2023 Luxembourg general election

General elections were held in Luxembourg on 8 October 2023 to elect all 60 seats of the Chamber of Deputies.[1][2][3]

2023 Luxembourg general election
Luxembourg
8 October 2023

All 60 seats in the Chamber of Deputies
31 seats needed for a majority
Turnout87.18% (Decrease 2.48pp)
PartyLeader % Seats +/–
CSV Luc Frieden 29.21 21 0
LSAP Paulette Lenert 18.91 11 +1
DP Xavier Bettel 18.70 14 +2
ADR Fred Keup 9.27 5 +1
Greens Sam Tanson 8.55 4 -5
Pirates Sven Clement 6.74 3 +1
The Left David Wagner 3.93 2 0
Largest party within each municipality and constituency.
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Xavier Bettel
DP
TBD

The incumbent Bettel II Government was a coalition of the Democratic Party (DP), the Luxembourg Socialist Workers' Party (LSAP) and The Greens.

Electoral system

The 60 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by proportional representation in four multi-member constituencies; nine in North constituency, seven in East, 23 in South and 21 in Centre. Voters can vote for a party list or cast multiple votes for as many candidates as there are seats. Seat allocation is calculated in accordance with the Hagenbach-Bischoff quota.[4]

Only Luxembourgish citizens may vote in general elections. A proposal to extend voting rights to foreigners who have lived in Luxembourg for at least ten years and have previously voted in a European or local election in Luxembourg, was rejected in a 2015 referendum. Voting is mandatory for eligible Luxembourg citizens who live in Luxembourg and are under 75 years of age.[5] Luxembourg citizens who live abroad may vote by post at the commune in which they most recently lived in Luxembourg.[6] Luxembourg citizens who were born in Luxembourg but have never lived there may vote by post at the commune in which they were born.[6] Luxembourg citizens who were not born in Luxembourg and have never lived there may vote by post at the commune of Luxembourg City.[6]

Parties

List
No.
Name Abbr. Lead
candidate
Ideology Political
position
Last election Notes[7]
 % Seats
1 Luxembourg Socialist Workers' Party
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei
LSAP Paulette Lenert[8] Social democracy Centre-left 17.60
10 / 60
2 Democratic Party
Demokratesch Partei
DP Xavier Bettel Liberalism Centre to centre-right 16.91
12 / 60
3 The Greens
Déi Gréng
DG Sam Tanson Green politics Centre-left 15.12
9 / 60
4 Christian Social People's Party
Chrëschtlech Sozial Vollekspartei
CSV Luc Frieden[9] Christian democracy Centre to centre-right 28.31
21 / 60
5 The Left
Déi Lénk
DL David Wagner Democratic socialism Left-wing 5.48
2 / 60
6 Alternative Democratic Reform Party
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei
ADR Fred Keup National conservatism Right-wing to far-right 8.28
4 / 60
7 Pirate Party Luxembourg
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg
PPLU Sven Clement Pirate politics 6.45
2 / 60
9[10] Focus
Fokus
FOK Frank Engel[11] Pragmatism Centre New
10 Volt Luxembourg
Volt Lëtzebuerg
VOLT None[12] European federalism Centre to centre-left New Only presenting lists in the South
and East constituencies
11 Communist Party of Luxembourg
Kommunistesch Partei vu Lëtzebuerg
KPL Ali Ruckert Communism Far-left 1.27
0 / 60
Only presenting lists in the South,
East and Centre constituencies
12 Liberté - Fräiheet!
Liberté - Fräiheet!
LF Roy Reding Right-wing populism Right-wing to far-right New
13 The Conservatives
Déi Konservativ
DK Joe Thein Conservatism Centre-right to right-wing 0.27
0 / 60
Only presenting lists in the South
and North constituencies

Opinion polls

Voting intention

Fieldwork date Polling firm CSV LSAP DP DG ADR PPLU DL KPL Dem. DK Volt Fokus
7–16 Aug 2023 ILRES 28.3% 19.8% 17.4% 10.7% 6.9% 9.9% 5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 1.1%
11 Jun 2023 Municipal elections [13][14] 26.06% 21.30% 20.64% 12.69% 3.22% 3.98% 3.22% 0.40% 0.18% 0.84%
23 Mar − 6 Apr 2023 TNS 27.1% 17.9% 17.1% 12.8% 7.5% 10.0% 4.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 2.0%
14−28 Nov 2022 TNS 23.3% 20.7% 18.4% 12.1% 7.7% 9.6% 5.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.5%
24 May − 7 Jun 2022 TNS 23.0% 18.0% 18.1% 13.7% 7.6% 9.7% 5.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 2.9%
11−19 Nov 2021 TNS 21.6% 20.2% 16.2% 12.4% 11.3% 11.1% 5.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
9−21 Jun 2021 TNS 24.6% 17.8% 19.3% 13.4% 7.6% 8.0% 7.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5%
10–24 Nov 2020 TNS 25.7% 19.8% 19.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.9% 5.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4–24 Jun 2020 TNS 27.5% 16.4% 20.6% 13.4% 8.2% 4.8% 7.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
14–23 Nov 2019 TNS 30.1% 15.0% 16.6% 15.9% 10.4% 5.4% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2%
14 Oct 2018 Election [15] 28.31% 17.60% 16.91% 15.12% 8.28% 6.45% 5.48% 1.27% 0.29% 0.27%

Seat projections

Map of Luxembourg's constituencies with number of seats
Fieldwork date Polling firm CSV DP LSAP DG ADR PPLU DL Gov.
7–16 Aug 2023 ILRES 19 11 13 7 3 5 2 31
23 Mar − 6 Apr 2023 TNS 17 11 12 8 4 6 2 31
14−28 Nov 2022 TNS 15 12 13 8 4 6 2 33
24 May − 7 Jun 2022 TNS 16 12 12 8 4 6 2 32
11−19 Nov 2021 TNS 15 9 12 8 7 7 2 29
9−21 Jun 2021 TNS 17 13 11 8 4 4 3 32
10–24 Nov 2020 TNS 17 14 12 8 5 2 2 34
4–24 Jun 2020 TNS 19 15 10 8 4 1 3 33
14–23 Dec 2019 TNS 20 11 9 10 6 2 2 30
14 Oct 2018 Election [16] 21 12 10 9 4 2 2 31

Results

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Christian Social People's Party1,099,42729.21210
Luxembourg Socialist Workers' Party711,89018.9111+1
Democratic Party703,83318.7014+2
Alternative Democratic Reform Party348,9909.275+1
The Greens321,8958.554–5
Pirate Party Luxembourg253,5546.743+1
The Left147,8393.9320
Fokus93,8392.490New
Liberté - Fräiheet!42,6431.130New
Communist Party of Luxembourg24,2750.6400
The Conservatives8,4940.2300
Volt Luxembourg7,0010.190New
Total3,763,680100.00600
Valid votes231,34492.55
Invalid votes10,7354.29
Blank votes7,8893.16
Total votes249,968100.00
Registered voters/turnout286,71187.18
Source: Government of Luxembourg

Government formation

On 9 October 2023, Grand Duke Henri appointed Luc Frieden as government formateur with the intention that Frieden would become the next Prime Minster. The CSV leader will lead negotiations with outgoing Prime Minister Xavier Bettel and his DP. Bettel has expressed his willingness to participate in government, though not as Prime Minister.[17]

References

  1. "Luxembourg Parliamentary Elections to Take Place on 8 October 2023". Chronicle.lu. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
  2. "National elections to take place on 8 October 2023". RTL Today. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
  3. "Delano's rolling 2023 parliamentary elections coverage". delano.lu. Retrieved 10 October 2023.
  4. Electoral system IPU
  5. "Voting in legislative elections - Citoyens // Luxembourg". Government of Luxembourg. Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  6. "Vote par correspondance" (in French). Retrieved 4 June 2018.
  7. "D'Kandidaten aus de verschiddene Bezierker an der Iwwersiicht op RTL.lu". rtl.lu (in Luxembourgish). 20 August 2023.
  8. "LSAP-Neijoerschpatt: Paulette Lenert geet am Oste mat an d'Walen an ass prett fir d'Spëtzekandidatur". www.rtl.lu (in Luxembourgish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  9. "Gréng Luucht vum Nationalrot: De Luc Frieden ass prett, fir CSV-Spëtzekandidat ze ginn". www.rtl.lu (in Luxembourgish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  10. List 8 was assigned to Mir d'Vollék, which contested the 2023 communal elections but not the general election.
  11. "Frank Engel, tête de liste de Fokus pour les législatives". paperjam.lu (in French). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  12. "Volt runs in the 2023 elections".
  13. "Communal elections 2023 - Unofficial results". Government of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. 14 June 2023. Retrieved 13 August 2023.
  14. "Luxembourg local elections". Europe Elects. 15 June 2023.
  15. "Résultats en 'électeurs théoriques'". Government of Luxembourg. 539. Retrieved 18 June 2022.
  16. "Résultats en 'électeurs théoriques'". Government of Luxembourg. 539. Retrieved 18 June 2022.
  17. "Luxembourg election: Center-right to lead coalition talks". POLITICO. 10 October 2023. Retrieved 12 October 2023.
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