2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
	November 4, 2014
	County results ; Enzi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
U.S. senator before election; Mike Enzi; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Mike Enzi; Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]

Declared

Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][4]
Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]

Withdrew

Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Dick Cheney[8]

Endorsements

Mike Enzi

John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)[9]
Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)[10]
Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)[10]
John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[10]
Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)[10]
Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)[11]
John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008[11]
Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader[9]
Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee[9]
Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)[12]
Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)[10]
Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)[13]

Liz Cheney (withdrawn)

U.S. Ambassadors

Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy[14]

Individuals

Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[15]
Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator[16]
Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[17]
Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[18]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi	Liz Cheney	Undecided
Harper Polling	July 17–18, 2013	422	± 4.77%	55%	21%	24%
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	780	± 3.5%	54%	26%	19%
Wickers Group ^	August 22–28, 2013	400	± 4.5%	61%	21%	18%
Wickers Group ^	October 25–28, 2013	400	± 4.5%	69%	17%	14%

^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney	Cynthia Lummis	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	780	± 3.5%	34%	41%	25%

Results

Results by county:

Enzi

70–80%
80–90%

Republican primary results[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Enzi (incumbent)	77,965	78.51%
	Republican	Bryan E. Miller	9,330	9.39%
	Republican	James "Coaltrain" Gregory	3,740	3.77%
	Republican	Thomas Bleming	2,504	2.52%
	Republican	Arthur Bruce Clifton	1,403	1.41%
	Republican	Write-in	346	0.35%
	Republican	Over Votes	51	0.05%
	Republican	Under Votes	3,973	4.00%
Total votes			99,312	100.00%

Democratic primary

Declared

William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[20]
Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][21][22]
Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010[23]

Declined

Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008[24]

Results

Results by county:

Hardy

30–40%
40–50%
50–60%

Wilde

40–50%

Democratic primary results[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Charlie Hardy	7,200	39.33%
	Democratic	Rex Wilde	3,012	16.46%
	Democratic	Al Hamburg	2,988	16.32%
	Democratic	William Bryk	1,670	9.12%
	Democratic	Write-in	216	1.18%
	Democratic	Over Votes	31	0.17%
	Democratic	Under Votes	3,189	17.42%
Total votes			18,306	100.00%

Independents and Third Parties

Declared

Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot[25]
Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home[26]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[27]	Solid R	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[29]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[30]	Safe R	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi (R)	Charlie Hardy (D)	Other	Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	419	± 5.1%	66%	23%	5%	7%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20–21, 2014	700	± 4%	63%	27%	4%	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	350	± 8%	66%	21%	4%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	264	± 7%	75%	17%	2%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	258	± 11%	67%	27%	0%	6%

Hypothetical polling

With Enzi

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi (R)	Dave Freudenthal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	54%	31%	—	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi (R)	Gary Trauner (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	66%	19%	—	14%

With Cheney

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney (R)	Dave Freudenthal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	42%	45%	—	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney (R)	Gary Trauner (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	49%	31%	—	20%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014[31]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mike Enzi (incumbent)	121,554	72.19%	-3.44%
	Democratic	Charlie Hardy	29,377	17.45%	-6.81%
	Independent	Curt Gottshall	13,311	7.90%	N/A
	Libertarian	Joseph Porambo	3,677	2.18%	N/A
	Write-in		471	0.28%	+0.17%
Total votes			168,390	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

References

Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
"Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
"Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
"2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
"Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.
Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
"McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
"Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
"Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
"2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
"2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
"2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
"2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
"Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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[1] Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.

[2] Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.

[3] "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.

[4] "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.

[roster-5] "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[arizonamam-6] "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[7] Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.

[quitter-8] Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.

[endorse-9] Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[Senators-10] Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.

[endorse2-11] "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[12] Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.

[13] Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.

[14] Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[15] "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.

[16] "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.

[17] Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.

[18] Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[WYprimary-19] "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.

[20] Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.

[21] Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[22] Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[23] Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.

[24] Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.

[25] Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[26] Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[27] "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[28] "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[29] "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[30] "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[31] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

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2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

Results

Independents and Third Parties

Declared

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

See also

References

External links