2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 17 in the U.S. state of Kentucky as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary

May 17, 2016 (2016-05-17)
 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Uncommitted
Home state New York Vermont N/A
Delegate count 28 27 3
Popular vote 212,534[1] 210,623 24,104
Percentage 46.76% 46.33% 5.30%

Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

On the same day, the Democratic Party held their Oregon primary. The Republican Party held their Kentucky caucuses in early March.

Opinion polling

List of polls

Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 5 Unpledged

Winner
Hillary Clinton
Primary date
May 17, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results May 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton
46.8%
Bernie Sanders
46.3%
Others / Uncommitted
6.9%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 501

March 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton
43%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
19%
Public Policy Polling[3]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 610

June 18–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Jim Webb
7%
Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Not sure 18%

Results

Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 212,534 46.76% 28 2 30
Bernie Sanders 210,623 46.33% 27 0 27
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 5,713 1.26%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 1,594 0.35%
Uncommitted 24,104 5.30% 0 3 3
Total 454,568 100% 55 5 60
Source: The Green Papers, Kentucky Secretary of State

Results by county

County[4] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adair49.6%46643.7%410
Allen46.0%42747.4%440
Anderson36.0%1,13252.4%1,649
Ballard32.0%40552.0%659
Barren37.2%1,97949.9%2,653
Bath45.6%62846.6%641
Bell44.7%56745.6%578
Boone51.8%2,93244.1%2,496
Bourbon46.5%1,10945.6%1,087
Boyd44.7%2,19346.1%2,262
Boyle49.9%1,64843.9%1,451
Bracken32.5%25154.9%424
Breathitt33.9%1,12351.8%1,716
Breckinridge45.9%87745.8%875
Bullitt44.4%2,90749.1%3,210
Butler51.1%23842.1%196
Caldwell34.3%57052.1%866
Calloway35.8%1,46055.0%2,239
Campbell48.1%3,16947.5%3,133
Carlisle25.6%20657.5%462
Carroll41.5%48149.4%573
Carter39.1%80051.4%1,051
Casey50.7%21044.0%182
Christian50.2%2,43739.9%1,936
Clark45.5%1,81047.5%1,888
Clay48.4%18441.6%158
Clinton57.9%15135.6%93
Crittenden35.6%24051.0%344
Cumberland44.8%7850.0%87
Daviess45.5%5,06646.6%5,188
Edmonson49.5%27547.1%262
Elliott35.7%30152.6%443
Estill47.6%44647.0%440
Fayette52.8%20,01445.0%17,048
Fleming40.7%62752.3%806
Floyd31.4%2,32754.1%4,010
Franklin45.1%5,21846.6%5,398
Fulton46.6%31536.2%245
Gallatin39.5%26051.6%340
Garrard50.5%43445.0%387
Grant40.9%59449.2%715
Graves31.8%1,63151.3%2,631
Grayson49.9%70544.6%630
Green40.4%28451.2%360
Greenup43.8%1,51747.7%1,655
Hancock42.5%49149.7%573
Hardin47.8%4,35946.2%4,208
Harlan25.9%45162.8%1,092
Harrison41.4%88649.5%1,059
Hart39.7%81751.6%1,062
Henderson43.4%2,88742.9%2,850
Henry40.6%78149.8%958
Hickman32.5%20946.6%300
Hopkins32.7%1,69052.2%2,696
Jackson35.9%7859.0%128
Jefferson57.3%64,09040.3%45,048
Jessamine44.2%1,87549.8%2,113
Johnson32.9%44455.5%749
Kenton49.0%5,14646.5%4,880
Knott30.8%58358.8%1,114
Knox47.9%52046.4%504
LaRue34.7%61251.6%910
Laurel49.1%84545.9%791
Lawrence35.3%44452.4%659
Lee42.9%19948.3%224
Leslie43.8%6452.7%77
Letcher26.7%83856.9%1,788
Lewis51.7%21137.0%151
Lincoln47.7%77945.5%742
Livingston34.4%40052.4%610
Logan43.8%1,07746.0%1,131
Lyon40.5%49745.7%561
Madison41.6%3,44153.0%4,385
Magoffin42.7%51152.3%626
Marion50.3%1,16242.6%983
Marshall34.7%1,57750.8%2,308
Martin31.2%10457.4%191
Mason44.1%72747.0%775
McCracken43.8%3,33446.5%3,541
McCreary41.9%16950.4%203
McLean38.1%47750.1%628
Meade41.9%1,31249.2%1,541
Menifee44.8%31146.5%323
Mercer39.1%98852.6%1,331
Metcalfe41.7%50647.9%582
Monroe50.8%12644.0%109
Montgomery45.8%1,28947.0%1,322
Morgan31.6%54457.3%988
Muhlenberg43.3%1,54445.7%1,632
Nelson47.6%2,39546.6%2,345
Nicholas42.2%35350.2%420
Ohio41.3%77850.0%943
Oldham52.4%2,73044.4%2,315
Owen34.6%45355.0%720
Owsley43.3%7751.1%91
Pendleton36.6%38851.5%546
Perry30.0%83959.6%1,666
Pike26.1%2,33554.3%4,848
Powell42.4%62350.7%744
Pulaski47.4%1,16946.6%1,148
Robertson32.0%9559.6%177
Rockcastle45.7%23848.8%254
Rowan44.0%1,17051.2%1,363
Russell48.2%34346.7%332
Scott48.6%2,50546.4%2,394
Shelby47.8%2,19544.5%2,044
Simpson45.9%70845.1%695
Spencer42.7%67351.2%806
Taylor50.3%94944.8%844
Todd35.1%33353.5%507
Trigg40.8%60448.3%715
Trimble38.3%41550.0%542
Union29.9%67249.3%1,106
Warren44.9%4,82949.9%5,365
Washington47.0%60145.5%582
Wayne55.6%50239.4%356
Webster28.7%69348.5%1,169
Whitley52.5%52241.1%409
Wolfe42.1%41450.7%499
Woodford46.3%1,86247.7%1,918
Total46.8%212,55046.3%210,626

Analysis

Clinton's strength with conservative white voters in the Appalachia region, including Coal Country, had clearly regressed since 2008; she had beaten Barack Obama 65-29 in Kentucky eight years earlier, and only beat rival Bernie Sanders 47-46 in 2016. She ran strongly in Louisville, where the African American population is highest, but lost many of the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield counties in the state to Bernie Sanders, who had won a large victory in neighboring West Virginia the week prior. Sanders also won many counties in the Jackson Purchase area. Notably, in 2012, almost all of the Sanders counties voted for the "Uncommited" ballot option in a protest vote against Obama.

References

  1. Kentucky Secretary of State
  2. "Kentucky Survey Results" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  3. "PPP KY" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  4. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
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