2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas
	November 8, 2022
	Boozman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ; James: 50–60%
U.S. senator before election; John Boozman; Republican	Elected U.S. senator ; John Boozman; Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the state of Arkansas. Incumbent Republican Senator John Boozman was first elected in 2010, defeating Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln. Boozman was re-elected for a second term in the 2016 with 59.8% of the vote and ran in 2022 for a third term.[1] Boozman won the May 24, 2022 Republican primary with 58.03% of the vote and subsequently defeated Democrat Natalie James in the general election by 34.6 percentage points.[2] This was the best performance for a Republican Senator in the state's history, and the third consecutive Republican win of this seat.

Republican primary

Former football player Jake Bequette finished second in the primary

Incumbent Senator John Boozman ran with the endorsement of former President Donald Trump. However, he attracted multiple opponents from the right who questioned his loyalty to Trump, attacking him for refusing to object to the results of the 2020 United States Presidential election.[3] Despite it being his first time running for office, former NFL football player Jake Bequette and his supporting groups raised over $2.6 million dollars.[4] Boozman ultimately won with 58% of the vote, easily avoiding a runoff.

Nominee

John Boozman, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]

Eliminated in primary

Jake Bequette, former NFL player and U.S. Army veteran[5]
Heath Loftis, pastor[6]
Jan Morgan, gun range owner and candidate for Governor of Arkansas in 2018[7]

Withdrew

Michael Deel, corporate analyst[8]

Endorsements

John Boozman

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[9]
Sarah Huckabee Sanders, 31st White House press secretary (2017–2019) and candidate in the 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election[10]

U.S. Senators

Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senate Minority Leader from Kentucky (1985–present)[11]
Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[10]

Organizations

Jake Bequette

U.S. Representatives

Madison Cawthorn, Congressman from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023)[15]
Burgess Owens, Congressman from Utah's 4th congressional district (2021–present)[15]

Individuals

Stuart Scheller, former Lt. Colonel[16]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jake Bequette	John Boozman	Heath Loftis	Jan Morgan	Undecided
Hendrix College	May 2, 2022	802 (LV)	± 4.3%	19%	45%	2%	17%	18%

Results

Results by county:

Boozman

40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%

Republican primary results[17]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Boozman (incumbent)	201,677	58.03%
	Republican	Jake Bequette	71,809	20.66%
	Republican	Jan Morgan	65,958	18.98%
	Republican	Heath Loftis	8,112	2.33%
Total votes			347,556	100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Natalie James, small business owner and community advocate[18]

Eliminated in primary

Jack Foster, former Pine Bluff city alderman[19][20]
Dan Whitfield, activist and Independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[21][22]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jack Foster	Natalie James	Dan Whitfield	Undecided
Hendrix College	May 2, 2022	597 (LV)	± 5.0%	5%	17%	15%	63%

Results

Results by county:

James

30-40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%

James/Whitfield tie

40–50%

Whitfield

30–40%
40–50%
50–60%

Foster

30–40%
50–60%

Democratic primary results[17]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Natalie James	49,722	54.09%
	Democratic	Dan Whitfield	28,319	30.80%
	Democratic	Jack Foster	13,891	15.11%
Total votes			91,932	100.0%

Libertarian convention

Nominated at convention

Kenneth Cates[23]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[24]	Solid R	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[25]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]	Safe R	March 1, 2022
Politico[27]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
RCP[28]	Safe R	February 24, 2022
Fox News[29]	Solid R	May 12, 2022
DDHQ[30]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[31]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[32]	Safe R	September 7, 2022

Endorsements

John Boozman (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[9]
Sarah Huckabee Sanders, 31st White House press secretary (2017–2019) and candidate in the 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election[10]

U.S. Senators

Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senate Minority Leader from Kentucky (1985–present)[33]
Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[10]

Organizations

Natalie James (D)

Organizations

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	John Boozman (R)	Natalie James (D)	Other	Undecided
Hendrix College	September 12, 2022	835 (LV)	± 3.8%	44%	31%	5% [lower-alpha 2]	21%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	382 (RV)	± 7.7%	56%	32%	–	12%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas[37]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	John Boozman (incumbent)	592,437	65.73%	+5.96%
	Democratic	Natalie James	280,187	31.09%	-5.08%
	Libertarian	Kenneth Cates	28,682	3.18%	-0.78%
Total votes			901,306	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Chicot (Largest city: Dermott)
Clark (Largest city: Arkadelphia)
Crittenden (Largest city: West Memphis)
Desha (Largest city: Dumas)
Lee (Largest city: Marianna)
St. Francis (Largest city: Forrest City)
Woodruff (Largest city: Augusta)

By congressional district

Boozman won all 4 congressional districts.[38]

District	Boozman	James	Representative
1st	72%	25%	Rick Crawford
2nd	59%	38%	French Hill
3rd	63%	33%	Steve Womack
4th	70%	27%	Bruce Westerman

Notes

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Cates with 5%

References

"Senator Boozman seeks re-election in 2022". Southwest Times Record. March 15, 2021. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
"AP PROJECTS: Republican John Boozman wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Arkansas". ky3. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
"Boozman blasted for private remarks about Trump". April 5, 2022.
"Senate Candidate Jake Bequette and Supporting Groups Raise over $2.6 Million to Date".
"Former NFL player, Iraq war veteran Jake Bequette challenges Arkansas Sen. Boozman". Fox News. July 12, 2021. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
"Another challenger to John Boozman from the right". Arkansas Times. March 24, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
"Former gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan launches U.S. Senate bid". Arkansas Democrat Gazette. March 17, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
Staff Reports. "Young Republican Michael Deel makes bid for U.S. Senate". Southwest Times Record. Retrieved May 10, 2021.
"Donald Trump endorses Sen. John Boozman for reelection". FoxNews. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
Frank E. Lockwood (March 18, 2021). "Gun-rights activist Jan Morgan kicks off Senate run". Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette.
Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.
"Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
"Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
"John Boozman Endorsements".
"Republican congressmen endorse Sen. Boozman's primary opponent". January 18, 2022.
https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=915738115796020
"2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".
Staff, A. M. P. (June 14, 2021). "Democrat Natalie James Announces for U.S. Senate". AMP. Retrieved June 15, 2021.
"Arkansas Sen. John Boozman gets another challenger, this time from the left". Arkansas Times. April 9, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
"Foster to run for US senate". Arkansas Democratic Gazette. April 10, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
"Dan Whitfield suspends US Senate race after not getting on the ballot". KFSM. October 1, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
"Dan Whitfield to run against Boozman for US Senate seat in 2022". KFSM. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
"Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor". Talk Business & Politics. February 21, 2022.
"2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
"Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
"2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
"Arkansas Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
"Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
"2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
"2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
"2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.
"Natalie James Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Fight for Arkansas Communities in the Senate". October 19, 2022.
"Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
"2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
"2022 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff Election".
Results. docs.google.com (Report).

External links

Official campaign websites

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[Key-17] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[38] Cates with 5%

[auto-1] "Senator Boozman seeks re-election in 2022". Southwest Times Record. March 15, 2021. Retrieved March 17, 2021.

[2] "AP PROJECTS: Republican John Boozman wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Arkansas". ky3. Retrieved November 9, 2022.

[3] "Boozman blasted for private remarks about Trump". April 5, 2022.

[4] "Senate Candidate Jake Bequette and Supporting Groups Raise over $2.6 Million to Date".

[5] "Former NFL player, Iraq war veteran Jake Bequette challenges Arkansas Sen. Boozman". Fox News. July 12, 2021. Retrieved July 12, 2021.

[6] "Another challenger to John Boozman from the right". Arkansas Times. March 24, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.

[7] "Former gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan launches U.S. Senate bid". Arkansas Democrat Gazette. March 17, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.

[8] Staff Reports. "Young Republican Michael Deel makes bid for U.S. Senate". Southwest Times Record. Retrieved May 10, 2021.

[foxnews.com-9] "Donald Trump endorses Sen. John Boozman for reelection". FoxNews. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.

[BoozmanEndorsements1-10] Frank E. Lockwood (March 18, 2021). "Gun-rights activist Jan Morgan kicks off Senate run". Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette.

[11] Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.

[12] "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.

[Endorsed_Candidates-13] "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.

[John_Boozman_Endorsements-14] "John Boozman Endorsements".

[arktimes.com-15] "Republican congressmen endorse Sen. Boozman's primary opponent". January 18, 2022.

[16] ttps://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=915738115796020

[Election_Night_Reporting-18] "2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".

[19] Staff, A. M. P. (June 14, 2021). "Democrat Natalie James Announces for U.S. Senate". AMP. Retrieved June 15, 2021.

[20] "Arkansas Sen. John Boozman gets another challenger, this time from the left". Arkansas Times. April 9, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.

[21] "Foster to run for US senate". Arkansas Democratic Gazette. April 10, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2021.

[22] "Dan Whitfield suspends US Senate race after not getting on the ballot". KFSM. October 1, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.

[23] "Dan Whitfield to run against Boozman for US Senate seat in 2022". KFSM. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

[24] "Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor". Talk Business & Politics. February 21, 2022.

[Cook_PR-25] "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.

[Inside_Elections-26] "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-27] "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.

[Politico-28] "Arkansas Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.

[RCP-29] "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.

[Fox_News-30] "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.

[DDHQ-31] "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.

[FiveThirtyEight-32] "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

[The_Economist-33] "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.

[34] Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.

[35] "Natalie James Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Fight for Arkansas Communities in the Senate". October 19, 2022.

[36] "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved November 2, 2022.

[37] "2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 3, 2022.

[39] "2022 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff Election".

[40] Results. docs.google.com (Report).

Elections in Arkansas
General	1844 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1900 1902 1903 1904 1906 1907 1908 1910 1912 1913 1914 1916 1917 1918 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1926 1927 1928 1930 1932 1933 1934 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1942 1943 1944 1946 1949 1950 1952 1953 1954 1956 1958 1959 1960 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1972 1973 1974 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Governor	1836 1840 1844 1848 1849 S 1852 1856 1860 1862 1864 U 1868 1872 1874 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1913 S 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
U.S. President	1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
U.S. Senate	Class 2: 1833 1839–40 1848 S 1853 1859 1868 S 1870 1876 1883 1885 S 1889 1895 1901 1907 1913 S 1913 1918 1924 1930 1936 1937 S 1942 1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 Class 3: 1837 1843 1845 S 1849 1855 1861 1867 1873 1879 1881 S 1885 1891 1897 1903 1909 1914 1916 S 1920 1926 1932 S 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 2022
U.S. House	1837 1838 1840 1842 1844 1846 1848 1851 1853 1854 1856 1858 1860 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 (4th S) 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 (6th S) 1962 1964 1966 (4th S) 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
'S,' denotes special election; 'U,' denotes election under Federal (Union) military occupation See also: Political party strength in Arkansas

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Other	ballot measures

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Results

Libertarian convention

Nominated at convention

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

See also

Notes

References

External links