2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut

The 2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]

2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut

November 8, 2016
Turnout76.94% Increase
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 897,572 673,215
Percentage 54.57% 40.93%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

Clinton won the state by 13.64%, a reduced margin of victory from Obama's 17.33% in 2012.[2] Clinton carried six of the state's eight counties; however, this was the first time a Republican presidential candidate had won Windham County since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

Trump's strongest county in the state was rural Litchfield County, while Clinton's biggest win was in adjacent, more urban Hartford County.[3] Areas that swung in Clinton's favor were mainly concentrated in suburban Fairfield County, in towns like Greenwich, Darien, New Canaan, and Westport.[4][3] This area is home to many New York City commuters. Other Democratic swings were in suburbs outside Hartford, such as Avon, Granby, East Granby, and Glastonbury, as well as outside New Haven, in towns like Guilford, Madison, and Woodbridge.[4][3] This was the first time since 1888 that Darien and the first time since 1912 that Easton voted Democratic, largely due to opposition to the populist Trump among historically Republican affluent and educated voters. By contrast, areas that swung hard for Trump were mainly located in Windham County and northern New London County, in towns like Killingly, Sterling, Plainfield, and Voluntown.[5] This mirrored a national trend of white working-class support for Trump.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[6]

Opinion polling

Results

 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Connecticut
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 170,045 51.80% 28 15 43
Bernie Sanders 152,379 46.42% 27 0 27
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 960 0.29% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 4,871 1.48% 0 1 1
Total 328,255 100% 55 16 71
Source: The Green Papers, Connecticut Secretary of State - Official Primary Results

Republican primary

Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[6]

Opinion polling

Results

Connecticut Republican primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 123,523 57.86% 28 0 28
John Kasich 60,522 28.35% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz 24,987 11.70% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 2,728 1.28% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 1,733 0.81% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 213,493 100.00% 28 0 28
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Clinton won every pre-election poll conducted. An average of the final 3 polls showed Clinton leading 49% to 38%, and the final poll showed Clinton leading Trump 50% to 35%.[7]

Statewide results

2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hillary Clinton 897,572 54.57%
Republican Donald Trump 673,215 40.93%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 48,676 2.96%
Green Jill Stein 22,841 1.39%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 2,108 0.13%
Write-in 361 0.02%
Constitution Darrell Castle (write-in) 147 0.01%
Total votes 1,644,920 100.00%

Results by county

County Hillary Clinton

Democratic

Donald Trump

Republican

Gary Johnson

Libertarian

Jill Stein

Green

Various candidates

Other parties

Margin Total votes cast
#  % #  % #  % #  % #  % #  % #
Fairfield 243,852 57.89% 160,077 38.00% 11,691 2.78% 4,866 1.16% 723 0.18% 83,775 19.89% 421,209
Hartford 240,403 59.09% 148,173 36.42% 11,997 2.95% 5,680 1.40% 611 0.15% 92,230 22.67% 406,864
Litchfield 39,775 40.82% 53,051 54.44% 3,004 3.08% 1,441 1.48% 171 0.17% -13,276 -13.62% 97,442
Middlesex 45,357 51.18% 38,867 43.86% 2,760 3.11% 1,497 1.69% 143 0.16% 6,490 7.32% 88,624
New Haven 205,609 54.25% 159,048 41.96% 9,119 2.41% 4,757 1.26% 473 0.13% 46,561 12.29% 379,006
New London 62,278 50.42% 54,058 43.76% 4,744 3.84% 2,220 1.80% 228 0.19% 8,220 6.66% 123,528
Tolland 38,506 49.73% 34,194 44.16% 3,181 4.11% 1,370 1.77% 173 0.23% 4,312 5.57% 77,424
Windham 21,792 42.88% 25,747 50.66% 2,180 4.29% 1,010 1.99% 94 0.18% -3,955 -7.78% 50,823
Total897,57254.57%673,21540.93%48,6762.96%22,8411.39%2,6160.16%224,35713.64%1,644,920

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Turnout

According to Connecticut's Secretary of State Elections Night Reporting website, voter turnout was 76.94% with 1,675,934 voters checked reported out of 2,178,169 Registered Voters Reported.[9]

Results by congressional district

Clinton won all 5 congressional districts.[10]

District Clinton Trump Representative
1st 59.4% 36.32% John B. Larson
2nd 48.66% 45.77% Joe Courtney
3rd 55.88% 40.38% Rosa DeLauro
4th 59.57% 36.56% Jim Himes
5th 49.93% 45.83% Elizabeth Esty

See also

References

  1. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  2. "Connecticut Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  3. "Statement of Vote. General election" (PDF). Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  4. "Statement of Vote. General election. November 6, 2012" (PDF). Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  5. Statement of Vote
  6. "Secretary Merrill Selects Presidential Primary Ballot Order" (PDF). Secretary of the State of Connecticut. March 22, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 6, 2016. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
  7. "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Connecticut: Trump vs. Clinton".
  8. Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  9. Connecticut Secretary of State Elections Last edited 2020-07-9 Retrieved 2020-07-09 Archived 2020-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
  10. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
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