6, 2023). "Former Rep. Mike Rogers jumps into Michigan's US Senate race". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 10, 2023.
- Eggert, David (August 31, 2023). "Peter Meijer explores jumping into Michigan's Senate race". Crain's Detroit. Retrieved August 31, 2023.
- Hughes, Siobhan (May 9, 2023). "The 2024 Senate Map Favors Republicans, but Candidates Remain the Wild Card". The Wall Street Journal.
- Egger, Andrew; Drucker, David M.; Fahlberg, Audrey (May 17, 2023). "With Abortion Comments, Trump Hands DeSantis Iowa Opportunity". The Dispatch.
- Tabet, Alex (September 26, 2023). "Presidential longshot Perry Johnson considers a pivot to Michigan Senate". Meet the Press. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
- Merica, Dan (August 10, 2023). "Michigan's Republican Senate Primary Is About to Heat Up". The Messenger.
Craig said he was targeting late September for an announcement
- Skubick, Tim (April 25, 2023). "Is Bill Schuette going to run for U.S. Senate?". WLNS-TV 6. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- Krause, Sheldon (February 27, 2023). "Tom Barrett will run again for Congress in 2024; several Democrats still considering". Lansing State Journal. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
- Schuster, Simon (March 6, 2023). "Elissa Slotkin kicks off Senate campaign with a kitchen-table message". MLive Media Group. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
Tudor Dixon, the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2022, also indicated she wouldn't seek Stabenow's seat.
- Cappelletti, Joey (February 24, 2023). "GOP Rep. John James won't seek Michigan's open Senate seat". AP News. Retrieved February 24, 2023.
- "GOP Rep. Lisa McClain won't run for U.S. Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
- Okun, Eli (January 6, 2023). "POLITICO Playbook PM: McCarthy finally gets some momentum". Politico. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- Mutnick, Ally (September 13, 2023). "NYSE exec won't run for Michigan's GOP Senate nomination". Politico. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- "POAM endorses long-time friend Mike Rogers for Senate". Police Officers Association of Michigan. Police Officers Association of Michigan. September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
- "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Nasser Beydoun (D) for Senate
- Zack Burns (D) for Senate
- James Craig (R) for Senate
- Hill Harper (D) for Senate
- Michael Hoover (R) for Senate
- Leslie Love (D) for Senate
- Sherry O'Donnell (R) for Senate
- Pamela Pugh (D) for Senate
- Mike Rogers (R) for Senate
- Sharon Savage (R) for Senate
- Ezra Scott (R) for Senate
- Elissa Slotkin (D) for Senate
- Nikki Snyder (R) for Senate
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