2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary
The 2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
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 Election results by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders | |||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Maryland |
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The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.
Opinion polling
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official Primary results | April 26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62.5% |
Bernie Sanders 33.8% |
Others / Uncommitted 3.7% | |
| ARG[2]
Margin of error: ± 5.0%
|
April 21-24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 50% |
Bernie Sanders 44% |
Others / Undecided 6% | |
| Monmouth[3]
Margin of error: ± 5.7%
|
April 18-20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 11% | |
| Public Policy Polling[4]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
April 15-17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 33% |
Others / Undecided 9% | |
| NBC 4/Marist[5]
Margin of error: ± 3.5%
|
April 5-9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 36% |
Others / Undecided 6% | |
| University of Maryland/Washington Post[6]
Margin of error: ± 5.5%
|
March 30 - April 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 40% |
Others / Undecided 5% | |
| Baltimore Sun[7]
Margin of error: ± 4.9%
|
March 4-8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 28% |
Others / Undecided 11% | |
| Gonzales/Arscott Research[8]
Margin of error: ± 5.0
|
February 29-March 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Others / Undecided 17% | |
| Goucher[9]
Margin of error: ± 3.5
|
February 13–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 28% |
Others / Undecided 14% | |
| Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
January 11–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 40% |
Bernie Sanders 27% |
Others / Undecided 33% |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore
Margin of error: ± 4.8%
|
November 13–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 56% |
Bernie Sanders 23% |
Martin O'Malley 7% |
Other/Unsure 14% |
| Washington Post
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
October 8–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 43% |
Joe Biden 26% |
Bernie Sanders 20% |
Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2% |
| Goucher[10]
Margin of error: ± 5.7%
|
September 26 – October 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 43% |
Joe Biden 23% |
Bernie Sanders 17% |
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11% |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post[11]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
February 13–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 72% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Martin O'Malley 6% |
Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7% |
| Baltimore Sun
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
February 8–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 59% |
Joe Biden 14% |
Martin O'Malley 6% |
Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17% |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post
Margin of error:
|
February 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 56% |
Joe Biden 18% |
Martin O'Malley 8% |
Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9% |
Results
| Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 573,242 | 62.53% | 60 | 17 | 77 |
| Bernie Sanders | 309,990 | 33.81% | 35 | 1 | 36 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 3,582 | 0.39% | — | ||
| Uncommitted | 29,949 | 3.27% | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| Total | 916,763 | 100% | 95 | 24 | 119 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results, MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members, MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners | |||||
Results by county
Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, Cecil, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders.[12]
| County[13] | Clinton | % | Sanders | % | Others | Totals | Turnout | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegany | 2,476 | 41.29% | 2,727 | 45.48% | 793 | 5,996 | 40.48% | -4.19% |
| Anne Arundel | 37,726 | 56.19% | 26,205 | 39.03% | 3,210 | 67,141 | 43.57% | 17.16% |
| Baltimore (City) | 87,762 | 65.26% | 42,285 | 31.44% | 4,434 | 134,481 | 45.59% | 33.82% |
| Baltimore (County) | 77,052 | 57.24% | 50,641 | 37.62% | 6,919 | 134,612 | 44.18% | 19.62% |
| Calvert | 5,440 | 57.10% | 3,490 | 36.63% | 597 | 9,527 | 40.53% | 20.47% |
| Caroline | 1,167 | 50.94% | 959 | 41.86% | 165 | 2,291 | 33.47% | 9.08% |
| Carroll | 7,017 | 46.00% | 7,299 | 47.85% | 938 | 15,254 | 46.81% | -1.85% |
| Cecil | 3,534 | 45.27% | 3,562 | 45.63% | 710 | 7,806 | 34.84% | -0.36% |
| Charles | 15,685 | 67.84% | 6,623 | 28.64% | 813 | 23,121 | 37.58% | 39.19% |
| Dorchester | 2,149 | 61.68% | 1,080 | 31.00% | 255 | 3,484 | 34.17% | 30.68% |
| Frederick | 14,735 | 51.09% | 12,844 | 44.53% | 1,262 | 28,841 | 49.09% | 6.56% |
| Garrett | 821 | 41.17% | 939 | 47.09% | 234 | 1,994 | 44.21% | -5.92% |
| Harford | 13,913 | 51.21% | 11,489 | 42.29% | 1,765 | 27,167 | 42.84% | 8.92% |
| Howard | 32,139 | 59.44% | 20,316 | 37.57% | 1,619 | 54,074 | 54.35% | 21.86% |
| Kent | 1,532 | 54.85% | 1,080 | 38.67% | 181 | 2,793 | 45.93% | 16.18% |
| Montgomery | 122,881 | 66.25% | 59,157 | 31.89% | 3,445 | 185,483 | 50.28% | 34.36% |
| Prince George's | 120,978 | 73.60% | 40,815 | 24.83% | 2,580 | 164,373 | 37.63% | 48.77% |
| Queen Anne's | 2,458 | 53.49% | 1,851 | 40.28% | 286 | 4,595 | 43.17% | 13.21% |
| Somerset | 4,892 | 52.44% | 3,725 | 39.93% | 711 | 9,328 | 36.63% | 12.51% |
| St. Mary's | 1,207 | 59.60% | 668 | 32.99% | 150 | 2,025 | 32.61% | 26.62% |
| Talbot | 2,710 | 60.74% | 1,550 | 34.74% | 202 | 4,462 | 45.05% | 26.00% |
| Washington | 6,211 | 49.25% | 5,189 | 41.15% | 1,210 | 12,610 | 39.10% | 8.10% |
| Wicomico | 5,543 | 58.14% | 3,410 | 35.77% | 581 | 9,534 | 37.09% | 22.37% |
| Worcester | 3,214 | 55.69% | 2,086 | 36.15% | 471 | 5,771 | 40.08% | 19.55% |
| Total | 573,242 | 62.53% | 309,990 | 33.81% | 33,531 | 916,763 | 43.90% | 28.72% |
Note: Maryland is a closed primary state. Turnout is based on registered democrats before the primary on April 26, 2016. Others vote totals consist of votes for Rocky De La Fuente and Uncommitted
Analysis
With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent white progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were white and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75-22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75-20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52-46. She won both men (55-40) and women (68-29).
In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51-39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.
Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63-34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71-27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57-37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53-47), which includes parts of Appalachia.[14]
References
- Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
- "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
- "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved April 22, 2016.
- "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved April 19, 2016.
- "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved April 13, 2016.
- "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016". Retrieved April 7, 2016.
- "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
- "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
- "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
- "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
- "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. February 22, 2014. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
- "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 2017.
- "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN. May 9, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
- "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.