2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
The 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with a gubernatorial election and U.S. House elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin won a second term, defeating Republican challenger Leah Vukmir by more than 10 percentage points. The primary elections were held on August 14, with a filing deadline on June 1. Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while Vukmir defeated Charles Barman, Griffin Jones, George Lucia and Kevin Nicholson in the Republican primary.[1]
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Turnout | 61.2% | ||||||||||||||||
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Baldwin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Vukmir: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Wisconsin |
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Democratic primary
Nominee
- Tammy Baldwin, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-present)[3]
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. Senator from Illinois (2017-present)[4]
- Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator from Illinois (1997-present), Senate Minority Whip (2015-2021)[5]
- Russ Feingold, U.S. Senator from Wisconsin (1993-2011)[6]
- Al Franken, U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009-2018)[7]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021)[8]
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017-present)[9]
- Doug Jones, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2018-2021)[10]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017-present)[11]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009-present)[12]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator from Michigan (2015-present)[13]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007-present) (Independent)[14]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[15]
- Sheldon Whitehouse, U.S. Senator from Rhode Island (2007-present)[16]
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[17]
- Democracy for America[18]
- EMILY's List[19]
- End Citizens United[20]
- J Street[21]
- League of Conservation Voters[22]
- LegitAction[23]
- MoveOn.org[24]
- National Organization for Women[25]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[27]
- Sierra Club[22]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Baldwin (incumbent) | 510,812 | 99.64% | |
Write-in | 1,848 | 0.36% | ||
Total votes | 512,660 | 100% |
Republican primary
Nominee
- Leah Vukmir, state senator and State Senate Assistant Majority Leader[29]
Eliminated in primary
- Charles Barman[30]
- Griffin Jones[31]
- George Lucia[32]
- Kevin Nicholson, businessman and member of the Wisconsin Board of Veterans Affairs[33]
Declined
- David Clarke, former Milwaukee County Sheriff[34][35]
- Sean Duffy, U.S. Representative (running for reelection)[36][37]
- Mike Gallagher, U.S. Representative[36]
- Glenn Grothman, U.S. Representative[36]
- Eric Hovde, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[36][38]
- Rebecca Kleefisch, Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin[39]
- Nicole Schneider, businesswoman[40][41]
- Charlie Sykes, talk radio host[42]
- Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin (running for reelection)[43]
- Dale Kooyenga, state representative[36]
- Duey Stroebel, state senator[44]
- Scott Fitzgerald, State Senate Majority Leader[36]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Steve Bannon, White House Chief Strategist (2017), executive chairman of Breitbart News[45]
- John Bolton, 25th Ambassador to the United Nations (2005-2006)[46]
- U.S. Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013-present)[47]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011-present)[48]
- State legislators
- Jesse Kremer, state assemblyman from the 59th district (2015-2019)[49]
- David Zien, state senator from the 23rd district (1993-2007)[50]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth[51]
- FreedomWorks[52]
- Great America PAC[53]
- Madison Project[54]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[55]
- Tea Party Patriots[56]
- Wisconsin Family Action[57]
- Wisconsin Right to Life[58]
- Newspapers
- Federal officials
- Reince Priebus, 27th White House Chief of Staff (2017)[60]
- U.S. Representatives
- Sean Duffy, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2011-2019)[61]
- Glenn Grothman, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 6th congressional district (2015-present)[62]
- Paul Ryan, 54th Speaker of the House (2015-2019), U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (1999-2019)[63]
- Jim Sensenbrenner, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 5th congressional district (2003-2021)[63]
- State officials
- Matt Adamczyk, 35th State Treasurer of Wisconsin (2015-2019)[64]
- Margaret Farrow, 42nd Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin (2001-2003)[65]
- State legislators
- Scott Allen, state assemblyman from the 97th district (2015-present)[64]
- Joan Ballweg, state assemblywoman from the 41st district (2005-2021)[64]
- Kathy Bernier, state assemblywoman from the 68th district (2011-2019)[64]
- Mark Born, state assemblyman from the 39th district (2013-present)[66]
- Janel Brandtjen, state assemblyman from the 22nd district (2015-present)[64]
- Ed Brooks, state assemblyman from the 50th district (2009-2019)[66]
- Robert Brooks, state assemblyman from the 60th district (2015-present)[64]
- Dave Craig, state senator from the 28th district (2017-2021)[67]
- Alberta Darling, state senator from the 8th district (1993-2022)[68]
- Mary Felzkowski, state assemblywoman from the 35th district (2013-2021)[69]
- Dan Feyen, state senator from the 18th district (2017-present)[64]
- Scott Fitzgerald, Wisconsin State Senate Majority Leader (2013-2021), state senator from the 13th district (1995-2021)[36]
- Rick Gundrum, state assemblyman from the 58th district (2018-present)[66]
- Cody Horlacher, state assemblyman from the 33rd district (2015-2023)[64]
- André Jacque, state assemblyman from the 2nd district (2011-2019)[64]
- John Jagler, state assemblyman from the 37th district (2013-2021)[64]
- Adam M. Jarchow, state assemblyman from the 28th district (2015-2019)[64]
- Dan Kapanke, state senator from the 32nd district (2005-2011)[64]
- Terry Katsma, state assemblyman from the 26th district (2015-present)[64]
- Samantha Kerkman, state assemblywoman from the 61st district (2013-2022)[64]
- Joel Kitchens, state assemblyman from the 1st district (2015-present)[64]
- Joel Kleefisch, state assemblyman from the 38th district (2005-2019)[70]
- Dan Knodl, state assemblyman from the 24th district (2009-present)[64]
- Dean Knudson, state assemblyman from the 30th district (2011-2017)[64]
- Scott Krug, state assemblyman from the 72nd district (2011-present)[64]
- Mike Kuglitsch, state assemblyman from the 84th district (2011-2022)[64]
- Bob Kulp, state assemblyman from the 69th district (2013-2021)[64]
- Mary Lazich, Wisconsin Senate President (2015-2017), state senator from the 28th district (1998-2017)[64]
- Devin LeMahieu, state senator from the 9th district (2015-present)[64]
- Amy Loudenbeck, state assemblywoman from the 31st district (2013-2023), 45th district (2011-2013)[64]
- John Macco, state assemblyman from the 88th district (2015-present)[66]
- Howard Marklein, Wisconsin Senate President Pro Tempore (2017-2021), state senator from the 17th district (2015-present)[64]
- Dave Murphy, state assemblyman from the 56th district (2013-present)[64]
- Stephen Nass, state senator from the 11th district (2015-present)[64]
- Adam Neylon, state senator from the 98th district (2013-present)[64]
- John Nygren, state assemblyman from the 89th district (2007-2020)[64]
- Luther Olsen, state senator from the 14th district (2005-2021)[64]
- Jim Ott, state assemblyman from the 23rd district (2007-2021)[64]
- Jerry Petrowski, state senator from the 29th district (2012-present)[64]
- Treig Pronschinske, state assemblyman from the 92nd district (2017-present)[69]
- Romaine Quinn, state assemblywoman from the 75th district (2015-2021)[64]
- Mike Rohrkaste, state assemblyman from the 55th district (2015-2021)[64]
- Roger Roth, Wisconsin Senate President (2017-2021), state senator from the 19th district (2015-present)[66]
- Joe Sanfelippo, state assemblyman from the 15th district (2013-2023)[64]
- Michael Schraa, state assemblyman from the 53rd district (2013-present)[64]
- Ken Skowronski, state assemblyman from the 82nd district (2014-2023)[64]
- Patrick Snyder, state assemblyman from the 85th district (2017-present)[64]
- John Spiros, state assemblyman from the 86th district (2013-present)[64]
- Rob Stafsholt, state assemblyman from the 29th district (2017-2021)[64]
- David Steffen, state assemblyman from the 4th district (2015-present)[71]
- Jim Steineke, Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (2015-2022), state assemblyman from the 5th district (2011-2022)[64]
- Duey Stroebel, state senator from the 20th district (2015-present)[44]
- Rob Swearingen, state assemblyman from the 34th district (2013-present)[69]
- Gary Tauchen, state assemblyman from the 6th district (2007-2023)[64]
- Patrick Testin, state senator from the 24th district (2017-present)[64]
- Jeremy Thiesfeldt, state assemblyman from the 52nd district (2011-2023)[64]
- Travis Tranel, state assemblyman from the 49th district (2011-present)[72]
- Van Wanggaard, state senator from the 21st district (2015-present)[73]
- Tom Weatherston, state assemblyman from the 62nd district (2013-2019)[64]
- Chuck Wichgers, state assemblyman from the 83rd district (2017-2023)[64]
- Shannon Zimmerman, state assemblyman from the 30th district (2017-present)[64]
- Local officeholders
- Dave Ament, Mayor of New Berlin[64]
- David Beth, Kenosha County Sheriff[64]
- Christopher Bossert, Washington County Supervisor[66]
- John Bulawa, Washington County Supervisor[72]
- Michael Crowley, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
- Paul Decker, Waukesha County Board Chairman[64]
- Paul Farrow, Waukesha County Executive (2015-present)[64]
- Tyson Fettes, Racine County Register of Deeds[64]
- Adam Gerol, Ozaukee County District Attorney[64]
- Tricia Hanson, Racine County District Attorney[64]
- Darlene Johnson, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
- Bob Long, St. Croix County Supervisor[72]
- Travis Nez, former Price County Supervisor[64]
- Michael Nieskes, St. Croix County District Attorney[72]
- Harley Raebe, Green Lake County Supervisor[64]
- Dale Schmidt, Dodge County Sheriff[64]
- Dan Sebring, Milwaukee County Supervisor[64]
- Lawrence Smith, Winnebago County Supervisor[66]
- Peter Sorce, Washington County Supervisor[64]
- John Spears, Vernon County Sheriff[64]
- Daniel P. Vrakas, Waukesha County Executive (2005-2015)[64]
- Chuck Wood, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
- Fred Zaug, Waupaca County Supervisor[72]
- David Zimmerman, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
- Individuals
- Rachel Campos-Duffy, television personality[74]
- Michael W. Grebe, philanthropist, lawyer, businessman and conservative activist[75]
- John C. McAdams, professor at Marquette University[72]
- Kevin Nicholson, Veteran and former 2018 Senate candidate [76]
- Tonette Walker, First Lady of Wisconsin (2011-2019)[77]
- Jay Weber, WISN-AM talk show host[78]
- Organizations
- Maggie's List[79]
- RightNOW Women[80]
- Republican Party of Wisconsin[81]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[82][83]
- Wisconsin Family Action[57]
- Wisconsin Right to Life[58]
- Wisconsin Young Republicans[84]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kevin Nicholson |
Leah Vukmir |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-18 at the Wayback Machine | July 26–28, 2018 | 238 | ± 6.5% | 35% | 35% | 3% | 27% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 355 | ± 6.1% | 38% | 28% | <1% | 34% |
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC) | July 12–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.0% | 33% | 20% | – | 47% |
Marquette University Archived 2020-03-05 at the Wayback Machine | July 11–15, 2018 | 266 | ± 7.0% | 32% | 34% | 2% | 30% |
Marquette University | June 13–17, 2018 | 274 | ± 6.9% | 37% | 32% | 1% | 30% |
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC) | June 7–12, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.0% | 28% | 14% | – | 58% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Wisconsin Next PAC) | May 31 – June 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 29% | 36% | – | 35% |
American Viewpoint (R-Vukmir) | May 29–31, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 32% | 30% | – | – |
Hodas & Associates (R-Restoration PAC) | April 30 – May 3, 2018 | 240 | ± 6.0% | 46% | 15% | – | – |
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) | April 2–4, 2018 | 1,028 | ± 3.1% | 45% | 27% | – | 28% |
Marquette University | February 25 – March 1, 2018 | 243 | ± 8.2% | 28% | 19% | 2% | 49% |
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) | January 22–23, 2018 | 350 | ± 5.2% | 48% | 9% | 1%[lower-alpha 1] | 42% |
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) | January 2–3, 2018 | 350 | ± 5.2% | 27% | 10% | 2%[lower-alpha 2] | 60% |
WPA Intelligence (R-Nicholson) | December 6–7, 2017 | 1,004 | ± 3.1% | 30% | 23% | 2%[lower-alpha 2] | 45% |
- Notes
- John Schiess 1%
- John Schiess 2%
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Clarke |
Sean Duffy |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies (R) | February 15–16, 2017 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leah Vukmir | 217,230 | 48.90% | |
Republican | Kevin Nicholson | 191,276 | 43.06% | |
Republican | George Lucia | 18,786 | 4.23% | |
Republican | Griffin Jones | 8,699 | 1.96% | |
Republican | Charles Barman | 7,959 | 1.79% | |
Write-in | 303 | 0.07% | ||
Total votes | 444,253 | 100% |
General election
Endorsements
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017-2021)[85]
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017-2021)[86]
- Condoleezza Rice, 66th United States Secretary of State (2005-2009)[87]
- Reince Priebus, 27th White House Chief of Staff (2017)[60]
- U.S. Senators
- Ron Johnson, U.S. Senator from Wisconsin (2011-present)[88]
- U.S. Representatives
- Sean Duffy, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2011-2019)[61]
- Glenn Grothman, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 6th congressional district (2015-present)[62]
- Paul Ryan, 54th Speaker of the House of Representatives (2015-2019), U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (1999-2019)[63]
- Jim Sensenbrenner, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 5th congressional district (2003-2021)[63]
- State officials
- Matt Adamczyk, 35th State Treasurer of Wisconsin (2015-2019)[64]
- Margaret Farrow, 42nd Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin (2001-2003)[65]
- State legislators
- Scott Allen, state assemblyman from the 97th district (2015-present)[64]
- Joan Ballweg, state assemblywoman from the 41st district (2005-2021)[64]
- Kathy Bernier, state assemblywoman from the 68th district (2011-2019)[64]
- Mark Born, state assemblyman from the 39th district (2013-present)[66]
- Janel Brandtjen, state assemblyman from the 22nd district (2015-present)[64]
- Ed Brooks, state assemblyman from the 50th district (2009-2019)[66]
- Robert Brooks, state assemblyman from the 60th district (2015-present)[64]
- Dave Craig, state senator from the 28th district (2017-2021)[67]
- Alberta Darling, state senator from the 8th district (1993-2022)[68]
- Mary Felzkowski, state assemblywoman from the 35th district (2013-2021)[69]
- Dan Feyen, state senator from the 18th district (2017-present)[64]
- Scott Fitzgerald, Wisconsin State Senate Majority Leader (2013-2021), state senator from the 13th district (1995-2021)[36]
- Rick Gundrum, state assemblyman from the 58th district (2018-present)[66]
- Cody Horlacher, state assemblyman from the 33rd district (2015-2023)[64]
- André Jacque, state assemblyman from the 2nd district (2011-2019)[64]
- John Jagler, state assemblyman from the 37th district (2013-2021)[64]
- Adam M. Jarchow, state assemblyman from the 28th district (2015-2019)[64]
- Dan Kapanke, state senator from the 32nd district (2005-2011)[64]
- Terry Katsma, state assemblyman from the 26th district (2015-present)[64]
- Samantha Kerkman, state assemblywoman from the 61st district (2013-2022)[64]
- Joel Kitchens, state assemblyman from the 1st district (2015-present)[64]
- Joel Kleefisch, state assemblyman from the 38th district (2005-2019)[70]
- Dan Knodl, state assemblyman from the 24th district (2009-present)[64]
- Dean Knudson, state assemblyman from the 30th district (2011-2017)[64]
- Scott Krug, state assemblyman from the 72nd district (2011-present)[64]
- Mike Kuglitsch, state assemblyman from the 84th district (2011-2022)[64]
- Bob Kulp, state assemblyman from the 69th district (2013-2021)[64]
- Mary Lazich, Wisconsin Senate President (2015-2017), state senator from the 28th district (1998-2017)[64]
- Devin LeMahieu, state senator from the 9th district (2015-present)[64]
- Amy Loudenbeck, state assemblywoman from the 31st district (2013-2023), 45th district (2011-2013)[64]
- John Macco, state assemblyman from the 88th district (2015-present)[66]
- Howard Marklein, Wisconsin Senate President Pro Tempore (2017-2021), state senator from the 17th district (2015-present)[64]
- Dave Murphy, state assemblyman from the 56th district (2013-present)[64]
- Stephen Nass, state senator from the 11th district (2015-present)[64]
- Adam Neylon, state senator from the 98th district (2013-present)[64]
- John Nygren, state assemblyman from the 89th district (2007-2020)[64]
- Luther Olsen, state senator from the 14th district (2005-2021)[64]
- Jim Ott, state assemblyman from the 23rd district (2007-2021)[64]
- Jerry Petrowski, state senator from the 29th district (2012-present)[64]
- Treig Pronschinske, state assemblyman from the 92nd district (2017-present)[69]
- Romaine Quinn, state assemblywoman from the 75th district (2015-2021)[64]
- Mike Rohrkaste, state assemblyman from the 55th district (2015-2021)[64]
- Roger Roth, Wisconsin Senate President (2017-2021), state senator from the 19th district (2015-present)[66]
- Joe Sanfelippo, state assemblyman from the 15th district (2013-2023)[64]
- Michael Schraa, state assemblyman from the 53rd district (2013-present)[64]
- Ken Skowronski, state assemblyman from the 82nd district (2014-2023)[64]
- Patrick Snyder, state assemblyman from the 85th district (2017-present)[64]
- John Spiros, state assemblyman from the 86th district (2013-present)[64]
- Rob Stafsholt, state assemblyman from the 29th district (2017-2021)[64]
- David Steffen, state assemblyman from the 4th district (2015-present)[71]
- Jim Steineke, Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (2015-2022), state assemblyman from the 5th district (2011-2022)[64]
- Duey Stroebel, state senator from the 20th district (2015-present)[44]
- Rob Swearingen, state assemblyman from the 34th district (2013-present)[69]
- Gary Tauchen, state assemblyman from the 6th district (2007-2023)[64]
- Patrick Testin, state senator from the 24th district (2017-present)[64]
- Jeremy Thiesfeldt, state assemblyman from the 52nd district (2011-2023)[64]
- Travis Tranel, state assemblyman from the 49th district (2011-present)[72]
- Van Wanggaard, state senator from the 21st district (2015-present)[73]
- Tom Weatherston, state assemblyman from the 62nd district (2013-2019)[64]
- Chuck Wichgers, state assemblyman from the 83rd district (2017-2023)[64]
- Shannon Zimmerman, state assemblyman from the 30th district (2017-present)[64]
- Local officeholders
- Dave Ament, Mayor of New Berlin[64]
- David Beth, Kenosha County Sheriff[64]
- Christopher Bossert, Washington County Supervisor[66]
- John Bulawa, Washington County Supervisor[72]
- Michael Crowley, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
- Paul Decker, Waukesha County Board Chairman[64]
- Paul Farrow, Waukesha County Executive (2015-present)[64]
- Tyson Fettes, Racine County Register of Deeds[64]
- Adam Gerol, Ozaukee County District Attorney[64]
- Tricia Hanson, Racine County District Attorney[64]
- Darlene Johnson, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
- Bob Long, St. Croix County Supervisor[72]
- Travis Nez, former Price County Supervisor[64]
- Michael Nieskes, Racine County District Attorney[72]
- Harley Raebe, Green Lake County Supervisor[64]
- Dale Schmidt, Dodge County Sheriff[64]
- Dan Sebring, Milwaukee County Supervisor[64]
- Lawrence Smith, Winnebago County Supervisor[66]
- Peter Sorce, Washington County Supervisor[64]
- John Spears, Vernon County Sheriff[64]
- Daniel P. Vrakas, Waukesha County Executive (2005-2015)[64]
- Chuck Wood, Waukesha County Supervisor[64]
- Fred Zaug, Waupaca County Supervisor[72]
- David Zimmerman, Waukesha County Supervisor[72]
- Individuals
- Eric Trump, businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[89]
- Rachel Campos-Duffy, television personality[74]
- Michael W. Grebe, philanthropist, lawyer, businessman and conservative activist[75]
- John C. McAdams, professor at Marquette University[72]
- Tonette Walker, First Lady of Wisconsin (2011-2019)[77]
- Jay Weber, WISN-AM talk show host[78]
- Organizations
- Maggie's List[79]
- RightNOW Women[80]
- Republican Party of Wisconsin[81]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[82][83]
- Wisconsin Family Action[57]
- Wisconsin Right to Life[58]
- Wisconsin Young Republicans[84]
- Milwaukee Police Association[90]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[91]
- Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017)[92]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017)[93]
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-present)[3]
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. Senator from Illinois (2017-present)[4]
- Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator from Illinois (1997-present), Senate Minority Whip (2015-2021)[5]
- Russ Feingold, U.S. Senator from Wisconsin (1993-2011)[6]
- Al Franken, U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009-2018)[7]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021)[8]
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2017-present)[9]
- Doug Jones, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2018-2021)[10]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017-present)[11]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009-present)[12]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator from Michigan (2015-present)[13]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007-present) (Independent)[14]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[15]
- Sheldon Whitehouse, U.S. Senator from Rhode Island (2007-present)[16]
- U.S. Representatives
- Joe Kennedy III, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 4th congressional district (2013-2021)[94]
- Gwen Moore, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 4th congressional district (2005-present)[95]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district (2013-present)[96]
- State officials
- Tony Evers, 26th Wisconsin Superintendent of Public Instruction (2009-2019) and nominee for Governor of Wisconsin in 2018[97]
- State legislators
- Mandela Barnes, state assemblyman from the 11th district (2013-2017) and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin in 2018[98]
- Local officeholders
- Bill de Blasio, 109th Mayor of New York City (2014-2021)[99]
- Individuals
- Stephanie Schriock, political strategist[100]
- Amy Siskind, activist and writer[101]
- Bradley Whitford, actor and activist[102]
- Organizations
- Alliance for Retired Americans[103]
- Council for a Livable World[17]
- Democracy for America[18]
- EMILY's List[19]
- End Citizens United[20]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee [104]
- J Street[21]
- League of Conservation Voters[22]
- LegitAction[23]
- MoveOn.org[24]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[105]
- National Organization for Women[25]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[27]
- Population Connection[106]
- Rachel's Action Network[107]
- Run with Pride [108]
- Sierra Club[22]
- United Automobile Workers[109]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 8, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2018
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[110] | Likely D | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[111] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[112] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[113][lower-alpha 1] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[114] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[115] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Leah Vukmir (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |
Emerson College | October 29–31, 2018 | 604 | ± 4.1% | 53% | 44% | – | 3% |
Marquette University | October 24–28, 2018 | 1,154 LV | ± 3.2% | 54% | 43% | – | 1% |
1,400 RV | ± 3.0% | 52% | 42% | – | 3% | ||
Ipsos | October 12–18, 2018 | 1,193 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 39% | 3% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | October 10–11, 2018 | 816 | ± 3.4% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
Marquette University | October 3–7, 2018 | 799 LV | ± 3.9% | 53% | 43% | – | 2% |
1,000 RV | ± 3.6% | 53% | 42% | – | 3% | ||
Marist College | September 30 – October 3, 2018 | 571 LV | ± 4.8% | 54% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
781 RV | ± 4.1% | 53% | 40% | 1% | 6% | ||
Ipsos | September 14–24, 2018 | 1,109 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 39% | 4% | 5% |
Marquette University | September 12–16, 2018 | 614 LV | ± 4.4% | 53% | 42% | – | 2% |
800 RV | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | – | 4% | ||
Suffolk University Archived 2018-11-07 at the Wayback Machine | August 18–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% |
Marquette University | August 15–19, 2018 | 601 LV | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | – | 2% |
800 RV | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 4% | ||
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-18 at the Wayback Machine | July 26–28, 2018 | 632 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 36% | 4% | 10% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 906 | ± 3.8% | 55% | 38% | 1% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 968 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 40% | – | 4% |
Marquette University | June 13–17, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | March 15–16, 2018 | 910 | ± 3.3% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
- with Kevin Nicholson
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Kevin Nicholson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-18 at the Wayback Machine | July 26–28, 2018 | 632 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 906 | ± 3.8% | 54% | 39% | 1% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 968 | ± 4.5% | 55% | 42% | – | 3% |
Marquette University | June 13–17, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 39% | – | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | March 15–16, 2018 | 910 | ± 3.3% | 51% | 38% | – | 11% |
- with generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | February 12 – March 5, 2018 | 1,668 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
- with David Clarke
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
David Clarke (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies (R) | February 9–10, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 35% | 2% | 14% |
- with Sean Duffy
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Sean Duffy (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies (R) | February 9–10, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 36% | 2% | 13% |
Results
Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race, Baldwin ended up winning by over 10 percentage points, which was the highest margin of victory for a Wisconsin Democratic statewide candidate in 2018. She ran up the margins in the traditional Democratic strongholds of Milwaukee and Madison, but also won in western Wisconsin, Green Bay and most of the counties bordering Illinois, including Racine, Rock, and Kenosha counties.[116]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Baldwin (incumbent) | 1,472,914 | 55.36% | +3.95% | |
Republican | Leah Vukmir | 1,184,885 | 44.53% | -1.33% | |
Write-in | 2,964 | 0.11% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 2,660,763 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Despite winning by over 10 percentage points, Baldwin only won 3 out of 8 Congressional districts.
District | Vukmir | Baldwin | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 50.3% | 49.6% | Bryan Steil |
2nd | 26.4% | 73.4% | Mark Pocan |
3rd | 43.5% | 56.4% | Ron Kind |
4th | 21.3% | 78.6% | Gwen Moore |
5th | 56.9% | 43.0% | Jim Sensenbrenner |
6th | 52.4% | 47.5% | Glenn Grothman |
7th | 52.2% | 47.7% | Tom Tiffany |
8th | 51.5% | 48.5% | Mike Gallagher |
See also
Notes
References
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- "WI-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Fuel Tammy Baldwin's (D) Re-Election Campaign". Daily Kos. March 11, 2018.
- "WI-Sen: Sen. Tammy Duckwoth (D. IL) Refuses To Let Cadet Bone Spurs Defeat A Fellow Tammy". Daily Kos. March 27, 2018.
- "WI, FL & VA-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. October 30, 2017.
- "WI-Sen: Russ Feingold (D) Refuses To Let Right-Wing Billionaires Defeat Tammy Baldwin (D)". Daily Kos. June 22, 2017.
- "WI-Sen: Al Franken (D. MN) Helps Fuel Tammy Baldwin's (D) Campaign To Continue To Take On Trump". Daily Kos. June 22, 2017.
- "WI-Sen: Kamala Harris (D. CA) Helps Tammy Baldwin (D) Keep Up The Fight To Defeat Trumpcare". Daily Kos. June 22, 2017.
- "MA, MO & WI-Sen: Sen. Maggie Hassan (D. NH) Helps These Women Persist & Resist Trump". Daily Kos. November 7, 2017.
- Jones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Baldwin.
- "MO & WI-Sen: Sen Catherine Cortez Masto (D. NV) Helps These Dems Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. September 29, 2017.
- "WI-Sen: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Refuses To Let Trump & The Kochs Take Down Tammy Baldwin (D)". Daily Kos. March 9, 2018.
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- Tammy Baldwin. "Exciting announcement: @BernieSanders is coming to Wisconsin to show that he's on #TeamTammy!". Twitter.
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- ""Cop Under Fire:" Sheriff Clarke says he won't run for Senate, criticizes Gov. Walker in new book". March 1, 2017.
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- Stein, Jason (June 27, 2017). "Nicole Schneider won't run for Senate against Tammy Baldwin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
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- "I'm proud to support my colleague, friend and consistent conservative warrior @LeahVukmir for US Senate. #WIsen". Twitter. September 7, 2017. Retrieved September 7, 2017.
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- Jesse Kremer. "Proud to be endorsing @KevinMNicholson for US Senate!". Twitter.
- Sarah Seifert (May 16, 2018). "Third Wisconsin veterans' tour draws in candidate for U.S. Senate seat at Chippewa Falls stop". Chippewa Herald.
- "Club PAC-Endorsed Candidates". Club for Growth.
- "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Kevin Nicholson in Wisconsin Senate Race | FreedomWorks for America". Archived from the original on October 19, 2017. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
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- "The Madison Project Endorses Kevin Nicholson". Madison Project. August 24, 2017.
- "Kevin Nicholson for U.S. Senate". Senate Conservatives Fund. August 9, 2018.
- "Citizens Fund Endorses Kevin Nicholson for Senate in Wisconsin". Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund. April 16, 2018.
- "WISCONSIN FAMILY ACTION PAC ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF FALL 2018 ENDORSEMENTS". Wisconsin Family Action. July 23, 2018.
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- "Nicholson stands out in tight GOP Senate primary". Kenosha News.
- Leah Vukmir (January 22, 2018). ".@Reince knows exactly what it takes to win in Wisconsin, and I am honored to have his support for my U.S. Senate campaign. 🇺🇸#wisen #wiright #maga". Twitter.
- Imrie, Robert. "Duffy endorses Vukmir in GOP Senate primary". waow.com. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved July 9, 2018.
- "Glenn Grothman Chooses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". Leah Vukmir for Senate. July 9, 2018. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved July 9, 2018.
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- "Leah announces 300+ Wisconsin endorsements". medium.com. January 31, 2018.
- "Join me in supporting @LeahVukmir for US Senate, a proven conservative with a record of reform that she'll take to DC! #wisenate #wiright". Twitter. October 5, 2017.
- "Honored to have these leaders who helped bring about Trump's, Walker's and RoJo's election victories on my finance team. #wisen #wiright". Twitter. September 21, 2017.
- "Leah Reaches 400+ Grassroots Wisconsin Endorsements". medium.com. February 21, 2018.
- "Joel Kleefisch: I choose Leah". medium.com. October 26, 2017.
- Leah, Vukmir. "Thanks, @RepSteffen, for your endorsement! Appreciate having someone w/so much respect for our police and military on my team! 🇺🇸 #wisen". Twitter.
- "Leah Topples 200+ Grassroots Endorsements". medium.com. January 4, 2018.
- "Sen. Van Wanggaard endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". medium.com. October 16, 2017.
- Glauber, Bill (March 26, 2018). "Leah Vukmir rolls up support in Wisconsin Senate race from GOP insiders and activists". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- "Leah Vukmir Announces Steering Committee for U.S. Senate". medium.com. September 18, 2017.
- "Facebook". facebook.com.
- Wigderson, James (February 12, 2018). "FIRST LADY TONETTE WALKER SUPPORTS VUKMIR FOR U.S. SENATE". RightWisconsin.
- Wigderson, James (August 12, 2018). "WISN'S JAY WEBER ENDORSES VUKMIR FOR SENATE". RightWisconsin.
- "Maggie's List Proudly Endorsed Leah Vukmir for U.S Senate". Maggie's List. December 12, 2017. Archived from the original on December 15, 2017.
- "ICYMI – RightNOW Women PAC Endorses Leah Vukmir". RightNOW Women. Urban Milwaukee. January 2, 2018. Archived from the original on February 4, 2018.
- Bill Glauber (May 12, 2018). "Leah Vukmir claims U.S. Senate endorsement at Wisconsin GOP convention". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on June 14, 2018.
- "NRA-PVF | NRA Endorses State Senator Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. July 17, 2018. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
- Jashinsky, Emily (July 17, 2018). "NRA endorses Leah Vukmir in Wisconsin Senate race". The Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on July 17, 2018.
- Waukesha Young Republicans. "Young Republicans across Waukesha County TODAY are casting their vote for our great team of proven conservatives to keep WI moving forward & bring the WI Way to DC!! #WIRight #WYR #ChooseLeah #WIYREndorsed". Twitter.
- Donald J. Trump. "Congratulations to Leah Vukmir of Wisconsin on your great win last night. You beat a very tough and good competitor and will make a fantastic Senator after winning in November against someone who has done very little. You have my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter.
- Mike Pence. "Big night for Wisconsin! Congrats to my friend & one of the nation's greatest governors @ScottWalker on his primary victory. And congrats to @LeahVukmir & @BryanSteilForWI, two great future leaders of the GOP!". Twitter.
- Leah Vukmir. "Leah "is a strong leader who will ensure Wisconsin leads the way into the future. I am pleased to support her candidacy for the Senate." — Condoleezza Rice 🇺🇸 #wisen". Twitter.
- Ron Johnson. "Congratulations @LeahVukmir! #wisen". Twitter.
- Eric Trump. "Thank you WISCONSIN!!! I absolutely loved being in your incredible state in support of the amazing @LeahVukmir, @RepSeanDuffy and @RepGrothman as we work to #MakeAmericaGreatAgain! #USAUSAUSA". Twitter.
- "Milwaukee Police Association Endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". Urban Milwaukee. October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
- "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". Urban Milwaukee. October 30, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
- Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
- Joe Biden. "We desperately need men and women of character in elected office. That's why next Tuesday, one week out from Election Day, I'm proud to join @tammybaldwin & @Tony4WI at early vote rallies". Twitter.
- Tammy Baldwin. "My friend @joekennedy is getting folks fired up today! He made some new friends at Marquette University this morning and is making sure everyone has a plan to vote!". Twitter.
- Gwen Moore. "I am honored to stand tall with Senator @tammybaldwin in the fight to take #WI back this November! We must work together for progress and prosperity". Twitter.
- Mark Pocan. "So glad to support @tammybaldwin today". Twitter.
- Tony Evers. "What an incredible afternoon in Milwaukee with @BarackObama, @TammyBaldwin, and our Wisconsin Democratic ticket. Our message was loud and clear: Democrats are fired up to vote and take our state back this November". Twitter.
- Mandela Barnes. "Are we in the cheap seats, or is there just that much support for Tammy Baldwin? The answer is yes!". Twitter.
- Bill de Blasio. "We have to show people their power. People talk themselves out of their power - because they're told that. You're agents of empowerment. @tammybaldwin". Twitter.
- Tammy Baldwin. ""We need every woman across Wisconsin to stand up with Tammy — she stands up with us every day." — @Schriock1". Twitter.
- Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via Twitter.
- Tammy Baldwin. ".@WhitfordBradley was in Wausau getting folks fired up to make calls and knock doors for Tammy! As a native Wisconsinite, he knows the stakes are too high in this election to sit on the sidelines". Twitter.
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- "Canvass Results for 2018 General Election" (PDF). elections.wi.gov. December 9, 2018. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 17, 2022. Retrieved December 30, 2018.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites