2023–24 Australian bushfire season
The 2023–24 Australian bushfire season is the current season of bushfires in Australia. The spring outlook for the season prediction was for increased risk of fire for regions in Queensland, New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and the Northern Territory.[2]
2023–24 Australian bushfire season | |
---|---|
Location | Australia |
Statistics | |
Date(s) | August 2023[1] – present |
Buildings destroyed | 33 |
Deaths | 4 |
Season | |
Next season → |
Above average temperatures and below average rainfall were expected for most of Australia. The fuel load growth was elevated due to above average rainfall associated with the prolonged La Niña conditions over the previous 3 years. A significantly dry and warm winter over much of Australia in 2023 has elevated the fire risk associated with these fuel loads.
Other major contributing factors to the elevated fire risk included a strong El Niño situation present in the tropical Pacific Ocean, was a robust indicator for dry and hot weather patterns for eastern and southern Australia. Additionally, a sustained positive Indian Ocean Dipole was expected to lead to drier conditions in southern and central Australia. Global sea surface temperatures had continued to be the warmest on record since April 2023, while July 2023 had been the hottest month on record for global air temperatures. These trends have since continued with Australia's winter becoming the hottest on record. August and September kept this trend by reportedly being the hottest and driest on record, running approximately 3.38 °C above average and rainfall 70.8% below average in September.[3][4]
Anthropogenic climate change influenced these conditions with Australia's climate warming approximately 1.47 °C in the last 110 years, leading to longer fire seasons and higher frequency of dangerous fire weather days.
Other significant factors for a elevated fire season are over the past several years the number of days to conduct Controlled burns have been lower compared to past years with NSW RFS reporting they have only been able to conduct around 20% of their Hazard Reduction targets.[5] Leading to extensive fuel load build up, the previous 3 years of La Niña conditions has enabled rapid vegetation growth throughout the landscape adding to the already high fuel loads. Areas which were impacted in the 2019–20 Australian bushfire season have fully regenerated, putting those communities back into potential risk.[6]
Fires by state or territory
New South Wales
In August, over 70 blazes were already active in New South Wales leading to the New South Wales Rural Fire Service announcing an early start to the fire danger season in most of the north of the state.[1]
On 19 September, an 'Extreme' fire danger warning was issued for the Far South Coast region of New South Wales, causing 29 schools to be closed. Strengthening winds resulted in the warning later being upgraded to 'Catastrophic'.[7]
From the start of October New South Wales has began to see frequent Total Fire Bans and significant fires. The first widespread Total Fire Ban was declared for nine regions across New South Wales on 1 October.[8] Significant fires have occurred throughout the state, predominately in the Mid West/North Coast. However, fires of significance have also occurred in the Bega Valley and the Hunter Valley. Combined these fires brunt over 43,195 ha (106,352 acres), destroying 13 homes and claiming the lives of 2.
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On 3 October, a fire started burning in Coolagolite in the Bega Valley. Due to strong winds of up to 100 km/h (62 mph), the fire quickly spread leading to emergency warnings being issued in Bermagui and surrounding towns. By 5 October, the fire was largely brought after control after burning nearly 7,000 ha (17,300 acres) of bushland and destroying 2 homes and 14 outbuildings.[9][10] Another fire broke out on 3 October in Kearsley, south-east of Cessnock in the Hunter Valley, burning over 190 ha (470 acres).[11] Both of these fires required the newly bought NSW RFS Chinook and the 737 Large Air Tanker (LAT). Further resources from Queensland were lent to the NSW RFS to bring the fires under control.[12] A further fire broke out on October 3 at Home Rule, between Mudgee & Gulgong in the state's Mid West. The fire generated widespread emergency warning to surrounding communities and burnt through hundreds of hectares, destroying one home and several outbuildings.[13][14][15]
On 13 October firefighters saved ten houses from an out of control emergency level fire at Wallangara near Ashford which burnt over 2,000 hectares (5,000 acres).[16]
On 14 October the NSW RFS confirmed the death of a volunteer firefighter in Kyogle region, while fighting the Bean Creek fire which burnt over 1,100 hectares (2,273 acres).[17]
On 16 October widespread extreme fire dangers were issued due to widespread high temperatures and high winds upwards of 100 km/h (62 mph). Were multiple fires broke out across the state, most noticeably in the state's Mid West and Mid North Coast where The Cope fire near Gulgong, the Upper Horseshoe Creek fire near Kyogle, the Bayshore Drive fire near Byron Bay, the Booral Road fire near Girvan, and the Rocky River Road fire near Tenterfield, New South Wales began. These fires quickly reached emergency warning levels, prompting widespread evacuations. Collectively these fires burnt over 2,905 hectares (7,178 acres).[18] The Booral Road fire has destroyed 1 home, while the Rocky River Road fire has destroyed 3 homes.[19] On the same day the Willi Willi Road fire broke out of containment lines in the Willi Willi National Park west of Kempsey, New South Wales which then burnt over 30,000 hectares (74,131 acres). Fire crews reported that the fire exhibited "extraordinary" behavior similar to the 2019–20 Australian bushfire season. Numerous properties are believed to have been lost, with 7 homes being confirmed destroyed with one confirmed deceased.[20]
On 25 October The Glens Creek Rd Fire near Nymboida, New South Wales developed a rare Cumulonimbus flammagenitus, Also known as a fire thunderstorm.[21]
Victoria
On 1 October, four major bushfires began burning in the eastern Victorian region of Gippsland. A large blaze near Briagolong resulted in the town and its surrounds being evacuated, while emergency warnings were issued for residents in proximity of other fires in Loch Sport and Rawson. Strong winds in the region resulted in the fires spreading rapidly and burning out of control.[22] By the following day, one house and several other outbuildings and sheds had been destroyed. Damage to power lines also left around 2,000 properties without power around the Loch Sport area. Heavy rain across the state on 3 October helped to bring the flames under control, by which time the fires had burnt a combined total of over 20,000 ha (49,500 acres) of bushland.[23][24]
Tasmania
On 1 October, a fire began burning in Mount Tanner on Flinders Island, before spreading rapidly out of control and threatening the communities of Leeka and Pine Scrub. Nearby residents were advised to evacuate. [25]
Northern Territory
On 14 August Bushfires NT chief issued a warning that the of the Northern Territory could lose up to 80% per cent of the territory by March.[26]
On 4 September, a large fire began burning in the Barkly Tablelands, rapidly spreading out of control and threatening isolated cattle farms.[27] On 11 September, residents in Tennant Creek were warned to prepare for the fire's arrival, after a significant edge of the fire spread 60 km towards the township over a 24 hour period.[28] The efforts of firefighters prevented Tennant Creek from being impacted. By 17 October, the fire had burnt over 2.8 million ha (7 million acres).[29] The fire took 51 days to be declared out which occurred on October 18.
South Australia
On 6 October South Australia announce the start of their bushfire season for six districts 2 weeks earlier than normal due to below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures causing significant grass loads to dry out, leading to an earlier and increased risk of fire.[30]
Western Australia
On 7 October a large and dangerous began burning in Shire of Gingin, with a emergency warning being issued to residents to act immediately to survive and leave the area.[31]
On 24 October a fire broke out in Kings Park, Western Australia which threatened properties and lives, including the Perth Children's Hospital. The fire was suspected to of been sparked by an arsonist.[32]
Queensland
On 7 October, a large and dangerous fire began in the Duckinwilla, Queensland area. A emergency warning was issued and local media was instructed to use the standard emergency warning signal to alert those in the vicinity, a measure reserved for the most serious and life-threatening scenarios.[33]
A fire near Mount French was contained on 13 October, after emergency warnings issued earlier to communities around the area were downgraded. The fire destroyed two sheds. A second fire in the Western Downs region also prompted emergency warnings, but was also downgraded by that night.[34]
On October 14 due to widespread high temperatures and high winds, a fire ban was issued for various regions in South East Queensland, including Ipswich, Lockyer Valley, and the Scenic Rim, these conditions continued into the following day were a fire broke out in the Deepwater, Queensland on 15 October which has burnt over 3,600 ha (8,895 acres) with 2 houses confirmed to be lost.[35]
Two large bushfires broke out on October 22 in Southern Queensland located near Toowoomba which has since destroyed at least 16 homes.[36] On October 25 it was confirmed 2 people have died.[37]
New Fire Danger Index and problems faced
On 1 September 2022, the Australian Fire Danger Rating System (AFDRS) was introduced. The AFDRS is a rationalisation of Australia's previously existing fire warning system and implemented consistent messaging across the country, ensuring nationwide understanding of fire risk.[38]
The ratings are collected from a range of data such as weather conditions, fuel loads, and vegetation types which are compiled into the Fire Behaviour Index (FBI), a scale from 0-100.
Ratings
No Danger: <12
Moderate: 12-23
High: 24-49
Extreme: 50-99
Catastrophic: 100+
Problems faced
The 2023–24 bushfire season is the first full fire season with the AFDRS fully implemented, and as such has faced significant problems. An investigation revealed that the highly detailed data required for the system to produce accurate fire danger ratings was unavailable, leading to erroneous predictions. The issue has since been resolved, although authorities have acknowledged areas for improvement on the new system.
On 4 September, the AFDRS incorrectly predicted a 'Catastrophic' fire danger rating for southern Queensland.[39]
References
- Jones, Alexandra (20 August 2023). "NSW fire crews work through weekend to contain more than 70 blazes across the state". ABC News. Retrieved 23 August 2023.
- "Seasonal Bushfire Outlook Spring 2023" (PDF). afac. afac. Retrieved 23 August 2023.
- "This August was the hottest ever recorded, UN's weather agency says". ABC News. 6 September 2023. Retrieved 5 October 2023.
- http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/month/aus/summary.shtml
- Chung, Laura (2 June 2023). "RFS significantly behind risk mitigation target as bad fire season looms". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
- Chung, Laura (24 July 2023). "Widespread fire concern for majority of state after years of heavy rain". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
- Adams, Floss; Tugwell, James (18 September 2023). "NSW Far South Coast fire danger rating upgraded to catastrophic as schools remain closed". ABC News. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- Barrett Peters, Courtney (1 October 2023). "Greater Sydney among nine regions across NSW under total fire ban". ABC News. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- Roberts, Millie; Tugwell, James; Reardon, Adriane (5 October 2023). "Community looks to next steps after Coolagolite blaze heralds start of NSW fire season". ABC News. Retrieved 5 October 2023.
- Reardon, Adriane; Clarke, Bernadette (6 October 2023). "Two homes confirmed destroyed, another two damaged, in Coolagolite bushfire". ABC News. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
- Ross, Hannah; Oataway, Lani; Cole, Hamish (3 October 2023). "Coolagolite bushfire downgraded to watch and act after other fires slow to advice level". ABC News. Retrieved 5 October 2023.
- "Facebook". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 5 October 2023.
- "Bushfire threat eases in NSW's Central West as firefighters control flames fanned by 'erratic' winds". ABC News. 2 October 2023. Retrieved 17 October 2023.
- "Another scorcher for NSW as fire danger rises". www.9news.com.au. 3 October 2023. Retrieved 17 October 2023.
- "Facebook". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 17 October 2023.
- "Firefighters and aircraft work to defend properties from grassfire north of Inverell in NSW". ABC News. 13 October 2023. Retrieved 17 October 2023.
- "Volunteer firefighter dies after medical episode while tackling NSW fire". ABC News. 14 October 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
- "Emergency level bushfire downgraded in New South Wales". www.9news.com.au. 17 October 2023. Retrieved 17 October 2023.
- "With winds blowing hot and cold, this weekend is risky on the bushfire front in NSW". ABC News. 20 October 2023. Retrieved 20 October 2023.
- "Four homes confirmed lost as farmers count the cost of 'tragic' NSW fire". ABC News. 19 October 2023. Retrieved 19 October 2023.
- "Major NSW highway reopens and 'erratic' blaze near Grafton downgraded after another day of fire danger in NSW". ABC News. 24 October 2023. Retrieved 26 October 2023.
- Symons, Bec (1 October 2023). "Three fires burn out of control in Gippsland, residents and campers flee". ABC News. Retrieved 1 October 2023.
- "Rain assisting firefighters' efforts as they battle Loch Sport and Briagalong fires in Gippsland". ABC News. 2 October 2023. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- "Rain delivers much-needed relief for fire-threatened towns of Loch Sport and Briagolong, Victoria". ABC News. 4 October 2023. Retrieved 4 October 2023.
- "Rain brings relief to crews fighting Flinders Island bushfire at Mount Tanner/Leeka". ABC News. 3 October 2023. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- "NT authorities say this bushfire season will be the worst in a decade. Here's why". ABC News. 14 August 2023. Retrieved 26 October 2023.
- Morgan, Thomas (8 September 2023). "Major bushfire closes Barkly Highway as authorities declare entire NT a fire danger area until March". ABC News. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- Allison, Charmayne; Brash, Stewart (11 September 2023). "Tennant Creek residents urged to prepare as major Barkly bushfire burns closer to NT outback town". ABC News. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- "Hopes backburning will slow NT fire that has burnt more than 2.8 million hectares". ABC News. 17 October 2023. Retrieved 19 October 2023.
- "'Hottest September on record' sparks early start to fire danger season". ABC News. 6 October 2023. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
- "Fire threatening lives and homes in Shire of Gingin, north of Perth". ABC News. 7 October 2023. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
- "'I thought I was going to burn': Kings Park reopened to public as firefighters control 'suspicious' bushfires". ABC News. 24 October 2023. Retrieved 24 October 2023.
- Murray, Duncan (7 October 2023). "Major emergency warning issued for QLD bushfire". The Canberra Times. Retrieved 7 October 2023.
- Khan, Nibir; Jurss-Lewis, Tobias (13 October 2023). "Firefighters contain 'fast-moving' vegetation fire near Mount French". ABC News. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
- "More locals told to prepare to leave as fire crews work to control 3,600ha blaze near Agnes Water in Queensland". ABC News. 19 October 2023. Retrieved 19 October 2023.
- "Homes lost as 'severe' bushfires spread west of Toowoomba". ABC News. 23 October 2023. Retrieved 24 October 2023.
- "One person dead as Queensland bushfires threaten properties in tinderbox conditions". ABC News. 24 October 2023. Retrieved 24 October 2023.
- "AFDRS – Australian Fire Danger Rating System". Retrieved 3 October 2023.
- Callinan, Rory; Burt, Jemima (28 September 2023). "Australia's new fire warnings system is generating misleading ratings, exaggerating risk, ABC investigation reveals". ABC News. Retrieved 3 October 2023.