2016 Montana Democratic presidential primary
The 2016 Montana Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of Montana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
 | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
 Election results by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders Tie | |||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Montana |
|---|
 |
The Democratic Party's primaries in California, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Montana primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.
Opinion polling
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official Primary Results | June 7, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 51.6% |
Hillary Clinton 44.2% |
No Preference 4.3% | |
| Gravis Marketing[2]
Margin of error: 3%
|
February 24–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 42.2% |
Elizabeth Warren 34.3% |
Joe Biden 5.9% |
Jim Webb 2.9%, Mark Warner 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Unsure 11.8% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
November 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 47% |
Brian Schweitzer 26% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% |
Joe Biden 6%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Cory Booker 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 7% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5.6%
|
June 21–23, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Brian Schweitzer 17% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Cory Booker 3%, Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5.1%
|
February 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Brian Schweitzer 22% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Elizabeth Warren 5%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 5% |
| Brian Schweitzer 35% |
Joe Biden 28% |
Elizabeth Warren 13% |
Mark Warner 5%, Andrew Cuomo 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% | ||
| Brian Schweitzer 46% |
Elizabeth Warren 18% |
Andrew Cuomo 12% |
Mark Warner 3%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 18% |
Results
| Montana Democratic primary, June 7, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 65,156 | 51.56% | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| Hillary Clinton | 55,805 | 44.16% | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| No preference | 5,415 | 4.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 126,376 | 100% | 21 | 6 | 27 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results | |||||
Analysis
Heading into the final batch of primaries on June 7, Montana was generally seen as a state Bernie Sanders would win, being largely whiter and more rural and less densely populated than the country at-large. Sanders has also generally performed well in the Pacific Northwest. Having put Barack Obama over the top mathematically in its Democratic Primary in 2008, Montana again voted against Hillary Clinton in 2016.
While Clinton won in the cities of Great Falls and Billings (where she had dispatched her husband earlier that month), Sanders won in Helena and Missoula and swept most of the rural counties of the state. However, that same day Clinton won large victories in California, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota and was able to claim the Democratic nomination.
References
- "Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
- "Gravis Insights Political Telephone Survey Montana". Gravismarketing.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.