2020 United States presidential election in Delaware

2020 United States presidential election in Delaware
	November 3, 2020
Turnout	68.86%[1] 3.51 pp
President before election; Donald Trump; Republican	Elected President ; Joe Biden; Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Delaware was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Delaware voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Delaware has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Delaware is the home state of Biden, who represented the state in the U.S. Senate for 36 years from 1973 to 2009. Biden defeated Trump in the state by 19 points, a significant improvement over Hillary Clinton's 11% margin over Trump in 2016, and even a slight improvement over Barack Obama's margin in 2012, when Biden was his running mate. Biden flipped the swing county of Kent, while Sussex County, which last voted Democratic on the Presidential level when Bill Clinton carried it in 1996, stayed Republican, although Biden previously carried the county in six of his seven runs to the Senate. Delaware's remaining county, New Castle—home to Biden's hometown of Wilmington and part of both the Northeast megalopolis and the Philadelphia metropolitan area, containing 55% of the state's population—stayed Democratic, having last voted Republican when George H. W. Bush carried it in 1988, also the last time the state voted for the Republican nominee. Biden's margin in New Castle County would have been more than enough to carry the state; he carried his home county by over 106,000 votes, far exceeding his statewide margin of 96,000 votes.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in his home state came from African-Americans with 91%; and Caucasians with 50%, including those with a college degree with 54%. 59% of Delawarean voters had a favorable opinion of him.[4] Biden won overwhelmingly in his hometown of Wilmington, earning 26,698 votes to Trump's 3,580.[5]

With Biden's victory nationwide, he became the first person representing Delaware ever elected President of the United States.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 24, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. On May 7, the primary elections were again postponed to July 7.[6][7] By that time, President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties. This was Biden's third presidential attempt, as he had previously campaigned in the 1988 and 2008 Democratic presidential primaries but failed to secure the nomination both times.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary.[8] The state has 16 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[9]

However, Trump was not unopposed: Rocky De La Fuente took 12% of the vote, with Trump polling 88%.[10]

2020 Delaware Republican presidential primary[11]
Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates[12]
Donald Trump	28,876	88.05%	16
Rocky De La Fuente	3,920	11.95%
Total	32,796	100%	16

Democratic primary

2020 Delaware Democratic presidential primary[13]
Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates[14]
Joe Biden	81,954	89.39	21
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)	6,878	7.50
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	2,850	3.11
Total	91,682	100%	21

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[15]	Safe D	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[16]	Safe D	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Safe D	July 14, 2020
Politico[18]	Safe D	September 8, 2020
RCP[19]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
Niskanen[20]	Safe D	July 26, 2020
CNN[21]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
The Economist[22]	Safe D	September 2, 2020
CBS News[23]	Likely D	August 16, 2020
270towin[24]	Safe D	August 2, 2020
ABC News[25]	Safe D	July 31, 2020
NPR[26]	Likely D	August 3, 2020
NBC News[27]	Safe D	August 6, 2020
538[28]	Safe D	September 9, 2020

Polling

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
270 to Win	October 5 – November 1, 2020	November 3, 2020	57.5%	35.5%	7.0%	Biden +22.0
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	58.9%	34.6%	6.5%	Biden +24.3
Average			58.2%	35.1%	6.8%	Biden +23.2

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	656 (LV)	± 6%	38%[lower-alpha 3]	60%	-	-	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	1,323 (LV)	–	37%	62%	-	-	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	395 (LV)	–	37%	61%	-	-	2%
University of Delaware	Sep 21–27, 2020	847 (LV)	–	33%	54%	2%	1%	10%[lower-alpha 4]
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	348 (LV)	–	32%	67%	-	-	1%
PPP	Aug 21–22, 2020	710 (V)	± 3.7%	37%	58%	-	-	5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	453 (LV)	–	31%	67%	-	-	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	232 (LV)	–	34%	64%	-	-	2%
Gonzales Research	Jan 16–21, 2020	410 (LV)	± 5.0%	40%	56%	-	-	4%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Michael Bloomberg (D)	Undecided
Gonzales Research	Jan 16–21, 2020	410 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	48%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Undecided
Gonzales Research	Jan 16–21, 2020	410 (LV)	± 5.0%	45%	50%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
Gonzales Research	Jan 16–21, 2020	410 (LV)	± 5.0%	46%	47%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
Gonzales Research	Jan 16–21, 2020	410 (LV)	± 5.0%	46%	49%	5%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Delaware[29][30]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	296,268	58.74	+5.65
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	200,603	39.77	–1.95
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	5,000	0.99	–2.34
	Green	Howie Hawkins Angela Nicole Walker	2,139	0.42	–0.95
	Independent	Kanye West (write-in)	169	0.03	N/A
	American Solidarity	Brian T. Carroll (write-in)	87	0.02	N/A
	Independent	Jade Simmons (write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in)	28	0.01	N/A
	Socialism and Liberation	Gloria La Riva (write-in)	14	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Mark Charles (write-in)	8	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Barbara Bellar (write-in)	7	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Brock Pierce (write-in) Karla Ballard (write-in)	5	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Shawn Howard (write-in)	4	0.00	N/A
	American Party of America[31]	Dennis Ball (write-in)	3	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Todd Cella (write-in)	2	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Princess Khadijah Maryam Jacob-Fambro (write-in)	2	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Mitchell Williams (write-in)	2	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Tom Hoefling (write-in) Andy Prior (write-in)	1	0.00	N/A
	Independent	President Boddie (write-in)	1	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Kathryn Gibson (write-in)	1	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Kasey Wells (write-in)	1	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Deborah Rouse (write-in)	1	0.00	N/A
Total votes			504,346	100%	+13.64
	Democratic win

Results by county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Jo Jorgensen Libertarian		Howie Hawkins Green		Margin		Total votes
County	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	Total votes
Kent	51.19%	44,552	47.12%	41,009	1.20%	1,044	0.48%	420	4.07%	3,543	87,025
New Castle	67.81%	195,034	30.72%	88,364	1.03%	2,953	0.45%	1,282	37.09%	106,670	287,633
Sussex	43.82%	56,682	55.07%	71,230	0.78%	1,003	0.34%	437	-11.25%	-14,548	129,352
Totals	58.74%	296,268	39.77%	200,603	0.99%	5,000	0.42%	2,139	18.97%	95,665	504,010

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Kent (largest city: Dover)

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
At-large	39.77%	58.74%	Lisa Blunt Rochester

Turnout

According to the Delaware's Elections website, voter turnout was 68.86% with 509,241 ballots cast out of 739,570 registered voters.[1]

Notes

Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
"None/other/undecided" with 10%

References

"2020 General Election Results". Delaware Department of Elections. November 11, 2020. Retrieved December 8, 2021.
Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
"Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
"Delaware Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
"Delaware Election Results". Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved November 16, 2020.
"Delaware primary elections moved to July 7 due to COVID-19 pandemic". WPVI-TV. May 7, 2020.
"Delaware presidential primary delayed because of coronavirus". Associated Press. March 24, 2020.
"Biden, Trump easily win in Delaware primary". Newark Post. Associated Press. July 7, 2020.
"Delaware Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
"July 07, 2020 Presidential Primary Report". elections.delaware.gov. July 9, 2020.
"Delaware Election Results". Department of Elections. Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
"Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
"Delaware Election Results". Department of Elections. Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
"Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
"2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
"2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
"Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
"Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
"2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
"ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
"2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
Federal Election Commission (January 28, 2021). "2020 Presidential General Election Results" (PDF). pp. 2–8. Retrieved December 8, 2021.
Delaware Department of Elections. "Official Write-In Votes – 2020 General Election" (PDF). p. 1. Retrieved December 8, 2021.
Peddie, Matthew (October 30, 2020). "Third Party Presidential Candidate Dennis Ball Makes His Case To Voters". WMFE-FM. Retrieved December 8, 2021.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Delaware", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Delaware: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Delaware". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Delaware at Ballotpedia

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[othercalc-29] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[key-30] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[31] Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

[32] "None/other/undecided" with 10%

[officialresults-1] "2020 General Election Results". Delaware Department of Elections. November 11, 2020. Retrieved December 8, 2021.

[2] Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[3] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[:0-4] "Delaware Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

[5] "Delaware Election Results". Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved November 16, 2020.

[6] "Delaware primary elections moved to July 7 due to COVID-19 pandemic". WPVI-TV. May 7, 2020.

[7] "Delaware presidential primary delayed because of coronavirus". Associated Press. March 24, 2020.

[8] "Biden, Trump easily win in Delaware primary". Newark Post. Associated Press. July 7, 2020.

[GP-GOP-9] "Delaware Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.

[10] "July 07, 2020 Presidential Primary Report". elections.delaware.gov. July 9, 2020.

[DE-DoE-results-11] "Delaware Election Results". Department of Elections. Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved July 8, 2020.

[DE-AP-delegates-12] "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved July 8, 2020.

[2020_Delaware_Democratic_presidential_primary_DE-DoE-results-13] "Delaware Election Results". Department of Elections. Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved July 8, 2020.

[2020_Delaware_Democratic_presidential_primary_DE-AP-delegates-14] "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved July 8, 2020.

[15] "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[16] "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[17] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[18] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[19] "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.

[niskanen-20] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

[21] David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.

[22] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.

[23] "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.

[24] "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.

[25] "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.

[26] Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.

[27] "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.

[28] "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.

[FEC_results-33] Federal Election Commission (January 28, 2021). "2020 Presidential General Election Results" (PDF). pp. 2–8. Retrieved December 8, 2021.

[34] Delaware Department of Elections. "Official Write-In Votes – 2020 General Election" (PDF). p. 1. Retrieved December 8, 2021.

[35] Peddie, Matthew (October 30, 2020). "Third Party Presidential Candidate Dennis Ball Makes His Case To Voters". WMFE-FM. Retrieved December 8, 2021.

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Related	Gerrymandering Postal voting Russian interference Voter suppression

Elections in Delaware
General	1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1982 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Del. Senate	2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Del. House	2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Governor	1792 1795 1798 1801 1804 1807 1810 1813 1816 1819 1820 (sp) 1822 (sp) 1823 (sp) 1826 1829 1832 1836 1840 1844 1846 (sp) 1850 1854 1858 1862 1866 1870 1874 1878 1882 1886 1890 1894 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
U.S. President	1788–89 1792 1796 1800 1804 1808 1812 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
U.S. Senate Class 1	1788 1790 1796 1803 1808 1815 1820 1827 1833 1839 1845 1851 (sp) 1851 1857 1863 1869 1875 1881 1887 1893 1899 1905 1911 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018 2024
U.S. Senate Class 2	1788 1793 1798 1805 1816 1822 1828 1835 1841 1847 1853 1859 1865 1871 1877 1883 1889 1895 1901 1907 1913 1918 1924 1930 1936 1942 1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2010 (sp) 2014 2020 2026
U.S. House	1789 1790 1792 1794 1796 1798 1802 1804 1805 (sp) 1806 1808 1810 1812 1814 1816 1818 1820 1822 1822 (sp) 1824 1826 1827 (sp) 1828 1830 1833 1834 1836 1838 1840 1842 1844 1846 1848 1850 1852 1854 1856 1858 1860 1862 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
See also: Political party strength in Delaware