2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent Republican Senator Todd Young was reelected to a second term.[1]
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Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% McDermott: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Indiana |
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Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term.[2] He was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring U.S. Senator Dan Coats. Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022.
Republican primary
Nominee
- Todd Young, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Removed from ballot
- Danny Niederberger, operations analyst and candidate for Indiana's 5th congressional district in 2020[3][4][5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Young (incumbent) | 372,738 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 372,738 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Thomas McDermott Jr., Mayor of Hammond and candidate for Indiana's 1st congressional district in 2020[7]
Removed from ballot
- Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University[8][7][5] (ran as independent)
- Valerie McCray, psychologist[9][5]
On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot.[10] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash.[11] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation[12] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott.[13]
As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission[14] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history.[14]
Declined
- Joe Hogsett, Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana, former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1992[15]
- Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation, former Mayor of South Bend, nominee for Indiana State Treasurer in 2010, and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[16]
- Joe Donnelly, U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See and former U.S. Senator[17]
- J. D. Ford, state senator[15] (ran for re-election)[18]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Thomas McDermott Jr. | 173,466 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 173,466 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian convention
Nominee
- James Sceniak, activist and behavior therapist[19]
Write-ins
Declared
- Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University[20]
- Thomas Baer
- Phillip Beachy
- David G. Storer
- Danny Niederberger
- Antonio Xavier Alvarez
Withdrew/Disqualified
- Ellen Kizik, retail worker[21]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Safe R | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[29] | Solid R | July 6, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Todd Young (R)
- Organizations
- Huck PAC[31]
- International Franchise Association[32]
- IUOE Local 150[33] (co-endorse with McDermott Jr.)
- National Border Patrol Council[34]
- National Right to Life Committee[35]
- Pro-Israel America[36]
- Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America[37]
- National Federation of Independent Business - Indiana chapter[38]
- HODLpac[39]
- United States Chamber of Commerce,[40]
- Newspapers
Thomas McDermott Jr. (D)
- U.S. Representatives
- Frank J. Mrvan, U.S. Representative from IN–01 (2021–present)[42]
- State legislators
- Eddie Melton, state senator from the 3rd district[42]
- Labor Unions
- IUOE Local 150[33] (co-endorse with Young)
- Indiana AFL–CIO[43]
- Communications Workers of America[44]
- United Mine Workers of America[45]
- Indiana Regional Council of Carpenters[46]
- Organizations
Haneefah Khaaliq (I) (write-in)
- Organizations
- Freethought Equality Fund[48]
- Indiana Civil Rights Agency
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Todd Young (R) |
Thomas McDermott Jr. (D) |
James Sceniak (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs | November 4–7, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 38% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 2] | 4% |
| ARW Strategies | September 25–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 37% | 6% | – | 17% |
| Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | August 20–24, 2022 | 2,111 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | – | – | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Todd Young (incumbent) | 1,090,165 | 58.62% | +6.51% | |
| Democratic | Thomas McDermott Jr. | 704,411 | 37.87% | -4.54% | |
| Libertarian | James Sceniak | 63,814 | 3.43% | -2.04% | |
| Write-in | 1,461 | 0.08% | +0.07% | ||
| Total votes | 1,859,851 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- LaPorte (Largest city: Michigan City)
- Perry (Largest city: Tell City)
- Porter (Largest city: Portage)
- St. Joseph (Largest city: South Bend)
- Vigo (Largest city: Terre Haute)
By congressional district
Young won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[50]
| District | Young | McDermott | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46.1% | 52% | Frank J. Mrvan |
| 2nd | 65% | 32.4% | Rudy Yakym |
| 3rd | 66.7% | 30.4% | Jim Banks |
| 4th | 63.6% | 31.4% | Jim Baird |
| 5th | 58.5% | 37.2% | Victoria Spartz |
| 6th | 63.9% | 30.5% | Greg Pence |
| 7th | 29% | 67.5% | André Carson |
| 8th | 67.5% | 30% | Larry Bucshon |
| 9th | 63.7% | 33.2% | Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress) |
| Erin Houchin (118th Congress) |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 9%
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by McDermott's campaign
References
- "2022 US Senate Election Results: Live Map". ABC News. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- "'I'm running': Todd Young to seek re-election to US Senate". WANE-TV. March 2, 2021. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved March 2, 2021.
- Lange, Kaitlin (August 10, 2021). "Sen. Todd Young to vote against infrastructure bill after initially supporting it". The Indianapolis Star. Gannett (published August 9, 2021). Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- Lange, Kaitlin (May 12, 2020). "2020 Elections: Here's who is running in Indiana's 5th Congressional District". The Indianapolis Star. Gannett (published October 11, 2019). Archived from the original on January 21, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- Lange, Kaitlin. "Sen. Young won't face primary challengers after commission removes opponent from ballot". IndyStar. The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
- "Indiana Election Results - May 3, 2022". Indiana Election Division. May 9, 2022.
- "Indiana mayor starts challenge to Republican US Sen. Young". Associated Press. Hammond, Ind. August 19, 2021. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- Burgess, Rob (July 27, 2021). "Democratic senatorial candidate visits Wabash". Chronicle-Tribune. Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- Kukulka, Alexandra (July 26, 2021). "Porter County march, rally calls for access to reproductive health care: 'Nobody should be ashamed of their own particular health care decision'". Post-Tribune. Archived from the original on July 26, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- "Major party candidates for Senate will run unopposed in primary". NPR. February 18, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "3 longshot US Senate hopefuls file for Indiana primary race". Associated Press. February 4, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "Haneefah Khaaliq on her Decision to be a Write-in Candidate in the 2022 U.S. Senate Race". Hoosiers for Haneefah Campaign. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "Indiana Election Commission Public Session" (PDF). Indiana Election Commission. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "Enough is Enough". The Crusader Newspaper Group. September 27, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- Wren, Adam (January 24, 2021). "3 takeaways from Buttigieg's first week in Washington". Importantville. Retrieved January 24, 2021.
- Laris, Michael; Duncan, Ian. "Senate confirms Pete Buttigieg to lead Transportation Dept., the first openly gay person confirmed to a Cabinet seat". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved February 2, 2021.
- Howey, Brian. "Joe Donnelly passes on a challenge to Sen. Todd Young". KPCNews. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
- "2022 Candidate List" (PDF). Indianan Secretary of State. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
- Box, Terri (March 8, 2022). "The Libertarian Party of Indiana nominates candidates for 2022 | WBIW". Retrieved May 3, 2022.
- "United States Senate Election in Indiana". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
- "Indiana 2022 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
- "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- "Indiana Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- "Indiana Endorsements". huckpac.com.
- "International Franchise Association Announces 2022 Congressional Endorsements". www.franchise.org. International Franchise Association. April 28, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
- "INDIANA PRIMARY ELECTION CANDIDATE ENDORSEMENTS ANNOUNCED". local150.org. April 26, 2022.
- "Senator Todd Young receives national endorsement in Fort Wayne". wowo.com. June 10, 2022.
- "National Right to Life Endorses Todd Young in Indiana Senate Race". www.nationalrighttolifenews.org/. April 26, 2022.
- "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
- "SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses U.S. Sen. Todd Young for Re-election in Indiana". am1050.com. April 19, 2022.
- "Republicans win endorsement of Indiana small business advocacy organization". August 22, 2022.
- "HODLpac Endorsements - May 4, 2022". hodlpac.substack.com. May 4, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "U.S. Chamber Endorses Todd Young for U.S. Senate". www.uschamber.com. October 25, 2022. Retrieved December 19, 2022.
- "Our view editorial: Destiny Wells has the character to be secretary of state". The Herald Bulletin. October 31, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
- "Mrvan, other Democrats stump at Get Out the Vote Rally hosted by Senator Melton". October 26, 2022.
- "Indiana AFL-CIO Labor 2022 Endorsements". inaflcio.org.
- "Thomas McDermott, Jr. - The Voter's Self Defense System - Vote Smart". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved September 21, 2022.
- "Indiana - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved October 30, 2022.
- "2022 INDIANA GENERAL ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). www.ikorcc.com. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "Thomas McDermott, Jr.'s Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
- "Freethought Equality Fund PAC 2022 Endorsements". freethoughtequality.org.
- "Indiana Election Results November 8, 2022". Indiana Election Division.
- Results. docs.google.com (Report).
External links
- Official campaign websites
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