Next Kosovan parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections will be held in Kosovo no later than 2025. If the full four year term of the incumbent Assembly is completed, the election will be held on a Sunday and not earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the mandate.[1]

Next Kosovan parliamentary election
Kosovo
By 2025
All 120 seats in the Assembly
61 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
Vetëvendosje Albin Kurti 58
PDK Memli Krasniqi 18
LDK Lumir Abdixhiku 16
AAK Ramush Haradinaj 8
Serb List Goran Rakić 10
KDTP Fikrim Damka 2
Vakat Bahrim Šabani 1
IRDK Elbert Krasniqi 1
RI Gazmend Salijević 1
NDS Emilija Redžepi 1
SDU Duda Balje 1
JGP Adem Hodža 1
PAI Bekim Arifi 1
LPRK Erxhan Galushi 1

Background

In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties, including the Serb List, to form a Government.[3]

Electoral system

The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[4] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[5]To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.

Opinion polls

Graphic representation

National polls
Pollster Date LVV LDK PDK AAK SL NISMA Other Abstention Lead
LVV Alternativa Guxo LDK AKR
UBO 23 December 2022 42.6 0.2 1.3 19.8 0.2 19 7.3 4.3 2 3.4 – 22.8
PIPOS December 2022 35.5 1 22.2 0.4 21.5 6 – 2.4 0.2 – 13.3
UBO September 2022 37.3 0.3 1.5 22.3 0.3 21.7 7.7 5.1 1.2 2.1 – 15
PIPOS August 2022 33.2 0.2 0.9 21.6 0.2 18.3 10.1 – 1.5 – – 11.6
PIPOS 7 July 2022 38.1 1.2 25.1 21.3 11.9 – 2.1 – – 13
UBO 18 June 2022 39.6 1.3 20.3 21.9 6.7 4.2 1.9 3.5 – 17.7
UBO May 2022 38.3 17.7 19.7 6.5 – – – – 18.6
UBO 7–15 March 2022 41.9 1.1 19.4 0.4 21.6 7.2 4.2 1 2.8 – 20.3
PIPOS 12 February 2022 34.7 24.1 21.3 7.7 – 0.4 0.5 – 10.6
2021 election 14 February 2021 50.3 12.73 17.01 7.2 5.09 2.52 – – 33.29

Seat projections

The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.

Date LVV LDK PDK AAK SL Other Lead
January 2023 48 22 22 8 10 10 26
December 2022 42 26 25 7 10 10 16
September 2022 42 25 24 9 10 10 17
August 2022 40 26 22 12 10 10 14
July 2022 40 26 22 12 10 10 14
June 2022 44 23 25 8 10 10 19
May 2022 47 21 24 8 10 10 23
March 2022 46 22 24 8 10 10 22
February 2022 40 27 24 9 10 10 13

Leadership approval
Pollster Date Kurti Abdixhiku Krasniqi Haradinaj Limaj Osmani Pacolli Kusari-Lila Lead
PIPOS December 2022 26.7 20 17 7.2 2.9 11.8 0.4 0.4 6.7
PIPOS August 2022 2.98 2.92 2.60 2.38 2.13 3.37 2.33 2.31 0.39
PIPOS February 2022 28.9 18.6 13.3 6.2 1.5 7.3 0.5 – 10.3

References
  1. Constitution of Kosovop.6
  2. ndi.org
  3. prishtinainsight.com
  4. Kosovo IFES
  5. Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
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