2024 Taiwanese presidential election

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the Republic of China (Taiwan) on 13 January 2024.[1][2] Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), who was reelected in 2020, is ineligible to seek a third term. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2024.

2024 Taiwanese presidential election
13 January 2024
Opinion polls
 
Nominee Lai Ching-te Hou Yu-ih Ko Wen-je
Party DPP Kuomintang TPP
Taiwan by administrative divisions
Incumbent President

Tsai Ing-wen
DPP


As of 14 September 2023, four presidential candidates have been nominated and are included in mainstream opinion polls, making the election the most contested since 2000.

Background

Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the eighth direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996.

Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), Taiwan People's Party (TPP) and New Power Party (NPP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in any of the latest general election (presidential or legislative), are eligible to contest the election. Registration with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation where a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party's seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[3]

For the 2024 presidential election, the number of signatures required for independent candidates is approximately 290,000.[4] The complete petition is to be submitted between 13 and 17 September 2023, and the signature collection period follows, from 17 September to 2 November 2023.[5] Presidential candidacies are to be formally registered between 20 and 24 November 2023.[6]

According to the constitution, the incumbent President, Tsai Ing-wen, who will finish her second full term, is ineligible for re-election.

Party nominations

Democratic Progressive Party

Lai Ching-te, being the only individual to register in the party's presidential primary, is the nominee of the Democratic Progressive Party.[7][8][9]

Nominees
2024 Democratic Progressive ticket
Lai Ching-te TBD
for President for Vice President
Vice President of the Republic of China
(2020–present)

Kuomintang

Hou Yu-ih was drafted by the Kuomintang on 17 May 2023 to be its nominee for the presidency.[10]

Nominees
2024 Kuomintang ticket
Hou Yu-ih TBD
for President for Vice President
Mayor of New Taipei
(2018–present)

Taiwan People's Party

Ko Wen-je, being the only individual to register in the party's presidential primary, is the nominee of the Taiwan People's Party.[11][12]

Nominees
2024 Taiwan People's ticket
Ko Wen-je TBD
for President for Vice President
Mayor of Taipei
(2014–2022)

Joint signatures

Terry Gou
Terry Gou Lai Pei-hsia
for President for Vice President
Founder and CEO of Foxconn
(1974–2019)		 Writer, singer, actor

Opinion polling
Local regression of polls conducted since 2023
Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Lai
DPP		 Hou
KMT		 Ko
TPP		 Gou
IND.		 Others
Undecided
TVBS 18–24 October 2023 1,447 33% 22% 24% 8% 14%
34% 26% 29% — 10%
TPOF 15–17 October 2023 1,080 26.5% 20.2% 21.7% 12.4% 19.1%
1,080 29.7% 21.1% 25.6% — 23.6%
Mirror Media 14–16 October 2023 1,072 32.3% 17.8% 23.2% 9.2% 17.4%
1,072 32.1% 18.7% 24.8% — 24.4%
ETtoday 10–16 October 2023 1,582 34.7% 27.4% 25.5% — 12.3%
RW NEWS 10–14 October 2023 11,055 42.62% 22.29% 24.93% 5.86% 4.30%
11,055 42.85% 22.87% 26.09% — 8.20%
SETN 1–3 October 2023 1,000 30.9% 17.8% 24.2% 11.6% 15.5%
1,000 32.2% 20.0% 26.8% — 21.1%
TVBS 22–26 September 2023 1,127 34% 21% 22% 9% 14%
36% 26% 28% — 11%
udn 22–25 September 2023 1,082 30% 20% 21% — 30%
Mirror Media 23–24 September 2023 1,096 34.5% 16.5% 24.1% 8.5% 16.3%
1,096 33.3% 16.4% 28.0% — 22.3%
ETtoday 1,368 32.0% 24.5% 20.7% 13.2% 9.6%
FTNN 19–24 September 2023 2,402 34.3% 16.3% 18.6% 9.1% 21.7%
FTNN 2,402 34.9% 16.8% 20.8% — 27.5%
CMMedia 18–22 September 2023 1,213 27.9% 12.6% 22.4% 12.5% 24.6%
Formosa 20–21 September 2023 1,072 37.3% 19.7% 16.9% 7.4% 18.7%
1,072 40.0% 22.4% 21.6% — 15.9%
TPOF 18–20 September 2023 1,077 31.4% 15.7% 23.1% 10.5% 19.4%
1,077 33.4% 17.2% 27.4% — 22.1%
RW NEWS 12–16 September 2023 10,846 42.52% 22.25% 24.23% 6.58% 4.41%
KPOINT SURVEY & RESEARCH 12–14 September 2023 1,073 29.4% 18.4% 16.7% 14.0% 21.5%
1,073 29.2% 21.5% 19.6% — 29.7%
ETtoday 8–9 September 2023 1,337 35.1% 24.8% 20.0% 12.9% 7.2%
1,337 36.5% 29.5% 22.9% — 11.0%
TVBS 28 August – 1 September 2023 1,273 30% 19% 23% 14% 13%
ETtoday 29–30 August 2023 1,495 35.3% 21.4% 17.6% 17.2% 8.4%
Mirror Media 27–28 August 2023 1,083 33.4% 15.3% 22.7% 12.9% 15.7%
1,083 34.3% 16.2% 27.1% — 22.4%
Formosa 23–24 August 2023 1,070 40.1% 15.6% 16.6% 12.0% 15.8%
1,070 42.5% 17.0% 21.1% — 19.3%
TVBS 21–24 August 2023 1,171 37% 22% 28% — 13%
QuickseeK 17–21 August 2023 1,222 35.6% 16.2% 24.4% 12.4% 11.4%
1,222 35.8% 17.9% 29.6% — 16.6%
ETtoday 18–20 August 2023 1,207 35.4% 25.6% 24.2% — 14.9%
RW NEWS 15–19 August 2023 11,324 40.56% 22.16% 23.13% 8.96% 5.18%
RW NEWS 11,324 40.99% 22.79% 25.80% — 10.12%
ETtoday 15–17 August 2023 1,235 31.7% 18.6% 17.5% 10.2% 22.0%
TPOF 14–15 August 2023 1,081 43.4% 13.6% 26.6% — 16.3%
FTNN 9–13 August 2023 2,402 31.2% 14.8% 19.5% 11.8% 22.7%
2,402 33.4% 15.9% 23.2% — 27.4%
KPOINT SURVEY & RESEARCH 31 July – 2 August 2023 1,075 30.3% 15.1% 18.2% 14.8% 21.6%
1,075 32.3% 15.8% 23.1% — 28.8%
Newtalk 31 July – 1 August 2023 1,402 30.46% 16.92% 24.71% 17.34% 10.58%
1,402 29.46% — 26.23% 26.31% 18.0%
Newtalk 1,402 33.5% 21.4% 29.57% — 15.53%
ETtoday 28–30 July 2023 1,753 33.4% 21.0% 21.6% 16.4% 7.7%
ETtoday 1,753 35.6% 24.3% 28.8% — 11.3%
TVBS 24–26 July 2023 1,618 33% 25% 32% — 10%
Formosa 24–25 July 2023 1,071 33.1% 17.3% 20.7% 12.8% 16.1%
1,071 35.1% 19.9% 24.0% — 20.4%
1,071 33.8% 17.4% — 30.7%[13] 18.1%
TISR 19–20 July 2023 1,068 29.0% 13.2% 17.7% 10.7% 4.0%
1,068 33.8% 15.6% 24.9% — 6.0%
TPOF 17–18 July 2023 1,088 36.4% 20.2% 27.8% — 15.7%
TPOF 1,088 33.9% 18.0% 20.5% 15.2% 12.4%
RW NEWS 12–16 July 2023 12,464 38.23% 20.39% 25.29% 9.22% 6.87%
RW NEWS 12,464 38.48% 21.29% 28.34% — 11.89%
FTNN 11–16 July 2023 2,409 28.0% 12.4% 20.4% 14.4% 24.8%
FTNN 2,409 30.2% 15.3% 25.4% — 29.1%
ACEL 10–12 July 2023 1,003 33.6% 14.8% 21.1% 12.5% 18.0%
1,003 32.4% 17.6% 25.9% — 24.1%
QuickseeK 7–10 July 2023 1,178 34.8% 19.3% 30.8% — 15.0%
1,178 32.8% — 27.7% 24.5% 15.0%
1,178 33.8% 17.0% — 35.6%[13] 13.6%
ERA NEWS 3–6 July 2023 1,070 34.9% 14.5% 19.2% 14.6% 16.8%
1,070 35.5% 17.2% 24.2% — 23.1%
Z.Media 1–2 July 2023 1,079 29.8% 15.2% 24.4% 14.0% 16.2%
1,079 32.0% 16.3% — 35.8%[13] 15.5%
1,079 29.9% 16.0% 29.8% — 23.8%
NCPF 30 June – 2 July 2023 1,075 31% 15% 19% 15% 20%
1,075 34% 17% 25% — 24%
Newtalk 30 June – 1 July 2023 3,245 28.26% 14.63% 21.94% 22.29% 12.89%
3,245 28.49% — 24.07% 28.77% 18.67%
Newtalk 1,070 32.77% 21.31% 30.74% — 15.19%
CNEWS 28 June – 1 July 2023 1,816 29.3% 18.5% 30.8% — 21.4%
Formosa 28–29 June 2023 1,070 33.3% 15.6% 20.9% 15.4% 14.8%
1,070 35.9% 17.1% 28.6% — 18.4%
BCC-Gallup 16–20 June 2023 1,083 31.89% 17.93% 24.62% — 21.97%
TVBS 14–16 June 2023 1,080 30% 23% 33% — 14%
TPOF 12–13 June 2023 1,080 36.5% 20.4% 29.1% — 14.0%
RW NEWS 6–10 June 2023 12,030 37.8% 21.9% 31.3% — 9.1%
KPOINT SURVEY & RESEARCH 6–9 June 2023 1,076 31.2% 17.9% 21.5% — 29.4%
CNEWS 31 May – 1 June 2023 1,077 35.7% 25.9% 24.9% — 13.5%
Formosa 29–30 May 2023 1,072 35.4% 22.6% 25.5% — 16.5%
Formosa 24–25 May 2023 1,072 35.8% 18.3% 25.9% — 20%
ETtoday 23–25 May 2023 1,223 36.4% 27.7% 23.1% — 12.8%
NCPF 22–24 May 2023 1,082 34% 23% 23% — 20%
Fount Media 22–23 May 2023 1,074 26.6% 24.7% 21.1% — 27.6%
udn 18–21 May 2023 1,090 28% 24% 22% — 27%
SETN 17–18 May 2023 1,080 29.8% 29.2% 20.8% — 20.2%
TVBS 17–18 May 2023 1,444 27% 30% 23% — 20%

Notes

    References
    1. "Taiwan sets next presidential election for January 2024". Nikkei Asia. 11 March 2023. Retrieved 18 March 2023.
    2. "Taiwan sets Jan 13, 2024 for presidential, legislative elections". Taiwan News. 10 March 2023. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
    3. "Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act". Archived from the original on 13 January 2019. Retrieved 15 January 2019.
    4. Chung, Yu-chen (28 August 2023). "ELECTION 2024/Terry Gou jumps into 2024 presidential race as independent candidate". Central News Agency. Retrieved 29 August 2023. With the declaration of his intention to join the 2024 race as an independent, Gou will now be required to obtain the signatures of at least 1.5 percent of the electorate in the last legislative election, which would mean around 290,000 signatures, within 45 days of his formal application to run as an independent candidate, according to law.
    5. Chung, Yu-chen (28 August 2023). "ELECTION 2024/Terry Gou announces presidency bid, touts business acumen as key asset". Central News Agency. Retrieved 29 August 2023. Independent presidential candidates are required to file an official application to run and collect the required signatures from Sept. 13-17. Those signatures are then collected from Sept. 19 to Nov. 2 and the Central Election Commission (CEC) announces whether the candidates collected enough signatures by Nov. 14.
    6. Yeh, Joseph (28 August 2023). "ELECTION 2024/Terry Gou's decision to run for president 'deeply regrettable': KMT". Central News Agency. Retrieved 29 August 2023. The date for the registration of presidential candidates at the Central Election Commission is Nov. 20-24.
    7. "VP Lai runs in DPP primary, vows to safeguard Taiwan amid China threat". Central News Agency. 15 March 2023. Retrieved 31 March 2023.
    8. "Registration for DPP presidential primary closes with Lai Ching-te as sole registrant". FTV News. 17 March 2023. Retrieved 31 March 2023.
    9. Teng, Pei-ju (12 April 2023). "ELECTION 2024/VP Lai picked as DPP's candidate for 2024 presidential election". Central News Agency. Retrieved 18 June 2023.
    10. Shih, Hsiu-chuan (17 May 2023). "ELECTION 2024/New Taipei Mayor Hou Yu-ih named as KMT presidential nominee". Central News Agency. Retrieved 18 June 2023.
    11. Kuo, Chien-ta; Wang, Hung-kuo; Ko, Lin (8 May 2023). "ELECTION 2024/Ko Wen-je registers for TPP presidential primary". Central News Agency. Retrieved 18 June 2023.
    12. Lin, Sean; Kuo, Chien-shen (17 May 2023). "ELECTION 2024/TPP formally nominates Ko as its presidential candidate". Retrieved 18 June 2023.
    13. Ko as VP.
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