2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5.[1]
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  Cassidy: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Perkins: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 30–40% No Vote: | |||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Louisiana |
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 Government |
Candidates
Declared
- Bill Cassidy, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
- Dustin Murphy, welder[3][4]
Democratic Party
Though there were multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support was Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who had the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and would end up receiving the nomination.[5]
Declared
- Derrick Edwards, perennial candidate[6]
- Drew Knight[7]
- Adrian Perkins, mayor of Shreveport[8]
- Antoine Pierce, community activist[9]
- Peter Wenstrup, teacher[4]
Withdrew
- Dartanyon Williams, businessman and author (running for Louisiana's 6th congressional district)[10][11][6]
Declined
- Mary Landrieu, former U.S. Senator[12]
- Mitch Landrieu, former mayor of New Orleans[13]
Endorsements
Adrian Perkins (D)
- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[14]
- State officials
- John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana[15]
- Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020)[16]
- Organizations
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[16]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021) and Democratic 2020 vice presidential nominee[20]
Antoine Pierce (D)
- Individuals
- Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 presidential candidate[21]
- Organizations
- DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[22]
- Humanity Forward[21]
Declared
- Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon[6]
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[28] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico[29] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[31] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[32] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[33] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Bill Cassidy (R) |
Dustin Murphy (R) |
Adrian Perkins (D) |
Antoine Pierce (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] | August 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 6% | 17% | 11% | 3%[lower-alpha 2] | 21% |
Head to head matchups
- Bill Cassidy vs. Adrian Perkins
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Bill Cassidy (R) |
Adrian Perkins (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] | August 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 33% | 16% |
Hypothetical polling
- Bill Cassidy vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date | Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Bill Cassidy (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[upper-alpha 2] | September 2–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 37% | 24% |
| Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[upper-alpha 2] | March 16, 2020 | – (V)[lower-alpha 3] | – | 48% | 25% | 27% |
- Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date | Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 1] | August 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 33% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 23%[lower-alpha 5] |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Cassidy (incumbent) | 1,228,908 | 59.32% | |
| Democratic | Adrian Perkins | 394,049 | 19.02% | |
| Democratic | Derrick Edwards | 229,814 | 11.09% | |
| Democratic | Antoine Pierce | 55,710 | 2.69% | |
| Republican | Dustin Murphy | 38,383 | 1.85% | |
| Democratic | Drew Knight | 36,962 | 1.78% | |
| Independent | Beryl Billiot | 17,362 | 0.84% | |
| Independent | John Paul Bourgeois | 16,518 | 0.8% | |
| Democratic | Peter Wenstrup | 14,454 | 0.7% | |
| Libertarian | Aaron Sigler | 11,321 | 0.55% | |
| Independent | M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza | 7,811 | 0.38% | |
| Independent | Melinda Mary Price | 7,680 | 0.37% | |
| Independent | Jamar Montgomery | 5,804 | 0.28% | |
| Independent | Reno Jean Daret III | 3,954 | 0.19% | |
| Independent | Alexander "Xan" John | 2,813 | 0.14% | |
| Total votes | 2,071,543 | 100% | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
- Not yet released
- "Neither" with 2%
- "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
- The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
References
- "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.
- Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
- "2020 Election United States Senate – Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.
- "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
- "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
- "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
- "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
- Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
- "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Archived from the original on September 2, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
- "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
- "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.
- Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
- Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.
- Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.
- Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.
- "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.
- "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.
- "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org. Archived from the original on August 9, 2020. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
- "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.
- "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
- "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.
- Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate – Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Louisiana". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
- "Louisiana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, Calif.
- "League of Women Voters of Louisiana". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Louisiana at Ballotpedia
- "Election Guides: Louisiana". Spreadthevote.org. Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.. (Guidance to help voters get to the polls; addresses transport, childcare, work, information challenges)
- Official campaign websites
- Beryl Biliot (I) for Senate
- John Paul Bourgeois (I) for Senate
- Bill Cassidy (R) for Senate
- Derrick Edwards (D) for Senate
- Aaron Sigler (L) for Senate Archived October 24, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Drew Knight (D) for Senate Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Jamar "Doc" Montgomery (I) for Senate
- Dustin Murphy (R) for Senate
- Adrian Perkins (D) for Senate
- Antoine Pierce (D) for Senate Archived August 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Peter Wenstrup (D) for Senate
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