2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.
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All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Pennsylvania |
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 Government |
The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018.[1][2]
The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state.[3]
Redistricting
Court-mandated districts for 2018 elections.
Congressional district map (2013–2018)
In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans.[4][5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019.[2]
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic | 18 | 2,712,665 | 54.92% | 9 |  3 | 50.00% | |
| Republican | 17 | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 9 |  3 | 50.00% | |
| Libertarian | 2 | 10,950 | 0.22% | 0 |  | 0.00% | |
| Write-in | 1 | 9,452 | 0.19% | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Total | 38 | 4,939,327 | 100.0% | 18 | | 100.00% | |
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania:[6]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 160,745 | 48.74% | 169,053 | 51.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 329,798 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 159,600 | 79.02% | 42,382 | 20.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,982 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 287,610 | 93.38% | 20,387 | 6.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 307,997 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 211,524 | 63.52% | 121,467 | 36.48% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,991 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 198,639 | 65.19% | 106,075 | 34.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 304,714 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 6 | 177,704 | 58.88% | 124,124 | 41.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 301,828 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 7 | 140,813 | 53.49% | 114,437 | 43.47% | 8,011 | 3.04% | 263,261 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 8 | 135,603 | 54.64% | 112,563 | 45.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,166 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 100,204 | 40.25% | 148,723 | 59.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,927 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 10 | 141,668 | 48.68% | 149,365 | 51.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,033 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 11 | 113,876 | 41.02% | 163,708 | 58.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 277,584 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 82,825 | 33.96% | 161,047 | 66.04% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,872 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 13 | 74,733 | 29.51% | 178,533 | 70.49% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,266 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 14 | 110,051 | 42.09% | 151,386 | 57.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 261,437 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 15 | 78,327 | 32.16% | 165,245 | 67.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,572 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 16 | 124,109 | 47.30% | 135,348 | 51.58% | 2,939 | 1.12% | 262,396 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 17 | 183,162 | 56.26% | 142,417 | 43.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 325,579 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
| District 18 | 231,472 | 96.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,452 | 3.92% | 240,924 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 2,712,665 | 54.92%% | 2,206,260 | 44.67% | 20,402 | 0.41% | 4,939,327 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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 County results Fitzpatrick: 50–60% Wallace: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Fitzpatrick: 50–60% 60–70% Wallace: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County.[7] Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which is represented by Republican Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Congressman Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County.[7]
Nominee
- Brian Fitzpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dean Malik, former Bucks County Assistant District Attorney and candidate for this seat in 2010 & 2016[8]
Withdrawn
- Valerie Mihalek, former Yardley Borough council member and deputy district director for former U.S. Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick[9]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 31,374 | 67.0 | |
| Republican | Dean Malik | 15,451 | 33.0 | |
| Total votes | 46,825 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[10]
Nominee
- Scott Wallace, charitable foundation director and grandson of former Vice President Henry Wallace[11]
Eliminated in primary
- Steven Bacher, environmentalist
- Rachel Reddick, former Navy prosecutor[12]
Declined
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Campaign
The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville,[13] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life.[14]
Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists.[15]
Endorsements
Rachel Reddick
- U.S. Representative
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[16]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[17]
- Statewide officials
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[19]
- Montgomery County Democratic Committee[20]
- Moms Demand Action
- VoteVets[21]
- With Honor Fund
Scott Wallace
- Organizations
- Bucks County Democratic Committee[22]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Friends of the Earth Action[23]
- People for the American Way[24]
- Local officials
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Scott Wallace | 27,652 | 56.5 | |
| Democratic | Rachel Reddick | 17,288 | 35.3 | |
| Democratic | Steven Bacher | 4,006 | 8.2 | |
| Total votes | 48,946 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
- U.S. Representative
- Statewide officials
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[26]
- American Federation of Government Employees
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- Communications Workers of America[27]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[28]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- International Organization of Masters, Mates & Pilots
- National Education Association
- United Mine Workers of America
- Organizations
Scott Wallace (D)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, former President of the United States[32]
- Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States
- U.S. Senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- 21st Century Democrats
- Congressional Progressive Caucus
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[35]
- End Citizens United[36]
- Friends of the Earth Action
- Indivisible[37]
- J Street
- Moms Demand Action
- MoveOn[38]
- National Organization for Women
- People for the American Way
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Sierra Club[39]
- Working Families Party[40]
- Local officials
- Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner
Steve Scheetz (L)
- Organizations
- Firearm Owners Against Crime[41]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Brian Fitzpatrick | Scott Wallace | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Bucks County Chamber of Commerce Pennsylvania Cable Network League of Women Voters of Bucks County |
Carlo Borgia | C-SPAN | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) |
Scott Wallace (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 26–29, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| TargetPoint (R) | October 14–16, 2018 | 400 | – | 45% | 49% | – | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 11–14, 2018 | 570 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | – | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick) | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | – | – |
| Monmouth University | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
| Monmouth University | May 31 – June 3, 2018 | 254 LV | ± 6.5% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 5% |
| 451 RV | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 1% | 8% | ||
| DCCC (D) | May 12–14, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 169,053 | 51.3 | |
| Democratic | Scott Wallace | 160,745 | 48.7 | |
| Total votes | 329,798 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Analysis
Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle.[51]
District 2
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 County results Boyle: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Boyle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Torres: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District.[7]
The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who has represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd.[52]
Nominee
- Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Michele Lawrence, former Senior Vice President for Wells Fargo[53]
Declined
- Bob Brady, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Brendan Boyle (D)
- Labor unions
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 23,261 | 64.5 | |
| Democratic | Michele Lawrence | 12,814 | 35.5 | |
| Total votes | 36,075 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- David Torres, community activist
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Torres | 7,443 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 7,443 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Brendan Boyle (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 159,600 | 79.0 | |
| Republican | David Torres | 42,382 | 21.0 | |
| Total votes | 201,982 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
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 County results Evans: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Evans: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district.[7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who has held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.
Nominee
- Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Kevin Johnson
Endorsements
Dwight Evans
- Labor unions
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 72,106 | 80.8 | |
| Democratic | Kevin Johnson | 17,153 | 19.2 | |
| Total votes | 89,259 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Bryan Leib
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 3,331 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 3,331 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Dwight Evans (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 287,610 | 93.4 | |
| Republican | Bryan E. Leib | 20,387 | 6.6 | |
| Total votes | 307,997 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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 County results Dean: 60–70% David: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Dean: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% David: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia.[7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.
Democratic primary
State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat.[56]
Nominee
- Madeleine Dean, state representative
Eliminated in primary
- Shira Goodman, public policy advocate
- Joe Hoeffel, former U.S. Representative, nominee for Senate in 2004 and candidate for Governor in 2010
Withdrawn
- Mary Jo Daley, state representative (endorsed Dean)[57]
- Daylin Leach, state senator and candidate for the 13th district in 2014
Declined
- Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Governor in 2014[58]
Endorsements
Madeleine Dean
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 42,625 | 72.6 | |
| Democratic | Shira Goodman | 9,645 | 16.4 | |
| Democratic | Joe Hoeffel | 6,431 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 58,701 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Dan David, investor
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan David | 28,889 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 28,889 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Madeleine Dean (D)
- Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[59]
- State legislators
- Mary Jo Daley, state representative
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[26]
- Communications Workers of America[27]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[28]
- Service Employees International Union[33]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madeleine Dean | 211,524 | 63.5 | |
| Republican | Dan David | 121,467 | 36.5 | |
| Total votes | 332,991 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
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 County results Scanlon: 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Scanlon: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kim: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Congressman Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds,[7][62] and subsequently resigned from office in April.
Nominee
- Pearl Kim, former Deputy Attorney General of Pennsylvania
Withdrawn
- Paul Addis
Declined
- Pat Meehan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pearl Kim | 33,685 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 33,685 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Mary Gay Scanlon, attorney and former Wallingford-Swarthmore School Board member
Eliminated in primary
- Larry Arata, teacher and environmental advocate
- Margo L. Davidson, state representative
- Thaddeus Kirkland, Mayor of Chester
- Richard Lazer, former Deputy Mayor of Philadelphia
- Lindy Li, financial manager and candidate for this seat in 2014
- Ashley Lunkenheimer, former assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
- Molly Sheehan, scientist
- Greg Vitali, state representative
- Theresa Wright, entrepreneur
Withdrawn
- George Badey III, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2012
Endorsements
Richard Lazer
- Labor unions
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Margo Davidson |
Thaddeus Kirkland |
Rich Lazer |
Lindy Li |
Ashley Lunkenheimer |
Mary Gay Scanlon |
Molly Sheehan |
Greg Vitali |
Theresa Wright |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections | May 2018 | 638 | ±3.8 | — | — | 7% | — | 11% | 22% | — | 17% | — | — | 57% |
| Independence Communications and Consulting | April 2018 | 858 | ±3.3 | — | — | 7% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 13% | — | 7% | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali) | April 23–24, 2018 | 562 | — | 5% | 4% | 5% | — | 6% | 18% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 25% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 16,804 | 28.4 | |
| Democratic | Ashley Lunkenheimer | 9,044 | 15.3 | |
| Democratic | Richard Lazer | 8,892 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Molly Sheehan | 6,099 | 10.3 | |
| Democratic | Greg Vitali | 5,558 | 9.4 | |
| Democratic | Lindy Li | 4,126 | 7.0 | |
| Democratic | Theresa Wright | 3,046 | 5.2 | |
| Democratic | Thaddeus Kirkland | 2,327 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Margo L. Davidson | 2,275 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Larry Arata | 913 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 59,084 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Safe D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon | 198,639 | 65.2 | |
| Republican | Pearl Kim | 106,075 | 34.8 | |
| Total votes | 304,714 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 6
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 County results Houlahan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Houlahan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McCauley: 50–60% 60–70% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading.[7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who has represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district.[63] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.
Nominee
- Greg McCauley
Withdrawn
- Ryan Costello, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg McCauley | 31,611 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 31,611 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Chrissy Houlahan, former United States Air Force Captain, engineer and businesswoman
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 34,947 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 34,947 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Chrissy Houlahan (D)
- Executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[64]
- U.S. Senators
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007-present), 34th Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005–2007), 49th Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997–2005)[64]
- U.S. Representatives
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2015–2019), state representative from the 170th district (2009–2015)[64]
- Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district (2013–2019)[64]
- Dwight Evans, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district (2016–2019), state representative from the 203rd district[64]
- Conor Lamb, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2018–2019)[65]
- State officials
- Jason Kander, 39th Missouri Secretary of State (2013–2017), host of Majority 54 and founder of Let America Vote[66]
- Tom Wolf, 74th Governor of Pennsylvania (2015-present)[67]
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[26]
- American Federation of Teachers Pennsylvania[68]
- Communications Workers of America[27]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[28]
- Plumbers and Pipefitters Local 520[64]
- Plumbers Local 690[64]
- Service Employees International Union Pennsylvania State Council[55][33]
- Sheet Metal Workers' Local Union No. 19[64]
- Organizations
- 314 Action[64]
- Brady Campaign[60]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[35]
- EMILY's List[61][64]
- End Citizens United[64][36]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee[69]
- Human Rights Campaign[70]
- Off the Sidelines[64]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[71]
- New Democrat Coalition[72]
- New Politics[64]
- Sierra Club[39]
- VoteVets.org[64]
- With Honor Fund[73]
- Local officials
- John Fetterman, Mayor of Braddock (2006–2019) and Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2018[74]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan | 177,704 | 58.9 | |
| Republican | Greg McCauley | 124,124 | 41.1 | |
| Total votes | 301,828 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 7
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 County results Wild: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Wild: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Nothstein: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consists of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlaps with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Congressman Charlie Dent who resigned early.[7]
Nominee
- Marty Nothstein, chairman of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marty Nothstein | 16,004 | 50.5 | |
| Republican | Dean Browning | 15,696 | 49.5 | |
| Total votes | 31,700 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Susan Wild, former Allentown Solicitor
Eliminated in primary
- David Clark
- Rick Daugherty, former chair of the Lehigh County Democratic Party and nominee for this seat in 2012 & 2016
- Greg Edwards, pastor
- John Morganelli, Northampton County District Attorney, candidate for Pennsylvania Attorney General in 2000, 2004 & 2016 and nominee in 2008
- Roger Ruggles
Endorsements
Greg Edwards
John Morganelli
- State legislators
- Lisa Boscola, State Senator
Susan Wild
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wild | 15,001 | 33.3 | |
| Democratic | John Morganelli | 13,565 | 30.1 | |
| Democratic | Greg Edwards | 11,510 | 25.6 | |
| Democratic | Roger Ruggles | 2,443 | 5.4 | |
| Democratic | Rick Daugherty | 1,718 | 3.8 | |
| Democratic | David Clark | 766 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 45,003 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Marty Nothstein (R)
- Organizations
- BIPAC[29]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[78]
- Local officials
- Jim Martin, Lehigh County District Attorney[79]
Susan Wild (D)
- Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[59]
- U.S. Representative
- Statewide officials
- Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[26]
- Communications Workers of America[27]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[28]
- Service Employees International Union[33]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[35]
- EMILY's List[61]
- End Citizens United[36]
- MoveOn[38]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Sierra Club[39]
- Celebrities
- Tim Heidecker, comedian[80]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marty Nothstein (R) |
Susan Wild (D) |
Tim Silfies (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College Archived 2018-10-19 at the Wayback Machine | October 14–18, 2018 | 411 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 48% | 5% | – |
| DeSales University Archived 2018-10-10 at the Wayback Machine | September 28 – October 7, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 50% | 8% | 11% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 21–25, 2018 | 539 | ± 4.7% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
| Monmouth University | September 5–9, 2018 | 299 LV | ± 5.7% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 7% |
| 401 RV | ± 4.9% | 40% | 46% | 3% | 11% | ||
| Muhlenberg College Archived 2018-06-15 at the Wayback Machine | April 24–May 3, 2018 | 408 | ± 5.5% | 31% | 42% | 5% | 21% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wild | 140,813 | 53.5 | |
| Republican | Marty Nothstein | 114,437 | 43.5 | |
| Libertarian | Tim Silfies | 8,011 | 3.0 | |
| Total votes | 263,261 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 8
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 County results Cartwright: 50–60% 60–70% Chrin: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Cartwright: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Chrin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which is represented by Democratic Congressman Matt Cartwright.[7] Cartwright has held office since 2013.
Nominee
- Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 36,040 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 36,040 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- John Chrin, businessman
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Kuniegel
- Joe Peters
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Chrin | 15,136 | 48.4 | |
| Republican | Joe Peters | 10,927 | 34.9 | |
| Republican | Robert Kuniegel | 5,218 | 16.7 | |
| Total votes | 31,281 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Matt Cartwright (D)
John Chrin (R)
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[82]
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States
- Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business
- NRA Political Victory Fund[83]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[78]
- National Right to Life Committee
- State representatives
- Aaron Kaufer, state representative from the 120th district (2015-present)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Cartwright (D) |
John Chrin (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 28–29, 2018 | 446 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | 1%[84] | 2% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 16–19, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 40% | – | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Likely D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 135,603 | 54.6 | |
| Republican | John Chrin | 112,563 | 45.4 | |
| Total votes | 248,166 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
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| |||||||||||||||||
 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Meuser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wolff: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 9th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 9th district is in east central Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with the old 11th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Congressman Lou Barletta.[7]
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- George Halcovage Jr.
- Scott Uehlinger, delegate to the 2016 Republican National Convention
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Meuser | 26,568 | 53.0 | |
| Republican | George Halcovage Jr. | 12,032 | 24.0 | |
| Republican | Scott Uehlinger | 11,541 | 23.0 | |
| Total votes | 50,141 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Laura Quick, delivery driver
- Gary Wegman, dentist
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Denny Wolff | 11,020 | 40.7 | |
| Democratic | Gary Wegman | 8,450 | 31.2 | |
| Democratic | Laura Quick | 7,616 | 28.1 | |
| Total votes | 27,086 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Meuser (R) |
Denny Wolff (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling and Research | October 23–25, 2018 | 271 | ± 5.9% | 57% | 36% | 1%[85] | 6% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Meuser | 148,723 | 59.7 | |
| Democratic | Denny Wolff | 100,204 | 40.3 | |
| Total votes | 248,927 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
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 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Perry: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Scott: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district was previously in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but it now overlaps with much of the former 4th district in South Central Pennsylvania. Under the map released in 2018, the 10th district includes Harrisburg and a portion of York County.[7] The incumbent from the 4th district is Republican Scott Perry, who has represented his district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 66% of the vote in 2016. Several Democrats sought to challenge Perry in 2018, with George Scott, a 20-year Army veteran and Lutheran pastor, receiving the party's nomination.[86][87][88]
Nominee
- Scott Perry, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 57,407 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 57,407 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- George Scott, Lutheran pastor and former Army Lt. Colonel
Eliminated in primary
- Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson, former assistant to the director for the Office of Management and Budget
- Eric Ding, public health scientist
- Alan Howe, Air Force veteran
Withdrawn
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Scott | 13,924 | 36.3 | |
| Democratic | Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson | 13,376 | 34.9 | |
| Democratic | Eric Ding | 6,912 | 18.0 | |
| Democratic | Alan Howe | 4,157 | 10.8 | |
| Total votes | 38,369 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Scott Perry (R)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[90]
- Organizations
George Scott (D)
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2018
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Perry (R) |
George Scott (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 23–26, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.7% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research | October 19–21, 2018 | 366 | ± 5.2% | 49% | 46% | 1%[85] | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 24–25, 2018 | 650 | – | 44% | 43% | – | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Scott) | June 8–10, 2018 | 654 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | – | 14% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 149,365 | 51.3 | |
| Democratic | George Scott | 141,668 | 48.7 | |
| Total votes | 291,033 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11
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| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Smucker: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% King: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 11th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the district now overlaps with much of the former 16th district in South Central Pennsylvania. The new district consists of Lancaster County and portions of York County. The incumbent from the former 16th district is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who has held office since 2017.[7]
Nominee
- Lloyd Smucker, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 34,002 | 58.6 | |
| Republican | Chet Beiler | 24,063 | 41.4 | |
| Total votes | 58,065 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Christina Hartman, a former nonprofit executive who lost against Smucker in 16th had filed for a rematch,[91] however following the court ordered redrawing she considered switching to run in the more competitive 10th before withdrawing from the race altogether.[89]
Nominee
- Jess King, nonprofit director
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Christina Hartman (withdrawn)
- State legislators
- Mike Sturla, state representative[95]
- Statewide officials
- Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania
- Katie McGinty, former chief of staff to Governor Tom Wolf, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection, candidate for the governorship in 2014 and nominee for Senate in 2016
- Organizations
Jess King
- State legislators
- Tom Houghton, former state representative and nominee for PA-16 seat in 2014
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Local officials
- Bill Peduto, Mayor of Pittsburgh
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jess King | 22,794 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 22,794 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Meteorologist Drew Anderson planned to run without party affiliation and expected to be listed that way on the November ballot.[98] However, he failed to file papers in time, and was not in the race.[99]
Endorsements
Jess King (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007-present)
- State legislators
- Tom Houghton, former state representative and nominee for PA-16 seat in 2014
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[26]
- Communications Workers of America[27]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[28]
- Service Employees International Union[33]
- Organizations
- Climate Hawks Vote[100]
- End Citizens United[36]
- Indivisible[101][37]
- Justice Democrats[76]
- MoveOn[38]
- Peace Action[102]
- Our Revolution[103]
- Sierra Club[39]
- Sunrise Movement[104]
- Working Families Party[40]
- Local officials
- Bill Peduto, Mayor of Pittsburgh
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lloyd Smucker (R) |
Jess King (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling and Research | October 21–22, 2018 | 311 | ± 5.6% | 50% | 46% | 1%[85] | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-King) Archived 2018-09-25 at the Wayback Machine | September 12–13, 2018 | 552 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 35% | – | 21% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 163,708 | 59.0 | |
| Democratic | Jess King | 113,876 | 41.0 | |
| Total votes | 277,584 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Marino: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Friedenburg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 12th district was in Southwestern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in North Central Pennsylvania. It overlaps with the former 10th district, which was represented by Republican Tom Marino.[7] Marino had held office since 2011.
Nominee
- Tom Marino, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Douglas McLinko
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Marino (incumbent) | 39,537 | 67.0 | |
| Republican | Douglas McLinko | 19,435 | 33.0 | |
| Total votes | 58,972 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Marc Friedenburg, teacher
Eliminated in primary
- Judith Herschel, certified drug & alcohol counselor
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marc Friedenburg | 12,713 | 50.6 | |
| Democratic | Judith Herschel | 12,407 | 49.4 | |
| Total votes | 25,120 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Marc Friedenburg (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Marino (incumbent) | 161,047 | 66.0 | |
| Democratic | Marc Friedenburg | 82,825 | 34.0 | |
| Total votes | 243,872 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Joyce: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ottaway: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The old 13th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the old 9th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Congressman Bill Shuster.[7]
Nominee
- John Joyce, physician
Eliminated in primary
- Stephen Bloom, state representative
- John Eichelberger, state senator
- Art Halvorson, businessman, Coast Guard veteran and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Benjamin Hornberger, laborer and former marine
- Doug Mastriano, retired Army Colonel
- Travis Schooley, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2012 & 2014
- Bernard Washabaugh II
Declined
- Bill Shuster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Joyce | 14,615 | 21.9 | |
| Republican | John Eichelberger | 13,101 | 19.6 | |
| Republican | Stephen Bloom | 12,195 | 18.3 | |
| Republican | Doug Mastriano | 10,485 | 15.7 | |
| Republican | Art Halvorson | 10,161 | 15.2 | |
| Republican | Travis Schooley | 3,030 | 4.5 | |
| Republican | Bernie Washabaugh | 1,908 | 2.9 | |
| Republican | Ben Hornberger | 1,182 | 1.8 | |
| Total votes | 66,677 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Brent Ottaway
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brent Ottaway | 21,096 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 1,096 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Brent Ottaway (D)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Joyce (R) |
Brent Ottaway (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling and Research | October 25–26, 2018 | 303 | ± 5.6% | 57% | 36% | 2%[105] | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Joyce | 178,533 | 70.5 | |
| Democratic | Brent Ottaway | 74,733 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 253,266 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 14
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Reschenthaler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Boerio: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The old 14th district consisted of the city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs, but the new district consists of suburbs to the south and west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with much of the former 18th district.[7] The winner of the 2018 special election, Democrat Conor Lamb, ran in the more competitive 17th district.[106]
Nominee
- Bibiana Boerio, businesswoman and chief of staff to former Representative Joe Sestak
Eliminated in primary
- Tom Prigg
- Adam Sedlock, psychologist
- Bob Solomon, physician and candidate for this seat in 2018
Declined
- Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 17th)
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bibiana Boerio | 17,755 | 43.0 | |
| Democratic | Adam Sedlock | 9,944 | 24.1 | |
| Democratic | Bob Solomon | 7,831 | 19.0 | |
| Democratic | Tom Prigg | 5,724 | 13.9 | |
| Total votes | 41,254 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Guy Reschenthaler, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2018
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Saccone, state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Reschenthaler | 23,245 | 55.4 | |
| Republican | Rick Saccone | 18,734 | 44.6 | |
| Total votes | 41,979 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Bibiana Boerio (D)
Guy Reschenthaler (R)
- Labor unions
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Likely R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Safe R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Safe R (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Safe R (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Safe R (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Reschenthaler | 151,386 | 57.9 | |
| Democratic | Bibiana Boerio | 110,051 | 42.1 | |
| Total votes | 261,437 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
District 15
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Thompson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Boser: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The old 15th district was in Eastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the former 5th district, which is represented by Republican G.T. Thompson.[7] Thompson has held office since 2009.
Nominee
- G.T. Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | G.T. Thompson (incumbent) | 44,893 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 44,893 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Susan Boser, teacher
Eliminated in primary
- Wade Jodun
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Boser | 20,135 | 74.5 | |
| Democratic | Wade Jodun | 6,902 | 25.5 | |
| Total votes | 27,037 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Susan Boser (D)
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | G.T. Thompson (incumbent) | 165,245 | 67.8 | |
| Democratic | Susan Boser | 78,327 | 32.2 | |
| Total votes | 243,572 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 16
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Kelly: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% DiNicola: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The former 16th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the redrawn 16th district is in Northwestern Pennsylvania, overlapping with the former 3rd district.[7] The incumbent from the 3rd district was Republican Mike Kelly, who has represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. Kelly had considered running for the U.S. Senate, but announced he would run for re-election instead.[107]
Nominee
- Mike Kelly, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 39,146 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,146 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Ron DiNicola, U.S. Marine Veteran and Erie County Solicitor and nominee for Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district in 1996
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Multari
- Chris Rieger
Endorsements
Ron DiNicola
- Labor unions
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ron DiNicola | 23,362 | 60.2 | |
| Democratic | Chris Rieger | 9,681 | 24.9 | |
| Democratic | Robert Multari | 5,764 | 14.9 | |
| Total votes | 38,807 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Ron DiNicola (D)
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[26]
- Communications Workers of America[27]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[28]
- Service Employees International Union[33]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[35]
- End Citizens United[36]
- Sierra Club[39]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 8, 2018
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kelly (R) |
Ron DiNicola (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 29–30, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 51% | 1%[84] | 1% |
| DCCC (D) | October 9–10, 2018 | 548 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 5–8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.8% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-DiNicola) | June 5–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-DiNicola) | May 21–22, 2018 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 48% | 43% | – | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 135,348 | 51.6 | |
| Democratic | Ronald DiNicola | 124,109 | 47.3 | |
| Libertarian | Ebert "Bill" Beeman | 2,939 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 262,396 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 17
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 County results | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Lamb: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rothfus: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The former 17th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the new 17th district consists of suburbs west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with parts of the former 12th district, which is represented by Republican Keith Rothfus.[7] Rothfus has held office since 2013, and ran for reelection in the new 17th.[108]
The new map drew the home of Democrat Conor Lamb, who won a special election for the old 18th District, into the new 17th. The 17th is far less Republican than its predecessor, and voted for Democrats downballot, leading to speculation that Lamb would run for a full term in the 17th regardless of the special election result.[7] On March 14, Democratic officials in Beaver County, which is entirely within the 17th, received a written request from Lamb for their endorsement in the 2018 general election.[109] On March 20, Lamb formally filed to run for a full term in the 17th.[110]
Nominee
- Keith Rothfus, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Keith Rothfus (incumbent) | 38,466 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 38,466 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 52,508 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 52,508 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Keith Rothfus (R)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[111]
- Organizations
- BIPAC[29]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[31]
Conor Lamb (D)
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 16, 2018
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Keith Rothfus (R) |
Conor Lamb (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth University | October 5–8, 2018 | 354 | ± 5.2% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
| Monmouth University | July 19–22, 2018 | 355 LV | ± 5.2% | 40% | 53% | 2% | 5% |
| 401 RV | ± 4.9% | 39% | 51% | 2% | 9% | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[45] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[46] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[47] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[48] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conor Lamb (incumbent) | 183,162 | 56.3 | |
| Republican | Keith Rothfus (incumbent) | 142,417 | 43.7 | |
| Total votes | 325,579 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 18
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 Precinct results Doyle: 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district formerly consisted of the southern suburbs of Pittsburgh, but the new district is now centered on Pittsburgh itself. The district overlaps with the former 14th district, which is represented by Democrat Michael F. Doyle.[7] Doyle has held office since 1995. He ran unopposed in the general election.
Nominee
- Michael F. Doyle, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 51,879 | 75.9 | |
| Democratic | Janis Brooks | 16,488 | 24.1 | |
| Total votes | 68,367 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Mike Doyle (D)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Doyle (incumbent) | 231,472 | 96.1 | |
| Write-in | 9,452 | 3.9 | ||
| Total votes | 231,472 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
References
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Mary Gay Scanlon, Madeleine Dean, Susan Wild and Chrissy Houlahan stand to become the first women from Pennsylvania to serve full terms in Congress since 2014
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)"Second, should the Pennsylvania General Assembly choose to submit a congressional districting plan that satisfies the requirements of the Pennsylvania Constitution, it shall submit such plan for consideration by the Governor on or before February 9, 2018. If the Governor accepts the General Assembly's congressional districting plan, it shall be submitted to this Court on or before February 15, 2018." - Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
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- Christina Houlahan's Ratings and Endorsements
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- Donald J. Trump. ".@JohnChrin of Pennsylvania is fantastic. He is strong on the Border, Crime, the Military, our Vets and the 2nd Amendment. He is a powerful vote for #MAGA and loves the Great State of Pennsylvania. Please get out and vote for John, he has my Total and very Strong Endorsement!". Twitter.
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The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed John Chrin for the U.S. House of Representatives in the 8th Congressional District of Pennsylvania.
- "Other candidate" with 1%"
- "Someone else" with 1%
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- Donald J. Trump. "Scott Perry of Pennsylvania is fantastic. He is strong on the Border, Crime, the Military, our Vets and the Second Amendment. Scott has my Total Endorsement!". Twitter.
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- Mahon, Ed (March 20, 2018). "Pa. 2018 election: Who is running for the 11th Congressional District?". York Daily Record. Retrieved May 10, 2018.
Anderson ... decided to run as unaffiliated with any party
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- "Someone else" with 2%
- Tolliver, Sandy (March 11, 2018). "Do the numbers add up for Democrat Conor Lamb in Pennsylvania?". The Hill. Retrieved May 1, 2018.
- Potter, Chris (August 1, 2017). "Rep. Mike Kelly pulls out of crowded Senate race for Casey seat". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved August 1, 2017.
- Wes Venticher (March 15, 2018). "Conor Lamb eyes run for Congress in new district". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review.
- Emily Goodin; John Verhovek (March 15, 2018). "Conor Lamb, Rick Saccone to run again in November in new and different congressional districts". ABC News.
- Eliza Collins (March 20, 2018). "Conor Lamb won Pennsylvania's 18th district. Tuesday he filed in the state's 17th District". USA Today.
- Donald J. Trump. "Congressman Keith Rothfus continues to do a great job for the people of Pennsylvania. Keith is strong on Crime, the Border, and our Second Amendment. Loves our Military and our Vets. He has my total Endorsement!". Twitter.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
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Official campaign websites
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