2018 United States Senate election in Texas

The 2018 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Ted Cruz ran successfully for re-election to a second term against Democratic candidate Beto O'Rourke. The primary for all parties was held on March 6, 2018, making it the first primary of the 2018 season.[2] As Cruz and O'Rourke both won majorities in their primaries, they did not participate in the May 22 runoff primary that was held for some nominations in Texas.[3]

For related races, see 2018 United States Senate elections.
2018 United States Senate election in Texas
November 6, 2018
Turnout53.01% Decrease (of registered voters)
42.07% Decrease (of voting age population)[1]
 
Nominee Ted Cruz Beto O'Rourke
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,260,553 4,045,632
Percentage 50.9% 48.3%
Cruz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
O'Rourke:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Ted Cruz
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Ted Cruz
Republican

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No Democrat has won a general election for statewide office in Texas since Bob Bullock was reelected as lieutenant governor in 1994, with election forecasters declaring it a safe Republican seat at the beginning of the 2018 cycle.[4] However, O'Rourke gradually closed the gap,[5] and leading up to the election, the race was considered unexpectedly competitive.[6]

On Election Day, Cruz defeated O'Rourke[7] by a margin just short of 215,000 votes, or 2.6 percent; the race was the closest U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1978.[8]

Background
Main article: Politics of Texas

In 2012, after a stunning upset victory in the Republican primary, then-Solicitor General of Texas Ted Cruz defeated former member of the Texas House of Representatives Paul Sadler by a 16-point margin (56%–40%). Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. As conservatives began turning to the Republican Party in once strongly Democratic areas, Democratic voters in the state were largely based in the majority-Hispanic communities in Southern Texas and in populous metropolitan cities, such as Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and Dallas, as well as the heavily Hispanic city of El Paso on the state's western tip, which O'Rourke represented in the U.S. House.

Since 1990, Texas has voted for Republican statewide candidates in all elections, whether it be presidential, gubernatorial, or senatorial, often by large margins. In 1998, Governor George W. Bush won re-election by 37 points over his Democratic challenger, Garry Mauro. In 2000, Governor Bush won Texas by 21 points over Vice President Al Gore. In 2004, President Bush won Texas over Senator John Kerry by 23 points, winning rural areas by landslide margins, capturing urban zones, and coming very close to winning the Latino vote (49% to Kerry's 50%). Democrat Barack Obama was defeated by margins of 12 points in 2008, against John McCain, and 16 points in 2012, against Mitt Romney, respectively. However, in 2016, Donald Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton by only a 9-point margin, demonstrating a possible shift away from the Safe Republican status it had held for over a decade. This has led Democrats to begin targeting Texas as a potential future swing state. It should also be noted that Ted Cruz defeated Donald Trump in the Texas Republican primary for U.S. President in 2016.

As of June 2018, Senator Cruz held a 49%–44% approval rating among Texans in a state Donald Trump won by 9 points against Hillary Clinton in 2016. Among groups that tend to affiliate themselves more with the Democratic Party, Senator Cruz held a 29% approval rating among Hispanics, 37% among women, and 42% among college-educated voters.[9]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify
  • Thomas Dillingham, businessman[16]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements
Bruce Jacobson
Individuals
Stefano de Stefano
Media

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz		 Stefano
de Stefano		 Bruce
Jacobson		 Mary
Miller		 Geraldine
Sam		 Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 – ± 4.7% 73% 1% 2% 2% 1% 21%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 612 ± 5.3% 91% 1% 3% 3% 2% –
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz		 Michael
McCaul		 Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies September 29 – October 1, 2016 321 ± 3.5% 52% 12% 7% 29%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 522 – 51% 19% – 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz		 George P.
Bush		 Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 2016 448 – 40% 21% 12% 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz		 Dan
Patrick		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 522 – 49% 27% – 24%
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 2016 448 – 38% 23% 15% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz		 Rick
Perry		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 522 – 37% 46% 18%

Results
County results of the Republican primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018
Cruz
  •   Cruz—≥90%
  •   Cruz—80–90%
  •   Cruz—70–80%
No votes
  •   No votes
Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 1,322,724 85.36%
Republican Mary Miller 94,715 6.11%
Republican Bruce Jacobson Jr. 64,791 4.18%
Republican Stefano de Stefano 44,456 2.87%
Republican Geraldine Sam 22,887 1.48%
Total votes 1,549,573 100%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements
Beto O'Rourke
Newspapers
Organizations
Sema Hernandez
Individuals

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Sema
Hernandez		 Edward
Kimbrough		 Beto
O'Rourke		 Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 – ± 5.7% 6% 4% 38% 53%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 453 ± 7.4% 19% 8% 73% –

Results
County results of the Democratic primary for Class 1 United States Senate in Texas, 2018
  O'Rourke
  •   O'Rourke—>90%
  •   O'Rourke—80-90%
  •   O'Rourke—70-80%
  •   O'Rourke—60-70%
  •   O'Rourke—50-60%
  •   O'Rourke—40-50%
  •   O'Rourke—<40%
  •   Kimbrough / O'Rourke—50%
  O'Rourke/Hernandez tie
  •   O'Rourke/Hernandez tie—<50%
  O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie
  •   O'Rourke/Kimbrough tie—50%
  Hernandez
  •   Hernandez—>90%
  •   Hernandez—80-90%
  •   Hernandez—70-80%
  •   Hernandez—60-70%
  •   Hernandez—50-60%
  •   Hernandez—40-50%
  •   Hernandez—<40%
  Kimbrough
  •   Kimbrough—<40%
  •   Kimbrough—40-50%
  •   Kimbrough—50-60%
  •   Kimbrough—60-70%
  •   Kimbrough—70-80%
  •   Kimbrough—80-90%
  •   Kimbrough—>90%
Democratic primary results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 644,632 61.81%
Democratic Sema Hernandez 247,424 23.72%
Democratic Edward Kimbrough 150,858 14.47%
Total votes 1,042,914 100%

Libertarian nomination

Nominated

Independents

Declared

Declined

Notes
  1. American Citizen Party does not have ballot access. Appears on ballot as "Independent".[53]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Tossup October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[57] Likely R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Lean R November 5, 2018
CNN[59] Lean R October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[60] Lean R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[61] Lean R October 5, 2018
Fox News[62][lower-alpha 1] Lean R October 30, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

Endorsements
Ted Cruz (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Texas State Senators
Texas State Representatives
Local officeholders
Individuals
Labor unions
  • San Antonio Police Officers Association[87]
Organizations
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Texas State Senators
  • Wendy Davis, former State Senator (D-10th District) and 2014 Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas[113]
Texas State Representatives
  • Chris Turner, State Representative (101st District) and Chair of the Texas House Democratic Caucus[114]
Local officeholders
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Fundraising

In the third quarter of 2018, O'Rourke raised $38.1 million. This amount was the largest quarterly total raised by a U.S. Senate candidate[197] until Jaime Harrison raised $57 million in the third quarter of 2020 in the South Carolina election.[198] Cruz and O'Rourke combined to raise a record-setting total of $126 million during the 2018 campaign.[199][200]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Ted Cruz (R) $45,668,718 $45,990,176 $157,959
Beto O'Rourke (D) $80,344,836 $80,458,720 $284,816
Neal Dikeman (L) $33,732 $33,398 $333
Source: Federal Election Commission[200]

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Neal
Dikeman (L)		 Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) November 3–5, 2018 2,135 ± 2.1% 52% 43% – 1% 4%
Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC) November 1–2, 2018 1,211 – 49% 49% 1% – –
Emerson College October 28–30, 2018 781 ± 3.7% 50% 47% 1% – 2%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 2018 1,078 ± 3.5% 51% 46% – 1% 3%
University of Texas Tyler October 15–28, 2018 905 LV – 47% 43% – 4% 6%
1,033 RV ± 3.0% 47% 42% – 4% 8%
Dixie Strategies October 25–26, 2018 588 ± 4.0% 52% 42% – – 5%
GBA Strategies (D-End Citizens United) October 18–21, 2018 1,000 ± 4.0% 50% 46% 2% – 2%
University of Texas/YouGov October 15–21, 2018 927 ± 3.2% 51% 45% 2% 2% –
Ipsos October 12–18, 2018 1,298 ± 3.2% 49% 44% – 3% 1%
Tulchin Research (D-MoveOn) October 10–14, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 49% 45% 3% – 3%
CNN/SSRS October 9–13, 2018 716 LV ± 4.5% 52% 45% – 0% 2%
862 RV ± 4.1% 50% 45% – 0% 3%
WPA Intelligence (R-Club for Growth) October 8–13, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 52% 43% 1% – 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–11, 2018 800 ± 3.6% 51% 43% 1% – 5%
Quinnipiac University October 3–9, 2018 730 ± 4.4% 54% 45% – 0% 2%
YouGov October 2–5, 2018 881 – 50% 44% – 2% 4%
Emerson College October 1–5, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 47% 42% – 3% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) September 19–20, 2018 613 ± 4.0% 48% 45% – – 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) September 19–20, 2018 603 ± 4.0% 49% 46% – – 5%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018 508 ± 4.4% 50% 50% – – –
Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2018 807 ± 4.1% 54% 45% – 0% 1%
Chism Strategies (D-Reform Austin) September 11–12, 2018 1,161 ± 3.0% 49% 45% – – 5%
Ipsos September 6–14, 2018 992 ± 4.0% 45% 47% – 3% 5%
Crosswind Media & Public Relations September 6–9, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 47% 44% – – –
Dixie Strategies September 6–7, 2018 519 ± 4.3% 46% 42% 1% – 11%
Emerson College August 22–25, 2018 550 ± 4.4% 38% 37% – 4% 21%
NBC News/Marist August 12–16, 2018 759 ± 3.8% 49% 45% – 1% 6%
Civiqs[lower-alpha 1] August 8–11, 2018 –[lower-alpha 2] – 47% 48% – – –
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) August 1–2, 2018 797 ± 3.5% 46% 42% – – –
Quinnipiac University July 26–31, 2018 1,118 ± 3.5% 49% 43% – 0% 6%
Texas Lyceum July 9–26, 2018 441 LV ± 4.7% 41% 39% 1% – 19%
806 RV ± 3.5% 36% 34% 3% – 24%
Gravis Marketing July 3–7, 2018 602 ± 4.0% 51% 42% – – 7%
YouGov June 19–22, 2018 821 LV – 50% 40% – 3% 7%
1,025 RV ± 3.6% 44% 36% – 3% 13%
University of Texas/YouGov June 8–17, 2018 1,200 ± 2.8% 41% 36% 2% 3% 17%
GQR Research (D-End Citizens United) May 29 – June 5, 2018 1,000 ± 3.1% 49% 43% – – 8%
Quinnipiac University May 23–29, 2018 961 ± 3.8% 50% 39% – 0% 9%
Baselice & Associates (R-TLRPAC) May 21–28, 2018 601 ± 4.1% 48% 36% 3% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D-Giffords) May 21–22, 2018 861 ± 3.3% 48% 42% – – 10%
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) May 19–21, 2018 575 ± 4.1% 47% 40% – 6%[201] 7%
Quinnipiac University April 12–17, 2018 1,029 ± 3.6% 47% 44% – 1% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) January 17–18, 2018 757 ± 3.6% 45% 37% – – 18%
WPA Intelligence (R-Cruz) December 12–14, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 52% 34% – 1% 13%
Texas Lyceum April 3–9, 2017 1,000 ± 3.1% 30% 30% – 3% 37%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz (R)		 Joaquin
Castro (D)		 Other Undecided
Texas Lyceum April 3–9, 2017 1,000 ± 3.1% 31% 35% 3% 31%
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 944 ± 3.2% 48% 36% – 16%
Dixie Strategies August 8–9, 2016 1,018 ± 3.1% 32% 31% 14% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ted
Cruz (R)		 Wendy
Davis (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 12–14, 2016 944 ± 3.2% 49% 37% 14%

Results

On November 6, 2018, Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke. However, O'Rourke gave Democrats their best performance in a Texas statewide election since Ann Richards was elected governor in 1990.[202] In addition, O'Rourke flipped several counties in Texas that Donald Trump carried in 2016, including Williamson (includes Round Rock and Georgetown), historically conservative Tarrant (includes Fort Worth and suburbs within the DFW metroplex), Jefferson (includes Beaumont and Port Arthur), Nueces (includes Corpus Christi), sparsely populated Brewster (includes Big Bend National Park), and Hays (includes San Marcos). Cruz only flipped one county that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, sparsely populated Kenedy (coastal region south of Corpus Christi).

United States Senate election in Texas, 2018[203]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 4,260,553 50.89% -5.57%
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 4,045,632 48.33% +7.71%
Libertarian Neal Dikeman 65,470 0.78% -1.28%
Total votes 8,371,655 100% N/A
Republican hold

By county
Legend
Counties won by Cruz
Counties won by O'Rourke
2018 U.S. Senate election results by Texas county
County Cruz
Republican		 O'Rourke
Democratic		 Dikeman
Libertarian		 Margin Total
votes
Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  %
Anderson11,33576.92%3,30722.44%940.64%8,02854.48%14,736
Andrews3,33880.80%77618.78%170.41%2,56262.02%4,131
Angelina19,16672.46%7,13026.96%1530.58%12,03645.51%26,449
Aransas6,67774.35%2,24725.02%560.62%4,43049.33%8,980
Archer3,20889.06%37610.44%180.50%2,83278.62%3,602
Armstrong81991.10%748.23%60.67%74582.87%899
Atascosa7,75363.53%4,33235.50%1190.98%3,42128.03%12,204
Austin8,77279.05%2,24120.19%840.76%6,53158.85%11,097
Bailey1,20474.50%40525.06%70.43%79949.44%1,616
Bandera7,64379.75%1,86519.46%760.79%5,77860.29%9,584
Bastrop15,06754.87%12,08244.00%3121.14%2,98510.87%27,461
Baylor1,07086.64%15612.63%90.73%91474.01%1,235
Bee4,34260.16%2,81138.95%640.89%1,53121.21%7,217
Bell47,43754.79%38,41744.37%7230.84%9,02010.42%86,577
Bexar217,60039.59%326,94659.49%5,0240.91%109,34619.90%549,570
Blanco4,18171.99%1,57027.03%570.98%2,61144.96%5,808
Borden32093.29%226.41%10.29%29886.88%343
Bosque5,71879.92%1,37419.20%630.88%4,34460.71%7,155
Bowie20,15771.17%7,98228.18%1820.64%12,17542.99%28,321
Brazoria65,69358.78%45,22840.47%8320.74%20,46518.31%111,753
Brazos35,97155.78%27,87643.23%6400.99%8,09512.55%64,487
Brewster1,87945.99%2,14752.55%601.47%2686.56%4,086
Briscoe55388.62%6911.06%20.32%48477.56%624
Brooks54328.24%1,37671.55%40.21%83343.32%1,923
Brown10,39185.65%1,67013.77%710.59%8,72171.88%12,132
Burleson5,07977.54%1,42621.77%450.69%3,65355.77%6,550
Burnet13,85974.95%4,44424.03%1871.01%9,41550.92%18,490
Caldwell6,14753.54%5,22745.53%1070.93%9208.01%11,481
Calhoun4,19868.61%1,87430.63%470.77%2,32437.98%6,119
Callahan4,37387.06%61012.14%400.80%3,76374.92%5,023
Cameron28,57436.67%48,77062.60%5680.73%20,19625.92%77,912
Camp2,74970.63%1,11928.75%240.62%1,63041.88%3,892
Carson2,19289.14%2459.96%220.89%1,94779.18%2,459
Cass8,14879.75%2,02419.81%450.44%6,12459.94%10,217
Castro1,21975.11%39424.28%100.62%82550.83%1,623
Chambers12,14680.01%2,92619.27%1090.72%9,22060.73%15,181
Cherokee11,63177.85%3,20721.46%1030.69%8,42456.38%14,941
Childress1,52686.21%23613.33%80.45%1,29072.88%1,770
Clay3,71086.52%54712.76%310.72%3,16373.76%4,288
Cochran54178.86%14020.41%50.73%40158.45%686
Coke1,15088.67%13710.56%100.77%1,01378.10%1,297
Coleman2,75988.26%35111.23%160.51%2,40877.03%3,126
Collin187,24552.63%165,61446.55%2,9270.82%21,6316.08%355,786
Collingsworth81087.28%11312.18%50.54%69775.11%928
Colorado5,77975.67%1,82523.90%330.43%3,95451.77%7,637
Comal44,07971.68%16,83027.37%5860.95%27,24944.31%61,495
Comanche3,79982.41%78116.94%300.65%3,01865.47%4,610
Concho80381.94%16316.63%141.43%64065.31%980
Cooke11,87981.70%2,55017.54%1110.76%9,32964.16%14,540
Coryell10,62666.99%5,06731.94%1701.07%5,55935.04%15,863
Cottle45882.23%9717.41%20.36%36164.81%557
Crane83679.24%21320.19%60.57%62359.05%1,055
Crockett92872.73%34026.65%80.63%58846.08%1,276
Crosby97868.78%43730.73%70.49%54138.05%1,422
Culberson29735.91%52163.00%91.09%22427.09%827
Dallam97087.00%13912.47%60.54%83174.53%1,115
Dallas241,12433.13%481,39566.14%5,3680.74%240,27133.01%727,887
Dawson2,19272.70%81126.90%120.40%1,38145.80%3,015
Deaf Smith2,68070.99%1,06728.26%280.74%1,61342.73%3,775
Delta1,56280.85%35418.32%160.83%1,20862.53%1,932
Denton158,74453.67%134,64945.52%2,4090.81%24,0958.15%295,802
Dewitt4,97481.13%1,12818.40%290.47%3,84662.73%6,131
Dickens63584.22%11314.99%60.80%52269.23%754
Dimmit84029.03%2,04270.56%120.41%1,20241.53%2,894
Donley1,11086.79%16112.59%80.63%94974.20%1,279
Duval1,33032.34%2,76567.23%180.44%1,43534.89%4,113
Eastland5,37786.66%80012.89%280.45%4,57773.76%6,205
Ector20,99668.90%9,23030.29%2480.81%11,76638.61%30,474
Edwards60479.79%14519.15%81.06%45960.63%757
Ellis41,02267.71%19,10631.53%4610.76%21,91636.17%60,589
El Paso50,94325.02%151,48274.40%1,1890.58%100,53949.38%203,614
Erath10,05579.64%2,48619.69%840.66%7,56959.95%12,625
Falls3,21568.70%1,44530.88%200.43%1,77037.82%4,680
Fannin8,56979.71%2,10719.60%740.69%6,46260.11%10,750
Fayette8,22878.52%2,19820.98%530.51%6,03057.54%10,479
Fisher1,13976.24%34022.76%151.00%79953.48%1,494
Floyd1,39474.19%47625.33%90.48%91848.86%1,879
Foard32173.79%11325.98%10.23%20847.82%435
Fort Bend111,42343.62%142,39955.75%1,6160.63%30,97612.13%255,438
Franklin3,30083.04%63916.08%350.88%2,66166.96%3,974
Freestone5,24379.90%1,27919.49%400.61%3,96460.41%6,562
Frio1,63644.46%2,01654.78%280.76%38010.33%3,680
Gaines3,31786.18%51313.33%190.49%2,80472.85%3,849
Galveston67,64159.53%45,06539.66%9160.81%22,57619.87%113,622
Garza1,06882.98%20315.77%161.24%86567.21%1,287
Gillespie9,89078.85%2,57220.51%810.65%7,31858.34%12,543
Glasscock51392.60%376.68%40.72%47685.92%554
Goliad2,32675.72%71723.34%290.94%1,60952.38%3,072
Gonzales4,17374.19%1,42125.26%310.55%2,75248.92%5,625
Gray5,24688.90%61510.42%400.68%4,63178.48%5,901
Grayson31,65573.37%11,15725.86%3320.77%20,49847.51%43,144
Gregg24,56968.37%11,13330.98%2340.65%13,43637.39%35,936
Grimes6,49975.51%2,03723.67%710.82%4,46251.84%8,607
Guadalupe33,93862.19%20,07936.79%5541.02%13,85925.40%54,571
Hale5,36072.51%1,97026.65%620.84%3,39045.86%7,392
Hall80783.11%16116.58%30.31%64666.53%971
Hamilton2,79583.93%50715.23%280.84%2,28868.71%3,330
Hansford1,55290.76%1388.07%201.17%1,41482.69%1,710
Hardeman97383.73%18515.92%40.34%78867.81%1,162
Hardin17,39186.53%2,63613.12%710.35%14,75573.42%20,098
Harris498,90241.31%700,20057.98%8,6520.72%201,29816.67%1,207,754
Harrison16,22671.82%6,24527.64%1220.54%9,98144.18%22,593
Hartley1,46790.33%1539.42%40.25%1,31480.91%1,624
Haskell1,36281.36%30218.04%100.60%1,06063.32%1,674
Hays33,30841.77%45,58457.16%8541.07%12,27615.39%79,746
Hemphill1,20987.93%15711.42%90.65%1,05276.51%1,375
Henderson20,89178.80%5,41520.43%2050.77%15,47658.38%26,511
Hidalgo46,50530.64%104,41668.81%8340.55%57,91138.16%151,755
Hill8,92778.08%2,44321.37%630.55%6,48456.71%11,433
Hockley4,84479.49%1,21119.87%390.64%3,63359.62%6,094
Hood20,09080.34%4,72018.88%1950.78%15,37061.47%25,005
Hopkins9,30678.07%2,54521.35%690.58%6,76156.72%11,920
Houston5,55275.43%1,77224.08%360.49%3,78051.36%7,360
Howard5,65176.32%1,69322.87%600.81%3,95853.46%7,404
Hudspeth50954.56%40743.62%171.82%10210.93%933
Hunt21,11574.12%7,15125.10%2220.78%13,96449.02%28,488
Hutchinson5,85488.14%75311.34%350.53%5,10176.80%6,642
Irion63686.18%9613.01%60.81%54073.17%738
Jack2,49888.80%29610.52%190.68%2,20278.28%2,813
Jackson3,99182.46%83217.19%170.35%3,15965.27%4,840
Jasper9,50480.32%2,28219.29%470.40%7,22261.03%11,833
Jeff Davis68358.03%46639.59%282.38%21718.44%1,177
Jefferson36,73149.48%37,12850.01%3800.51%3970.53%74,239
Jim Hogg41027.74%1,06071.72%80.54%65043.98%1,478
Jim Wells4,52045.66%5,33153.85%490.49%8118.19%9,900
Johnson39,57175.47%12,41123.67%4540.87%27,16051.80%52,436
Jones4,11582.56%83216.69%370.74%3,28365.87%4,984
Karnes2,90070.12%1,20329.09%330.80%1,69741.03%4,136
Kaufman26,11868.07%12,00231.28%2520.66%14,11636.79%38,372
Kendall15,29277.25%4,34021.92%1640.83%10,95255.32%19,796
Kenedy10055.56%7742.78%31.67%2312.78%180
Kent28885.46%4413.06%51.48%24472.40%337
Kerr16,82275.76%5,19823.41%1850.83%11,62452.35%22,205
Kimble1,49587.73%19511.44%140.82%1,30076.29%1,704
King12494.66%64.58%10.76%11890.08%131
Kinney82768.97%35829.86%141.17%46939.12%1,199
Kleberg4,08147.48%4,45651.84%590.69%3754.36%8,596
Knox85578.23%22920.95%90.82%62657.27%1,093
Lamar12,71176.72%3,73122.52%1260.76%8,98054.20%16,568
Lamb2,74179.29%69920.22%170.49%2,04259.07%3,457
Lampasas5,83678.13%1,56921.00%650.87%4,26757.12%7,470
La Salle67345.20%81354.60%30.20%1409.40%1,489
Lavaca6,68886.44%1,01913.17%300.39%5,66973.27%7,737
Lee4,48776.74%1,32222.61%380.65%3,16554.13%5,847
Leon5,71186.67%85512.98%230.35%4,85673.70%6,589
Liberty16,04177.96%4,42121.49%1140.55%11,62056.47%20,576
Limestone5,21175.35%1,67224.18%330.48%3,53951.17%6,916
Lipscomb94288.28%11610.87%90.84%82677.41%1,067
Live Oak3,02982.96%60116.46%210.58%2,42866.50%3,651
Llano7,95478.33%2,12420.92%760.75%5,83057.42%10,154
Loving4787.04%611.11%11.85%4175.93%54
Lubbock58,78064.19%32,06835.02%7310.80%26,71229.17%91,579
Lynn1,36980.67%32319.03%50.29%1,04661.64%1,697
McCulloch2,24584.05%40014.98%260.97%1,84569.08%2,671
Mclennan45,85561.24%28,45238.00%5680.76%17,40323.24%74,875
McMullen38790.00%419.53%20.47%34680.47%430
Madison3,03379.17%78020.36%180.47%2,25358.81%3,831
Marion2,44870.00%1,01829.11%310.89%1,43040.89%3,497
Martin1,29783.46%24315.64%140.90%1,05467.82%1,554
Mason1,56079.31%40220.44%50.25%1,15858.87%1,967
Matagorda7,33070.10%3,04929.16%780.75%4,28140.94%10,457
Maverick2,95127.38%7,72771.71%980.91%4,77644.32%10,776
Medina11,44470.73%4,62128.56%1140.70%6,82342.17%16,179
Menard63280.72%14518.52%60.77%48762.20%783
Midland32,86778.34%8,72320.79%3650.87%24,14457.55%41,955
Milam5,92274.15%1,99725.00%680.85%3,92549.14%7,987
Mills1,76488.02%22911.43%110.55%1,53576.60%2,004
Mitchell1,58582.85%32316.88%50.26%1,26265.97%1,913
Montague6,42486.57%94112.68%560.75%5,48373.88%7,421
Montgomery137,39572.28%51,26826.97%1,4330.75%86,12745.31%190,096
Moore3,24880.00%78719.38%250.62%2,46160.62%4,060
Morris2,95369.74%1,26029.76%210.50%1,69339.99%4,234
Motley48391.65%407.59%40.76%44384.06%527
Nacogdoches13,77563.68%7,73235.74%1260.58%6,04327.93%21,633
Navarro10,39172.08%3,91827.18%1070.74%6,47344.90%14,416
Newton3,66078.27%99321.24%230.49%2,66757.04%4,676
Nolan3,12076.58%92822.78%260.64%2,19253.80%4,074
Nueces45,95648.85%47,39250.38%7190.76%1,4361.53%94,067
Ochiltree2,16089.44%2309.52%251.04%1,93079.92%2,415
Oldham73289.71%8210.05%20.25%65079.66%816
Orange21,16480.37%5,05019.18%1180.45%16,11461.20%26,332
Palo Pinto7,54780.03%1,83719.48%460.49%5,71060.55%9,430
Panola7,12081.38%1,59818.26%310.35%5,52263.12%8,749
Parker44,07180.87%9,95618.27%4680.86%34,11562.60%54,495
Parmer1,67581.43%37218.08%100.49%1,30363.34%2,057
Pecos2,16161.39%1,33938.04%200.57%82223.35%3,520
Polk12,79476.38%3,85022.99%1060.63%8,94453.40%16,750
Potter16,68968.33%7,52130.79%2140.88%9,16837.54%24,424
Presidio43626.15%1,22173.25%100.60%78547.09%1,667
Rains3,70284.02%68115.46%230.52%3,02168.57%4,406
Randall38,47979.41%9,61319.84%3630.75%28,86659.57%48,455
Reagan69282.97%13616.31%60.72%55666.67%834
Real1,31183.82%24515.66%80.51%1,06668.16%1,564
Red River3,42777.57%97322.02%180.41%2,45455.55%4,418
Reeves1,12847.04%1,25552.34%150.63%1275.30%2,398
Refugio1,63665.65%84733.99%90.36%78931.66%2,492
Roberts44195.87%194.13%00.00%42291.74%460
Robertson4,29568.52%1,94230.98%310.49%2,35337.54%6,268
Rockwall26,61568.77%11,75430.37%3300.85%14,86138.40%38,699
Runnels2,84287.88%38511.90%70.22%2,45775.97%3,234
Rusk12,59777.37%3,60922.17%760.47%8,98855.20%16,282
Sabine3,45687.12%49612.50%150.38%2,96074.62%3,967
San Augustine2,26675.13%73424.34%160.53%1,53250.80%3,016
San Jacinto7,49980.30%1,78519.11%550.59%5,71461.18%9,339
San Patricio11,33562.22%6,77737.20%1070.59%4,55825.02%18,219
San Saba1,81187.53%24711.94%110.53%1,56475.59%2,069
Schleicher73577.21%20921.95%80.84%52655.25%952
Scurry3,70584.92%64214.71%160.37%3,06370.20%4,363
Shackelford1,17491.65%1038.04%40.31%1,07183.61%1,281
Shelby6,00879.46%1,52120.12%320.42%4,48759.34%7,561
Sherman69284.18%8710.58%435.23%60573.60%822
Smith53,76069.46%23,18229.95%4580.59%30,57839.51%77,400
Somervell3,03382.17%63317.15%250.68%2,40065.02%3,691
Starr2,44322.65%8,27376.72%680.63%5,83054.06%10,784
Stephens2,63188.65%32410.92%130.44%2,30777.73%2,968
Sterling44290.95%449.05%00.00%39881.89%486
Stonewall49780.94%11218.24%50.81%38562.70%614
Sutton93477.45%26521.97%70.58%66955.47%1,206
Swisher1,46177.10%42022.16%140.74%1,04154.93%1,895
Tarrant309,18949.24%313,49749.93%5,2080.83%4,3080.69%627,894
Taylor29,81173.32%10,48925.80%3570.88%19,32247.52%40,657
Terrell32369.16%13929.76%51.07%18439.40%467
Terry2,16977.11%62922.36%150.53%1,54054.75%2,813
Throckmorton61787.77%7710.95%91.28%54076.81%703
Titus5,68571.02%2,26528.29%550.69%3,42042.72%8,005
Tom Green24,64871.18%9,69027.98%2920.84%14,95843.19%34,630
Travis119,27824.63%359,77274.30%5,1541.06%240,49449.67%484,204
Trinity4,14680.12%99819.29%310.60%3,14860.83%5,175
Tyler5,91982.91%1,18516.60%350.49%4,73466.31%7,139
Upshur11,52982.44%2,36416.91%910.65%9,16565.54%13,984
Upton85482.83%16916.39%80.78%68566.44%1,031
Uvalde4,34854.80%3,52844.46%590.74%82010.33%7,935
Val Verde5,34546.87%5,95552.21%1050.92%6105.35%11,405
Van Zandt15,18284.66%2,63414.69%1160.65%12,54869.98%17,932
Victoria19,00569.85%8,04629.57%1570.58%10,95940.28%27,208
Walker11,53564.61%6,18634.65%1320.74%5,34929.96%17,853
Waller10,16761.24%6,33538.16%1010.61%3,83223.08%16,603
Ward2,09671.78%80027.40%240.82%1,29644.38%2,920
Washington10,13475.11%3,26324.18%950.70%6,87150.93%13,492
Webb13,81427.97%35,15971.20%4080.83%21,34543.23%49,381
Wharton9,09470.27%3,79329.31%550.42%5,30140.96%12,942
Wheeler1,67992.76%1256.91%60.33%1,55485.86%1,810
Wichita23,64869.72%9,97129.40%2990.88%13,67740.32%33,918
Wilbarger2,63976.74%77622.56%240.70%1,86354.17%3,439
Willacy1,52735.31%2,77364.12%250.58%1,24628.81%4,325
Williamson99,85747.96%105,85050.84%2,5141.21%5,9932.88%208,221
Wilson13,02573.51%4,56725.77%1270.72%8,45847.73%17,719
Winkler1,12377.18%32122.06%110.76%80255.12%1,455
Wise19,02382.29%3,91516.94%1790.77%15,10865.35%23,117
Wood13,98783.55%2,63515.74%1180.70%11,35267.81%16,740
Yoakum1,55881.87%33517.60%100.53%1,22364.27%1,903
Young5,54386.54%82112.82%410.64%4,72273.72%6,405
Zapata82136.93%1,39262.62%100.45%57125.69%2,223
Zavala58920.19%2,31379.29%150.51%1,72459.10%2,917
Total 4,351,421 51.43%4,044,631 47.80%65,470 0.77%306,790 3.63%8,461,522
Cruz
Republican		 O'Rourke
Democratic		 Dikeman
Libertarian		 Margin Total
votes
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Cruz won 20 of 36 congressional districts; O'Rourke won the other 16, including three held by Republicans.[204]

District Cruz O'Rourke Representative
1st 71% 28% Louie Gohmert
2nd 50% 49% Ted Poe
Dan Crenshaw
3rd 51% 48% Sam Johnson
Van Taylor
4th 74% 25% John Ratcliffe
5th 60% 39% Jeb Hensarling
Lance Gooden
6th 51% 48% Joe Barton
Ron Wright
7th 46% 53% John Culberson
Lizzie Fletcher
8th 71% 28% Kevin Brady
9th 19% 80% Al Green
10th 49.4% 49.6% Michael McCaul
11th 78% 21% Mike Conaway
12th 60% 39% Kay Granger
13th 79% 20% Mac Thornberry
14th 58% 41% Randy Weber
15th 42% 57% Vicente Gonzalez
16th 26% 73% Beto O'Rourke
Veronica Escobar
17th 54% 45% Bill Flores
18th 20% 79% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 71% 28% Jodey Arrington
20th 33% 66% Joaquín Castro
21st 49.6% 49.5% Lamar Smith
Chip Roy
22nd 49.9% 49.3% Pete Olson
23rd 47% 52% Will Hurd
24th 48% 51% Kenny Marchant
25th 52% 47% Roger Williams
26th 57% 42% Michael Burgess
27th 60% 39% Michael Cloud
28th 40% 59% Henry Cuellar
29th 25% 74% Gene Green
Sylvia Garcia
30th 18% 82% Eddie Bernice Johnson
31st 50% 48% John Carter
32nd 44% 55% Pete Sessions
Colin Allred
33rd 22% 77% Marc Veasey
34th 42% 58% Filemon Vela Jr.
35th 27% 72% Lloyd Doggett
36th 71% 28% Brian Babin

Notes
  1. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  2. Not yet released

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  75. @CBellJr (August 20, 2018). "Honored to be in attendance at McKinzie's BBQ in Conroe with Sen. Ted Cruz, Congressman Kevin Brady, and a host of others. What a great crowd!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  76. @leachfortexas (August 28, 2018). "The momentum is building!! Proud to welcome @GregAbbott_TX & @tedcruz to Collin County for our #Victory2018 Labor Day Kickoff! You won't want to miss this - get your tix today! @KenPaxtonTX @VanTaylorTX @AngelaPaxtonTX @Scott_SanfordTX @MattShaheen @candynoble #KeepTexasStrong" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  77. @TexasCruzer (May 1, 2018). "In tow with Rafael Cruz visiting the #RGV and McAllen! #ToughAsTexas #WeCruzN" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  78. @RepStickland (August 23, 2018). "Looks like @BetoORourke 's comments on the NFL have gone viral. What should go viral are his absolutely insane liberal positions on late term abortion, anti #2a & failed Obamacare for all. He's wrong for Texas. #txlege #CruzCrew @tedcruz" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  84. @marklevinshow (April 18, 2018). "Tight race in Texas? I don't know if this poll is right, but time to rally for Cruz regardless, folks" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  85. @PatrickSvitek (September 19, 2018). ".@TedCruz and @DonaldJTrumpJr to do rally and fundraiser in Wichita Falls on Oct. 3, per local state rep @RepJamesFrank: www.facebook.com/repjamesfrank/posts/1811472588950466?__xts__[0]=68.ARAz0b7kTwEcjp_8QHOL4xtbZB8e8nrhxiYgXnSnpozaY3NrhmznUIxBq92Z5i7PilQO3LBTbRcKobwc75UFz-3PjGyDOE-smtY0b9Wut7Yk150wPPiCvyIWmKt2NN_RR4O8wWfSs5DWCy8S1IEh4s4YacWU-2YadgVJWEthLQ-opMfic2m5aw&__tn__=-R … #txsen #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  86. @RealJamesWoods (October 8, 2018). "All the more reason to vote. Crush "Beto," unless you want more Sheldon Whitehouses and Cory Bookers. #TedCruz #VoteRed2018" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  97. @CoryBooker (September 8, 2018). "In Texas to campaign for @BetoORourke and others. So proud to have just finished a rally in Houston for @Lizzie4Congress a seat that is critical in flipping The House and having a check on Trump's power. Consider giving to her:" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  113. @WendyDavis (August 26, 2018). ".⁦@BetoORourke⁩ is as authentic as it gets. Every day he's speaking to what true TX values embody-that every voice matters & that everyone merits opportunity. You've seen that viral video. Now read this excellent article. Bye-bye ⁦@tedcruz⁩" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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