2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
The 2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary will tentatively be held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 33 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[1]
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33 delegates (23 pledged and 10 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention | ||
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| Elections in New Hampshire |
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In New Hampshire, the Secretary of State (a Republican) has the sole power to set both the Republican and Democratic Presidential primary dates, usually held on the same day. The Republican Secretary of State David Scanlan prefers January 23 and thus is likely to ignore the envisioned Democratic calendar proposal of February 6.[2]
Scheduling controversy
On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. This vote was preceded by a December 2022 vote of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee, held after a letter from President Joe Biden requesting the change was released.[3] DNC members who supported this new plan say this will give a better representation of Democratic voters' preference during the early months of the campaign. Members of the New Hampshire Democratic Party opposed the move, noting that moving their primary to comply with the new calendar would require changing New Hampshire state law that mandates them to hold the first primary in the country. This is unlikely to happen since the state's legislature is controlled by Republicans.[4][5] New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu also criticized the DNC's plan as an "absolute joke ... It's just based on a personal preference of a candidate".[6] The DNC originally gave New Hampshire until June to change their primary dates,[7] then extended this deadline to September,[8] but it is unclear how they will proceed if the state fails to change its laws to comply, as the DNC's convention rules would penalize New Hampshire's number of delegates for violating the party's primary calendar.[7]
Candidates
Incumbent President Joe Biden announced on April 25, 2023, his bid for a second term. However, Biden has indicated that he will not appear on the New Hampshire ballot if the state defies the DNC's calendar and schedules its primary before South Carolina's.
In October 2023, the manager for the Biden campaign, Julie Chávez Rodriguez, confirmed in a letter to the chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party Raymond Buckley that Biden would not appear on the primary ballot in order to comply with the "nominating calendar" set by the Democratic National Committee.[9]
Democrats may start a write-in campaign to help avoid the public embarrassment of Biden losing the state by default.[10][11]
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017–present), 81st Governor of New Hampshire (2013–2017)[12]
- Jeanne Shaheen, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2009–present), 78th Governor of New Hampshire (1997–2003)[12]
- U.S. Representatives
- Annie Kuster, U.S. Representative from NH-02 (2013–present)[12]
- State legislators
- Maria Perez, New Hampshire State Representative from Hillsborough-43 (2020–present) (Independent)[13]
- Party officials
- Carlos Cardona, member of the New Hampshire Democratic Party Rules Committee[14][14]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. |
Marianne Williamson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 78% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Stacey Abrams |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Hillary Clinton |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | 34% | – | 18% | 1% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 11% | – | 29%[lower-alpha 2] | – |
| co/efficient | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | 17% |
| – | 25% | – | 16% | – | 5% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 15%[lower-alpha 3] | 36% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 346 (LV) | ± 5.3% | – | 18% | – | 23% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 3% | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 21–25, 2022 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6%[lower-alpha 4] | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 16–20, 2021 | 787 (A) | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18%[lower-alpha 5] | 17% |
| Saint Anselm College | Mar 4–6, 2021 | 418 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 26%[lower-alpha 6] | 30% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Michelle Obama with 14%; Other with 7%; Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Andrew Yang and Marianne Williamson with 2%.
- Michelle Obama with 15%
- "Other" with 4%; Chris Murphy and Gretchen Whitmer with 1%; Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, and Gina Raimondo with 0%
- 18% do not want Biden run in the 2024 presidential election
- "If Joe Biden decides not to run for re-election, someone else" with 26%
References
- "New Hampshire Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved April 29, 2023.
- "Potential January date for NH's presidential primary comes into focus". news.yahoo.com. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- "Joseph R. Biden Jr., Letter" (PDF). The Democrats. December 1, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 4, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
- Shepherd, Brittany (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve new primary calendar for 2024". ABC News. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
- Chambers, Francesca (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve 2024 primary calendar that demotes Iowa, boosts South Carolina". USA Today. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
- O'Keefe, Ed; Novak, Analisa (February 3, 2023). "New Hampshire battles to retain first-in-the-nation presidential primary as DNC leaders meet to vote on possible changes". CBS News. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
- Vakil, Caroline (February 4, 2023). "DNC approves adjusted early presidential primary schedule". The Hill. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
- "Democrats buy time in fight over New Hampshire primary". POLITICO. June 16, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
- Schneider,Elena (October 24, 2023). "Biden won't appear on New Hampshire primary ballot". Politico. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
- "Democrats race to avoid a Biden embarrassment in New Hampshire". POLITICO. May 18, 2023. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
- "Biden could lose first two '24 contests to RFK Jr". Axios. June 15, 2023. Retrieved June 15, 2023.
- Kashinsky, Lisa (April 26, 2023). "N.H. Dems sort of back Biden". Politico.
- Gokee, Amanda (October 3, 2023). "Why Maria Perez was the latest N.H. lawmaker to leave the Democratic party". The Boston Globe. Retrieved October 4, 2023.
Perez endorsed longshot candidate Marianne Williamson because she wanted a challenger to have the opportunity to be on the ballot.
- "Marianne Williamson Gathers New Hampshire Endorsements". Marianne Williamson 2024. March 13, 2023. Archived from the original on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 31, 2023.