2024 United States presidential election in Ohio
The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Ohio has 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] While Ohio was considered a crucial swing and bellwether state for decades, it voted significantly more Republican than the nation in both 2016 and 2020 and probably won't be as contested by the Democrats as Donald Trump won the state by a comfortable margin while losing nationally in the latter election.
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| Elections in Ohio |
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Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2] If he wins without the state again, he will become the first president since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944 to win another term without carrying the state.
Primary elections
General election
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 2-4, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 23% |
| Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 57% | 40% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
| Ohio Northern University/Lucid | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Emerson College | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[upper-alpha 1] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Emerson College | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
- Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
- Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 39% | 23% |
- Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
- Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
- Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Causeway Solutions | May 19–27, 2023 | 1,639 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 38% | 2% | 16% |
- Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ron Desantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
References
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
