Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–2015)

Prior to the 2015 general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.

Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.

Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Lord Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.[1]

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.[2]

Constituency polls

Amber Valley
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result44.0%34.8%3.0%15.9%2.4%–9.2%
3–12 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00034%35%4%23%3%2%1%
14–20 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00029%41%6%20%2%2%12%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,95838.6%37.4%14.4%2.0%–7.6%1.2%

Bedford
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result42.6%40.2%4.2%9.6%3.1%0.3%2.4%
23–30 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00028%38%14%15%3%2%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,10238.9%35.9%19.9%2.5%0.9%2.0%3.0%

Bermondsey and Old Southwark
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result11.8%43.1%34.3%6.3%3.9%0.5%8.7%
3–13 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00014%35%36%9%5%2%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,65117.1%29.2%48.4%–1.6%3.7%19.1%

Berwick-upon-Tweed
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 20152015 result41.1%14.9%28.9%11.2%3.7%0.2%12.2%
21–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00033%16%30%17%3%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,43936.7%13.2%43.7%3.2%–3.2%7%

Birmingham Edgbaston
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015General Election Results41,29344.8%38.3%2.9%10.1%3.3%3.5%3.4%
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014Ashcroft100148%29%3%12%5%1%19%
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft100044%33%5%13%4%1%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,57140.6%37.6%15.4%1.8%1.1%3.6%3.1%

Birmingham Yardley
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015General Election Results41,31341.6%14.0%25.6%16.1%1.7%1.0%16.0%
27–31 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00031%12%34%19%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,85032.2%19.2%39.6%2.9%––7.3%

Blackpool North and Cleveleys
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015General Election Results39,39336.0%44.4%2.4%14.8%2.3%0.1%8.5%
30 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%42%3%15%2%1%5%
13–18 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00032%35%5%24%3%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,59136.5%41.8%13.3%4.1%-4.3%5.3%

Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results47,11651.3%9.0%21.7%13.8%4.1%27.9%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown50837%11%27%20%5%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,85251.4%23.5%6.5%14.0%4.5%27.9%

Bolton West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results47,57639.0%40.6%4.0%15.3%-1.1%1.6%
23–31 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00040%27%8%21%2%2%13%
21–27 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00141%28%10%17%2%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,57638.5%38.3%17.2%4.0%1.1%0.8%0.2%

Boston and Skegness
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenIFEBNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results43,33943.8%2.3%33.8%16.5%1.8%0.7%0.3%0.7%10%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00038%5%35%17%3%––2%3%
5–9 Sep 2014Survation/Alan Bown34226.2%2.0%45.5%20.8%3.2%1.0%1.0%0.4%19.3%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,12549.4%14.8%9.5%20.6%––5.3%0.4%28.8%

Bradford East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results41,40646.6%11.3%29.3%9.9%2.1%-0.5%17.1%
1–21 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00045%12%23%15%2%–3%22%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,45732.8%26.8%33.7%––4.6%2.0%0.9%

Brent Central
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results45,32462.1%20.3%8.4%3.9%4.1%1.2%41.8%
11–22 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00154%13%19%7%5%1%35%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,32441.2%11.2%44.2%–1.5%2%3.0%

Brentford and Isleworth
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17–26 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00132%45%10%7%4%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,76537.2%33.6%23.7%1.6%1.5%2.4%3.6%

Brighton Kemptown
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results45,30639.2%40.7%3.0%9.8%7.0%0.4%1.5%
11–21 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00037%33%6%13%10%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,70534.9%38.0%18.0%3.2%5.5%0.5%3.1%

Brighton Pavilion
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeGreenLabConLDUKIPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results54,67641.8%27.3%22.8%2.8%5.0%0.4%14.6%
11–20 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00138%28%21%5%8%1%10%
5–12 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00032%33%18%5%9%2%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,83431.3%28.9%23.7%13.8%1.8%0.4%2.4%

Bristol North West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00534%43%8%8%6%0%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,33625.9%38.0%32.5%2.3%1.0%1.3%5.5%

Bristol West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results64,21835.7%15.2%18.8%3.0%26.8%0.4%8.8%
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00138%14%20%2%25%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,34727.5%18.4%48.0%1.2%3.8%1.1%20.5%

Broxtowe
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00030%39%7%18%4%1%1%9%
8–13 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00030%44%10%13%1%1%1%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,72739.0%38.3%16.9%2.3%0.8%2.7%–0.7%

Burnley
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
27–30 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00111%38%23%25%2%1%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,84516.6%31.3%35.7%2.2%–9.0%5.2%4.3%

Bury North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-14 October 2014Ashcroft1,00432%41%5%20%2%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,96140.2%35.2%17%2.9%-4.8%5%

Camborne and Redruth
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenMKOMRLPOthersLead
24–26 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00137%24%13%14%8%––3%13%
25 Nov 2014Survation/University of Exeter50030.0%22.4%6.3%33.0%6.9%0.9%0.4%0.1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,49337.6%16.3%37.4%5.1%1.4%1.8%–0.4%0.2%

Cambridge
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24–28 Mar 2015Ashcroft100017%31%40%3%9%–9%
3–12 Sep 2014Ashcroft100019%33%32%7%8%1%1%
4–8 Apr 2014ICM/Lord Oakeshott50018%41%28%5%5%2%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,13025.6%24.3%39.1%2.4%7.6%1.0%13.5%

Cannock Chase
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
16–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00238%32%5%21%3%–1%6%
22–27 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00032%27%8%30%2%–1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,55933.1%40.1%17.0%3.5%–4.8%1.6%7%

Carlisle
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11-16 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00130%41%5%18%3%3%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,20039.3%37.3%15.6%2.3%1.5%4.1%2.0%

Carshalton and Wallington
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00012%23%43%17%3%1%20%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,9188.7%36.8%48.3%2.9%0.8%2.4%11.5%

Castle Point
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00012%41%2%36%3%5%5%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00216%37%3%36%2%6%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,02614.7%44.0%9.4%–-31.9%17.0%

Cheadle
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–22 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00019%30%34%13%2%3%4%
26 May-1 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00321%29%32%15%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,5129.4%40.8%47.1%2.7%––6.3%

Cheltenham
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Oct-1 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,0007%34%42%11%5%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,7685.1%41.2%50.5%2.3%–0.99.3%

Chippenham
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
14-20 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00039%14%24%16%6%1%15%
26 May-1 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00035%12%26%19%7%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,38541.0%6.9%45.8%3.4%0.9%2%4.8%

City of Chester
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00045%34%7%10%3%1%11%
13–18 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00037%36%7%15%5%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,85335.1%40.6%19.1%2.6%1.1%1.5%5.5%

Clacton
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results44,20736.7%14.4%44.4%1.8%1.9%-7.8%
9 Oct 2014Clacton by-election Result35,36524.6%11.2%59.7%1.4%2.7%1.2%35.1%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00127%19%48%3%3%<0.5%21%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00124%16%56%2%1%1%32%
28–29 Aug 2014Survation (By-election polling)70020%13%64%2%1%<0.5%44%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,12353.0%25.0%–12.9%1.2%7.8%28.0%

Cleethorpes
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-11 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00138%36%6%15%3%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,96642.1%32.6%18.2%7.1%-3.9%9.5%

Colchester
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
4–14 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00017%22%36%18%6%1%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,13912.3%32.9%48.0%2.9%1.5%2.4%15.1%

Colne Valley
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
16–22 April 2015Ashcroft1,00035%37%8%11%6%2%2%
2–12 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00034%33%9%13%9%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,29626.4%37.0%28.2%2.1%1.6%4.7%8.7%

Corby
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
10–17 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00040%30%5%21%2%2%10%
15 Nov 2012Corby by-election Result35,66548.4%26.6%5.0%14.3%1.1%4.6%21.8%
6 May 2010General Election Results54,18038.6%42.2%14.5%––4.7%3.6%

Crewe and Nantwich
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDOthersLead
2–9 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00038%41%13%4%1%3%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown50033%46%11%6%5%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,08445.8%34.0%2.8%15.0%2.3%11.8%

Croydon Central
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
26-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00344%40%10%2%3%0%4%
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00037%41%13%3%5%1%4%
14–18 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00033%39%19%4%4%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,75739.5%33.5%2.0%13.2%1.2%10.6%6.0%

Derby North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
28 May-4 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00023%44%17%12%2%2%21%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,08031.7%33%28%1.8%–5.4%1.3%

Dewsbury
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15-23 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00030%40%4%18%6%3%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results54,00835%32.2%16.9%-1.6%14.3%2.8%

Doncaster North

Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.

Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
18–23 Nov 2014Ashcroft, Corrected1,00013%54%4%25%2%1%2%29%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,48321.0%47.3%14.9%4.3%–6.8%5.6%26.3%

Dover
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-9 April 2015Ashcroft1,00232%40%3%20%4%-8%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,38533.5%44%15.8%3.5%-3.2%10.5%

Dudley North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConUKIPLDOthersLead
20–27 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00137%24%34%3%3%3%
28 Apr–4 May 2014Ashcroft1,00040%24%27%4%5%13%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation52645%25%23%2%5%20%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,60238.7%37.0%8.5%10.5%5.3%1.7%

Dudley South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenLead
7-10 April 2015Ashcroft1,00035%39%3%18%4%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,16533%43.1%15.7%8.2%-10.1%

Ealing Central and Acton
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
1–6 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00034%40%11%6%7%2%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,20038.0%30.1%27.6%1.6%1.6%1.0%7.9%

Eastbourne
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,0007%25%46%18%2%2%21%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,1424.8%40.7%47.3%2.5%-4.6%6.6%

Eastleigh
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLDConUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
20–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft53840%25%21%12%2%1%15%
29 May–6 Jun 2014Ashcroft52339%27%22%10%2%0%12%
14–17 Apr 2014Survation/Alan Bown36927.1%28.2%31.6%11.5%1.0%0.6%3.4%
28 Feb 2013Eastleigh by-election Result42,64932.1%25.4%27.8%9.8%–4.9%4.3%
22–24 Feb 2013Ashcroft (By-election polling)[lower-alpha 1]41633%28%23%12%–4%5%
19–22 Feb 2013Populus/Times (By-election polling)[lower-alpha 1]40833%28%25%11%–4%5%
18–22 Feb 2013Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling)40229%33%21%13%–4%4%
6–8 Feb 2013Survation/Mail on Sunday[lower-alpha 2]32136%33%16%13%0.3%0.1%3%
4–5 Feb 2013Ashcroft (By-election polling)[lower-alpha 3]31431%34%15%19%1%1%3%
2–5 Aug 2010Ashcroft51331%43%–20%–6%12%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,65046.5%39.3%3.6%9.6%–1.0%7.2%

Elmet and Rothwell
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
8–13 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00039%35%6%16%3%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,78942.6%34.5%16.3%2.9%–3.6%8.1%

Enfield North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17–25 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00034%44%3%12%3%3%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,45342.3%38.5%12.2%2.1%1.1%3.9%3.8%

Erewash
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
3-14 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00330%38%5%22%3%2%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,64239.5%34.2%17.5%1.8%1.1%2.9%5.3%

Finchley and Golders Green
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenLead
7-11 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00143%41%6%6%4%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,15733.7%46%17%1.7%1.6%12.3%

Folkestone and Hythe
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
3–4 Apr 2014Survation/Mail on Sunday52936.4%9.6%32.9%17.8%1.9%1.5%3.5%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown54835%10%28%21%4%2%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,80049.4%30.3%4.6%10.8%1.2%3.6%19.1%

Gloucester
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00140%36%9%12%3%1%4%
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00034%33%12%18%3%0%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,76439.9%35.2%19.2%3.6%1%1.1%4.8%

Great Grimsby
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConUKIPLDOthersLead
15–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft100042%24%25%5%4%17%
20–27 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00135%20%34%8%4%1%
5–11 May 2014Ashcroft1,00138%21%26%10%5%12%
18–22 Oct 2013Survation50640%21%23%11%5%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results32,95432.7%30.5%6.2%22.4%8.1%2.2%

Great Yarmouth
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
15–24 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00036%34%24%2%4%1%2%
11–16 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00033%28%32%3%3%1%1%
21–27 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00132%31%29%5%2%1%1%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation/Alan Bown50727%37%30%3%2%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,05743.1%33.2%4.8%14.4%1.0%3.5%9.9%

Halesowen and Rowley Regis
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Feb–5 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00037%39%4%15%3%2%2%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00034%35%2%24%4%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,97941.2%36.6%14.8%6.4%–1.0%4.6%

Halifax
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft1,00043%26%8%18%2%3%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,55537.4%34%19.1%1.5%-8%3.4%

Hampstead and Kilburn
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthersLead
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00030%47%2%13%6%1%17%
21–27 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00330%41%3%19%6%0%11%
6 May 2010General Election Result52,82232.7%32.8%0.8%31.2%1.4%1%0.1%

Harlow
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2-10 April 2015Ashcroft1,00034%44%3%16%2%1%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,87833.7%44.9%13.7%3.6%-4.2%11.2%

Harrogate and Knaresborough
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
5-12 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00011%41%24%16%8%0%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results53,1346.4%45.7%43.8%2%-2.1%1.9%

Harrow East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00140%44%4%8%3%1%4%
1–7 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00040%37%6%13%3%0%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,00644.7%37.6%14.3%1.9%1.7%–7.1%

Hastings and Rye
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17-25 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00140%31%5%19%3%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,81437.1%41.1%15.7%2.8%-3.3%4%

Hazel Grove
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenLead
4–15 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00015%29%35%17%4%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,98112.5%33.6%48.8%5.1%–15.2%

Hendon
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
18–29 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00134%49%4%9%1%1%15%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00036%44%7%11%2%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,37442.3%42.1%12.4%2.1%1.1%–0.2%

Heywood and Middleton
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
9 Oct 2014Heywood and Middleton by-election Result28,47240.9%12.3%5.1%38.7%3.1%–2.2%
30 Sep–4 Oct 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00047%16%5%28%4%–19%
30 Sep 2014Survation/The Sun (By-election polling)55150%13%4%31%3%–19%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,12540.1%27.2%22.7%2.6%-7.4%12.9%

High Peak
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00038%40%7%10%5%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,33731.6%40.9%21.8%3.4%1.8%0.4%9.3%

Hornsey and Wood Green
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
3 Mar 2015Liberal Democrats
(fieldwork by Survation)		32515%37%36%4%7%1%1%
3–13 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00014%43%30%3%8%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,04216.7%34.0%46.5%–2.3%0.6%12.5%

Hove
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results52,21439.9%42.3%3.6%6.3%6.8%1.1%2.4%
1–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00237%43%5%5%9%1%6%
17–27 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00034%37%6%11%12%-3%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,81936.7%33.0%22.6%2.4%5.2%0.2%3.7%

Ipswich
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00038%31%6%19%5%1%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,29134.7%39.1%18.2%2.9%1.7%3.3%4.4%

Keighley
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
20-26 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00037%31%5%23%3%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,69235.8%41.9%14.8%3.1%-4.4%6.1%

Kingston and Surbiton
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
29 Oct–8 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00030%16%38%10%6%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,11136.5%9.3%49.8%2.5%1%0.8%13.3%

Kingswood
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00142%33%5%15%4%1%9%
3-14 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00134%32%6%23%4%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,90640.4%35.3%16.8%3.2%0.8%3.4%5.1%

Lancaster and Fleetwood
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Jun-4 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00027%41%4%18%10%1%14%
8-13 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00229%43%6%12%9%1%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,70136.1%35.2%19.1%4.4%–2.7%0.8%

Lewes
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results50,54038.0%9.9%35.9%10.7%5.5%-2.1%
11-20 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00029%9%37%15%7%2%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,08836.7%5%52%3.4%1.5%1.4%15.3%

Lincoln
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
14-21 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00039%35%6%17%3%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,72135.2%37.5%20.2%2.2%-4.8%2.3%

Loughborough
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00045%36%3%12%3%1%9%
22-25 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00040%37%5%12%3%3%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,83841.6%34.5%18.3%1.8%-3.9%7.1%

Manchester Withington
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11–21 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00056%7%22%4%10%1%34%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,07540.5%11.1%44.6%1.5%1.8%0.4%4.1%

Mid Dorset and North Poole
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00038%8%32%19%3%1%6%
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft1,00039%8%32%17%3%1%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,78844.5%5.9%45.1%4.5%--0.6%

Milton Keynes South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7-10 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%39%8%10%4%2%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,33341.6%32.2%17.7%3.7%1.4%3.3%9.4%

Morecambe and Lunesdale
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
1-4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00036%42%5%12%5%1%6%
7-11 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00134%37%6%18%4%2%3%
14-20 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00037%39%5%12%3%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,43641.5%39.5%13.3%4.2%1.4%-2%

Morley and Outwood
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
5–11 May 2014Ashcroft1,00341%24%5%20%2%8%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,85637.6%35.3%16.8%3.1%-7.2%2.3%

Newark
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPOthersLead
5 Jun 2014Newark by-election Result38,70745.0%17.7%3%25.9%8%19%
2–3 Jun 2014Survation67842%22%4%27%5%15%
27 May–1 Jun 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00042%20%6%27%5%15%
27–28 May 2014Survation/The Sun60636%27%5%28%5%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,22853.9%22.3%20.0%3.8%–31.5%

Newton Abbot
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
5-12 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00013%39%20%20%7%1%19%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,2837%43%41.9%6.4%1.5%1.1%1.1%

North Cornwall
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-29 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00236%5%38%14%5%3%2%
12-20 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00436%6%38%13%6%1%2%
15-20 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00033%10%33%20%3%1%Tied
26 May-1 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00131%8%31%24%5%2%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results46,84441.7%4.2%48.1%4.9%-1.1%6.4%

North Devon
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-26 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00138%8%31%16%6%2%7%
29 Oct-6 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00030%9%29%23%7%2%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,32136%7.2%47.4%7.2%1.4%2.8%11.4%

North East Cambridgeshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00017%46%7%25%4%1%21%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,06417.8%51.6%20%5.4%-5.2%31.6%

North East Somerset
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7-11 April 2015Ashcroft1,00128%44%9%10%8%1%16%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,20331.7%41.3%22.3%3.4%1.3%-9.6%

North Warwickshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
18–28 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00041%30%2%22%2%2%11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft1,00143%35%3%15%3%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,26540.1%40.2%11.6%2.8%–0.9%0.1%

Norwich North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00038%36%6%12%8%1%2%
4–12 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00035%34%5%18%10%0%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,57331.4%40.6%18.3%4.4%2.9%2.4%9.2%

Norwich South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11–21 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00033%18%12%15%20%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,55128.7%22.9%29.4%2.4%14.9%1.7%0.7%

Nuneaton
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00039%34%4%14%8%–1%5%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00039%36%3%19%2%–1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,64636.9%41.5%15.3%––6.3%-4.6%

Oxford West and Abingdon
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
21–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00018%38%30%9%4%<0.5%8%
30 May–5 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,00018%36%25%11%8%1%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results56,48010.6%42.3%42.0%2.7%2.1%0.3%0.3%

Pendle
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00041%37%8%10%4%1%4%
8–14 Dec 2014Ashcroft1,00036%33%11%17%2%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,04538.9%30.9%20.2%3.3%–6.7%8.0%

Plymouth Moor View
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–23 Jul 2014Ashcroft50635%26%5%30%2%1%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,52637.2%33.3%16.9%7.7%1.0%4.0%3.8%

Plymouth Sutton & Devonport
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–23 Jul 2014Ashcroft50639%26%6%21%8%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,89431.7%34.3%24.7%6.5%2.1%0.7%2.6%

Portsmouth South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00120%30%25%17%6%1%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,26413.7%33.3%45.9%2.1%1.7%3.4%12.6%

Redcar
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00044%12%18%23%2%1%21%
17–19 Apr 2014ICM/Lord Oakeshott50047%15%15%19%2%2%28%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,96332.7%13.8%45.2%4.5%–3.8%12.5%

Rochester and Strood
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15–22 April 2015Ashcroft100036%24%3%33%4%1%3%
20 Nov 2014Rochester and Strood by-election Result40,06534.8%16.8%0.9%42.1%4.2%2.2%7.3%
7–10 Nov 2014Ashcroft54336%21%2%35%5%1%1%
7–10 Nov 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)54332%17%2%44%4%[lower-alpha 4]1%12%
27–28 Oct 2014Survation1,01233%16%1%48%1.7%2%15%
17–21 Oct 2014ComRes[lower-alpha 5]94930%21%3%43%2%1%13%
4 Oct 2014Survation/Mail on Sunday67731%25%2%40%1%0.4%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,97149.2%28.5%16.3%–1.5%4.5%20.7%

Rother Valley
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenBNPOthersLead
24–29 Nov 2014Ashcroft48018%40%34%4%3%<0.5%2%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results46,76828.4%40.9%5.6%17.3%–7.7%–12.5%

Sheffield Hallam
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
4 May 2015ICM/Guardian150135%12%42%7%3%2%7%
22–28 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%15%36%7%4%1%1%
22–28 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00136%16%34%7%6%1%2%
22–29 Jan 2015Survation/Unite1,01133%22%23%9%12%<0.5%10%
20–22 Nov 2014Ashcroft96230%19%27%[lower-alpha 6]13%10%1%3%
29 Apr–4 May 2014ICM/Lord Oakeshott50033%24%23%10%8%1%9%
1–4 Oct 2010Populus/Ashcroft1,00031%28%33%N/AN/A8%2%
6 May 2010General Election Result51,13516.1%23.5%53.4%2.3%1.8%2.7%29.9%

1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.[4]

Solihull
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Jul–10 Aug 2014Ashcroft1,00012%37%28%16%6%1%9%
12–18 May 2014Ashcroft1,00012%37%28%16%6%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,1298.9%42.6%42.9%2.2%–3.5%0.3%

Southampton Itchen
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24 Feb-7 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00035%30%7%20%8%–5%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,41236.8%36.3%20.8%4.3%1.4%0.4%0.4%

South Basildon and East Thurrock
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00128%35%3%29%3%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,73531.0%43.9%13.4%5.9%-5.9%12.9%

South Swindon
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
22–28 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00037%36%6%16%4%-1%
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00036%35%5%19%4%2%1%
1–6 Dec 2014Ashcroft50834%34%7%20%4%1%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results47,11941.8%34.3%17.6%4.3%1.3%0.7%7.5%

South Thanet
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDOthersLead
22-28 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00034%26%32%3%5%2%
22 April 2015Survation/Alan Bown [lower-alpha 7]1,05730%26%39%2%3%9%
13-18 March 2015ComRes/Chartwell Political1,00331%29%30%5%5%1%
18–20 Feb 2015Survation/Alan Bown [lower-alpha 7]1,01127%28%38%2%5%10%
23–24 Nov 2014Ashcroft1,00333%27%32%4%4%1%
11–16 July 2014Ashcroft1,00029%29%33%4%5%4%
21–27 April 2014Ashcroft1,00032%31%27%7%3%1%
22–24 Nov 2013Survation51528%35%30%5%2%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,93348.0%31.4%5.5%15.1%–16.6%

South West Surrey
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
4–5 Dec 2014Survation/Unite58757%8%15%11%7%1%42%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,25958.7%30.2%2.6%6.0%1.2%1.4%28.5%

St Austell and Newquay
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
15 Mar 2015Ashcroft100232%10%26%20%6%4%6%
6–16 Aug 2014Ashcroft49327%13%26%25%6%3%1%
19–25 May 2014Ashcroft[lower-alpha 8]47332%10%24%25%4%5%7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results47,23840.0%7.2%42.7%3.7%–6.4%2.8%

Stevenage
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
8–13 Dec 2014Ashcroft49738%33%7%18%3%0%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results44,65133.4%41.4%16.6%4.5%–4.1%8.0%

Stockton South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015Ashcroft100039%44%3%9%1%3%5%
6–12 Nov 2014Survation/Unite57139.1%36.5%2.8%18.2%3.1%0.2%2.6%
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014Ashcroft52135%38%4%19%2%2%3%
7–13 Apr 2014Ashcroft51236%43%5%12%0%3%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,28438.9%38.3%15.1%2.9%–4.8%0.6%

Stroud
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
11–16 Jul 2014Ashcroft56130%41%6%11%11%<0.5%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,97340.8%38.6%15.4%2.2%2.7%0.2%2.2%

Sutton and Cheam
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
6-16 August 2014Ashcroft1,00011%27%45%14%3%0%18%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,5087.0%42.4%45.7%2.0%0.5%2.5%3.3%

Thurrock
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results49,96433.7%32.6%31.7%1.3%0.7%1.1%
17-23 April 2015Ashcroft1,00030%31%35%1%3%4%
18–26 June 2014Ashcroft1,00228%30%36%2%4%6%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft39427%37%29%4%3%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,82236.8%36.6%7.4%10.7%8.5%0.2%

Torbay
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results48,0798.7%40.7%33.8%13.6%3.2%0.0%6.9%
12-21 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00011%33%34%17%3%1%1%
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014Ashcroft1,00115%30%30%21%3%1%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results49,2106.6%38.7%47.0%5.3%1.0%1.4%8.3%

Twickenham
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenBNPOthersLead
11-16 Apr 2014ICM/Oakeshott50134%23%5%32%4%1%1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results59,72134.1%7.7%1.5%54.4%1.1%1.1%0.2%20.3%

Warwick & Leamington
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
1–6 Dec 2014Ashcroft53438%34%7%14%7%<0.5%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results49,03242.6%35.4%18.3%1.9%1.4%0.4%7.2%

Watford
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results56,14943.5%26.0%18.1%9.8%2.4%0.3%17.4%
11–20 Nov 2014Ashcroft52530%24%28%14%3%0%2%
20–28 Aug 2014Ashcroft52527%29%25%14%4%1%2%
19 May–6 Jun 2014Ashcroft52429%25%24%16%6%0%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results55,20834.9%26.7%32.4%2.2%1.6%2.2%2.6%

Weaver Vale
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
14-22 Jul 2014Ashcroft1,00132%41%6%18%2%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,99038.5%36.3%18.6%2.3%0.8%3.4%2.2%

Wirral West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
24-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00043%46%3%5%2%0%3%
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00037%42%5%10%5%1%5%
22–26 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00038%39%6%12%4%1%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results39,37242.5%36.3%16.8%2.3%–2.1%6.2%

Witney
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLDUKIPLabGreenOthersLead
2–4 Dec 2014Survation/Unite53153%4%19%16%7%1%34%
6 May 2010General Election Results57,76958.8%19.4%3.5%13.0%4.1%1.2%39.4%

Worcester
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPOthersLead
3–12 Mar 2015Ashcroft1,00238%33%4%15%7%–2%5%
13–19 Oct 2014Ashcroft1,00234%36%5%17%7%–1%2%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,97439.5%33.4%19.4%2.8%1.5%2.5%0.7%6.1%

Wyre Forest
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenBNPICHCOthersLead
11–20 Nov 2014Ashcroft51832%16%7%27%5%<1%-13%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results50,89936.9%14.3%11.9%2.9%–2.2%31.7%–5.2%

Wythenshawe and Sale East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeLabUKIPConLDOthersLead
13 Feb 2014Wythenshawe by-election Result23,96155.3%18.0%14.5%4.9%7.3%37.3%
3–5 Feb 2014Ashcroft (By-election polling)1,00961%15%14%5%4%46%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,75144.1%3.4%25.6%22.3%4.6%18.6%

Belfast East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeDUPAPNIUUPPUPTUVSFUKIPGreenSDLPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results39,68249.3%42.8%–––2.1%––0.3%2.8%6.5%
12–28 Jan 2015LucidTalk82034.4%28.7%14.6%6.5%2.8%1.8%1.6%1.5%0.8%7.5%5.7%
6 May 2010General Election Results34,48832.8%37.2%21.2%–5.4%2.4%––1.1%–4.4%

Airdrie and Shotts
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results44,2867.7%34.1%1.5%2.5%-53.9%0.3%19.8%
14–22 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0007%39%1%5%1%47%0%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results35,8498.7%58.2%8.1%––23.5%1.5%34.6%

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results52,20919.8%27.3%1.6%2.5%-48.8%-21.6%
10–19 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00021%31%2%3%0%42%1%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,89325.5%47.1%9.3%––18.0%–21.6%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results55,03836.0%4.9%18.7%2.4%1.1%36.6%0.2%0.6%
13-16 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00130%9%28%3%1%29%0%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,01433.8%10.2%45.4%1.2%–9.2%0.3%11.6%

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results50,6986.3%33.9%1.1%2.1%-56.6%-22.7%
7–17 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0016%43%1%3%1%46%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,6358.1%66.6%8.5%––16.8%–49.8%

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results49,3827.9%30.0%2.2%--59.9%-29.9%
14–22 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0006%34%2%3%3%52%1%18%
6 May 2010General Election Results41,1508.3%57.2%9.5%––23.8%1.2%33.3%

Dumfries and Galloway
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results55,43229.9%24.7%1.7%2.3%–41.4%–11.5%
19–26 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00230%28%2%4%2%34%0%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results52,17331.6%45.9%8.8%1.3%–12.3%–14.3%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,134 39.8% 14.8% 2.7% 2.8% 1.6% 38.3% - 1.5%
24-29 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00031%17%5%4%2%42%-11%
9-15 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00034%20%4%2%2%36%1%2%
10–19 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00134%18%7%4%2%34%1%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results45,89238.0%28.9%19.8%1.4%1.1%10.8%–9.1%

Dundee West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,714 8.6% 23.7% 2.4% - 2.7% 61.9% 0.7% 38.2%
23–30 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0006%25%3%2%5%59%0%34%
6 May 2010General Election Results37,1269.3%48.5%11.4%––28.9%1.9%19.6%

East Dunbartonshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 54,871 8.6% 12.3% 36.3% 1.0% 1.5% 40.3% - 4.0%
10-16 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00012%16%29%1%1%40%0%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,94815.5%34.1%38.7%1.1%–10.5%-4.6%

East Renfrewshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPLead
7 May 2015General Election Results56,82521.9%34.0%1.8%1.6%–40.6%6.5%
24-30 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00020%36%3%1%1%39%3%
11-16 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00225%31%3%1%1%40%9%
16–26 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00026%34%2%1%3%33%1%
6 May 2010General Election Results51,18130.4%50.8%9.2%0.7%–8.9%20.4%

Edinburgh North and Leith
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
14 - 17 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00014%29%6%1%6%43%0%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,35614.9%37.5%33.8%–2.2%9.6%1.6%3.5%

Edinburgh South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
13 - 17 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00016%34%8%1%4%37%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results43,80121.6%34.7%34.0%–2.0%7.7%-0.7%

Edinburgh South West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
11–19 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00019%27%4%2%7%40%0%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,46224.3%42.8%18.0%–1.9%12.2%0.8%18.6%

Glasgow Central
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
5–10 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0005%35%3%3%7%45%2%10%
6 May 2010General Election Results30,5727.1%52.0%16.4%0.8%2.6%17.5%3.6%34.5%

Glasgow East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
5–8 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0014%37%1%4%2%51%2%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results32,1644.5%61.6%5.0%0.6%–24.7%3.5%36.8%

Glasgow North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
5–10 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0015%33%4%1%11%45%1%12%
6 May 2010General Election Results29,6137.1%44.5%31.3%–3.2%11.9%2.0%13.2%

Glasgow North East
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
5–8 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0014%46%1%5%4%39%1%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results29,4095.3%68.3%7.7%––14.1%4.4%54.2%

Glasgow North West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7–17 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0007%38%3%2%5%44%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results35,5829.9%54.1%15.8%–2.5%15.3%2.5%38.3%

Glasgow South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7–16 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0019%33%2%3%3%48%1%15%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,09411.5%51.7%11.8%–2.4%20.1%2.5%31.6%

Glasgow South West
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
11-16 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,0036%34%2%3%1%55%1%21%
7–15 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0004%42%2%5%2%45%1%3%
6 May 2010General Election Results31,7816.6%62.5%9.0%––16.3%5.5%46.2%

Gordon
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
22–29 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,00211%14%26%4%1%43%1%17%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,77518.7%20.1%36.0%–1.5%22.2%1.4%13.8%

Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
20–29 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,00010%13%21%4%1%50%1%29%
23–26 May 2014ICM/Oakeshott50012%25%16%7%4%32%3%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,08613.3%22.1%40.7%1.2%1.7%18.7%2.5%18.6%

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
19–26 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,0007%39%3%3%3%45%0%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,8029.3%64.5%9.3%1.7%–14.3%0.9%50.2%

Motherwell and Wishaw
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
14–22 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0005%39%1%3%1%50%1%11%
6 May 2010General Election Results39,1239.4%61.1%9.8%––18.2%1.6%42.9%

North East Fife
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
10-16 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,00016%9%30%4%1%43%1%13%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,06421.8%17.1%44.3%2.6%-14.2%-22.6%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
7 May 2015General Election Results46,2267.6%38.6%2.2%––50.9%0.6%12.3%
11-16 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,0056%39%1%2%1%50%1%11%
22–29 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0006%40%2%1%2%48%1%8%
6 May 2010General Election Results39,9989.9%59.6%9.5%––18.1%2.9%41.5%

Ross, Skye and Lochaber
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
9-15 Apr 2015Ashcroft1,0007%6%33%2%3%48%1%15%
16–26 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,0018%9%35%2%5%40%1%5%
6 May 2010General Election Results34,83812.2%15.1%52.6%1.9%2.2%15.1%0.8%37.5%

West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
11–19 Feb 2015Ashcroft1,00125%10%20%3%2%39%0%14%
6 May 2010General Election Results45,19530.3%13.6%38.4%0.9%–15.7%1.1%8.1%

West Dunbartonshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenSNPOthersLead
14–22 Jan 2015Ashcroft1,0006%38%1%4%2%47%1%9%
6 May 2010General Election Results42,2667.7%61.3%8.1%1.6%–20.1%1.2%41.2%

Brecon and Radnorshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizePlaidLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
27 Oct–1 Nov 2014Ashcroft5538%15%27%31%17%2%0%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results38,8452.5%10.5%36.5%46.2%2.3%0.9%1.1%9.6%

Cardiff Central
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizePlaidLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
19–22 Sep 2014Ashcroft5429%36%17%24%9%5%<0.5%12%
6 May 2010General Election Results36,1513.4%28.8%21.6%41.4%2.1%1.6%1.0%12.6%

Cardiff North
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizePlaidLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
18–27 Jun 2014Ashcroft1,0007%41%30%6%12%3%1%11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014Ashcroft4617%41%34%8%8%1%<0.5%7%
6 May 2010General Election Results47,6303.3%37.1%37.5%18.3%2.4%0.8%0.6%0.4%

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizePlaidLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
8–13 Dec 2014Ashcroft51516%29%33%4%14%3%1%4%
6 May 2010General Election Results40,50710.4%32.7%41.1%12.1%2.8%–0.9%8.5%

Vale of Glamorgan
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample sizePlaidLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
2–12 Feb 2015Ashcroft53212%32%38%4%10%3%1%6%
6 May 2010General Election Results48,6675.5%32.9%41.8%15.2%3.1%0.9%0.5%8.8%

Multiple constituency polling

Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Lord Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.

Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientNo of Seats
surveyed		Incumbents by partySample sizeConLabUKIPLDGreenOthers
1–14 Dec 2014Ashcroft88 Con8,00036% 35%14%6%5%[lower-alpha 9]2%
20–29 Nov 2014Ashcroft44 Lab4,00222%37% 33%5%2%[lower-alpha 10]1%
15–24 Nov 2014ComRes/ITV News4025 Con, 15 Lab74331%39% 18%7%4%<0.5%
2–27 Oct 2014Ashcroft1212 Con12,00832%35% 23%5%4%1%
10 Sep–3 Oct 2014Ashcroft1111 Con11,00232%38% 18%5%5%1%
18–26 Sep 2014ComRes/ITV News4025 Con, 15 Lab76630%41% 17%6%5%2%
31 Jul–14 Sep 2014Ashcroft55 LibDem5,00015%38% 10%28%6%3%
31 Jul–6 Sep 2014Ashcroft172 Con, 15 LibDem8,90932%13%17%32%4%1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014Ashcroft88 Con8,00530%40% 8%17%5%1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014Ashcroft44 Lab4,00130%43% 9%13%4%1%
18 Jun–16 Jul 2014Ashcroft1414 Con14,00431%38% 4%21%4%2%
18–25 Jun 2014ComRes/ITV News4025 Con, 15 Lab79531%36% 17%7%6%3%
11–22 Jun 2014Ashcroft44 LD1,96312%47% 10%19%9%2%
11 May–14 Jun 2014Ashcroft176 Con, 11 LibDem8,72833%14%18%28%6%[lower-alpha 4]1%
15–20 May 2014ComRes/Independent4025 Con, 15 Lab1,03033% (−4)35% (−2) 17% (+14)8% (−10)4%2%
31 Mar–18 May 2014Ashcroft2614 Con, 12 Lab26,02529%41% 18%8%4%
1 Aug–5 Sep 2013Ashcroft4040 Con12,80930%35% 12%13%10%

Explanatory notes

The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there".[2] This latter question is reported in the tables above.

Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.[5]

See also

Notes
  1. Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  2. Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  3. Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  4. Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  5. By-election polling
  6. This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536
  7. Candidates named in the poll.
  8. Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.
  9. Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies
  10. Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies

References
  1. Patrick Wintour (19 February 2015). "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". The Guardian.
  2. "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". New Statesman. 8 June 2021.
  3. "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com.
  4. Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian Archived 7 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015
  5. "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Retrieved 7 February 2015."Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.

P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.

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