2016 United States presidential election in Idaho
The 2016 United States presidential election in Idaho was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Idaho has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
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| Turnout | 75.87%  [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Idaho |
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Results by county with number of votes shown by size
Treemap of the popular vote by county
Trump was expected to win Idaho; Idaho is a Republican stronghold that has not voted for a Democratic candidate for president since Lyndon B. Johnson's national landslide in 1964, and even then the state was close. Trump ultimately carried the state with 59.25% of the vote, while Clinton received 27.48%. Third party candidate Evan McMullin carried 6.75% of the popular vote, making Idaho his second-strongest state, only after neighboring Utah.[3]
Primaries and Caucuses
Republican primary
Republican primary results by county.
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
With only a thousand dollar filing fee, thirteen candidates appear on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[4]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Ted Cruz | 100,889 | 45.44% | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| Donald Trump | 62,413 | 28.11% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| Marco Rubio | 35,290 | 15.90% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 16,514 | 7.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 3,853 | 1.74% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 939 | 0.42% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 834 | 0.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 358 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 353 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 242 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 211 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 80 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Messina (withdrawn) | 28 | 0.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 222,004 | 100.00% | 32 | 0 | 32 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Democratic caucuses
Results of the Democratic primary by county.
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 18,640 | 78.04% | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| Hillary Clinton | 5,065 | 21.21% | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 4 | 0.02% | |||
| Uncommitted | 175 | 0.73% | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 23,884 | 100% | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| Source: The Green Papers Idaho Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates | |||||
Constitution primary
The Constitution Party of Idaho held its primary on March 8.
Election results, by county, of the 2016 constitution Presidential Primary in Idaho.
Scott Copeland
J.R. Myers
Patrick Anthony Ockander
Tie
No votes
| Idaho Constitution Party presidential primary, 2016[5][6][7] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Pledged delegates | |
| Count | Percentage | ||
 Scott Copeland |
250 | 51.7% | 8 |
| J.R. Myers | 139 | 28.7% | 0 |
| Patrick Anthony Ockander | 95 | 19.6% | 0 |
| Total: | 484 | 100% | 8 |
| Key: | Withdrew prior to contest |
Polling
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[9] | Safe R | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[11] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[15] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
| 2016 United States presidential election in Idaho | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Popular vote | Percentage | ||
| Republican | Donald Trump | 409,055 | 59.25% | ||
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 189,765 | 27.48% | ||
| Independent | Evan McMullin | 46,476 | 6.73% | ||
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 28,331 | 4.10% | ||
| Green | Jill Stein | 8,496 | 1.23% | ||
| National Constitution | Darrell L. Castle | 4,403 | 0.64% | ||
| Constitution | Scott Copeland | 2,356 | 0.34% | ||
| Reform | Roque De La Fuente | 1,373 | 0.20% | ||
| Other/Write-in | 178 | 0.03% | |||
| Total | 690,433 | 100.00% | |||
| Source: Idaho Secretary of State Election Division New York Times | |||||
By county
| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Ada | 93,752 | 47.91% | 75,677 | 38.68% | 11,226 | 5.74% | 15,014 | 7.67% | 18,075 | 9.23% | 195,669 |
| Adams | 1,556 | 71.28% | 415 | 19.01% | 80 | 3.66% | 132 | 6.05% | 1,141 | 52.27% | 2,183 |
| Bannock | 17,180 | 51.41% | 10,342 | 30.95% | 3,449 | 10.32% | 2,445 | 7.32% | 6,838 | 20.46% | 33,416 |
| Bear Lake | 2,203 | 75.24% | 255 | 8.71% | 366 | 12.50% | 104 | 3.55% | 1,837 | 62.74% | 2,928 |
| Benewah | 3,103 | 74.15% | 770 | 18.40% | 61 | 1.46% | 251 | 5.99% | 2,333 | 55.75% | 4,185 |
| Bingham | 10,907 | 65.61% | 2,924 | 17.59% | 2,002 | 12.04% | 792 | 4.76% | 7,983 | 48.02% | 16,625 |
| Blaine | 3,340 | 31.15% | 6,416 | 59.83% | 289 | 2.69% | 679 | 6.33% | -3,076 | -28.68% | 10,724 |
| Boise | 2,673 | 70.08% | 777 | 20.37% | 112 | 2.94% | 252 | 6.61% | 1,896 | 49.71% | 3,814 |
| Bonner | 13,343 | 63.71% | 5,819 | 27.78% | 372 | 1.78% | 1,409 | 6.73% | 7,524 | 35.93% | 20,943 |
| Bonneville | 26,699 | 60.38% | 8,930 | 20.19% | 6,022 | 13.62% | 2,570 | 5.81% | 17,769 | 40.19% | 44,221 |
| Boundary | 3,789 | 73.39% | 933 | 18.07% | 130 | 2.52% | 311 | 6.02% | 2,856 | 55.32% | 5,163 |
| Butte | 914 | 74.31% | 160 | 13.01% | 114 | 9.27% | 42 | 3.41% | 754 | 61.30% | 1,230 |
| Camas | 410 | 69.49% | 110 | 18.64% | 33 | 5.59% | 37 | 6.28% | 300 | 50.85% | 590 |
| Canyon | 47,222 | 64.88% | 16,883 | 23.20% | 4,216 | 5.79% | 4,464 | 6.13% | 30,339 | 41.68% | 72,785 |
| Caribou | 2,275 | 74.96% | 271 | 8.93% | 372 | 12.26% | 117 | 3.85% | 1,903 | 62.70% | 3,052 |
| Cassia | 5,949 | 72.74% | 1,036 | 12.67% | 853 | 10.43% | 340 | 4.16% | 4,913 | 60.07% | 8,178 |
| Clark | 203 | 71.73% | 44 | 15.55% | 23 | 8.13% | 13 | 4.59% | 159 | 56.18% | 283 |
| Clearwater | 2,852 | 75.03% | 704 | 18.52% | 72 | 1.89% | 173 | 4.56% | 2,148 | 56.51% | 3,801 |
| Custer | 1,777 | 73.61% | 427 | 17.69% | 82 | 3.40% | 128 | 5.30% | 1,350 | 55.92% | 2,414 |
| Elmore | 5,816 | 68.25% | 1,814 | 21.29% | 376 | 4.41% | 516 | 6.05% | 4,002 | 46.96% | 8,522 |
| Franklin | 3,901 | 70.94% | 385 | 7.00% | 912 | 16.58% | 301 | 5.48% | 2,989 | 54.36% | 5,499 |
| Fremont | 4,090 | 71.57% | 651 | 11.39% | 751 | 13.14% | 223 | 3.90% | 3,339 | 58.43% | 5,715 |
| Gem | 5,980 | 75.18% | 1,229 | 15.45% | 357 | 4.49% | 388 | 4.88% | 4,751 | 59.73% | 7,954 |
| Gooding | 3,743 | 72.11% | 930 | 17.92% | 293 | 5.64% | 225 | 4.33% | 2,813 | 54.19% | 5,191 |
| Idaho | 6,441 | 78.23% | 1,196 | 14.53% | 165 | 2.00% | 431 | 5.24% | 5,245 | 63.70% | 8,233 |
| Jefferson | 8,436 | 73.52% | 976 | 8.51% | 1,560 | 13.59% | 503 | 4.38% | 6,876 | 59.93% | 11,475 |
| Jerome | 4,644 | 68.79% | 1,329 | 19.69% | 419 | 6.21% | 359 | 5.31% | 3,315 | 49.10% | 6,751 |
| Kootenai | 44,449 | 67.03% | 16,264 | 24.53% | 1,557 | 2.35% | 4,040 | 6.09% | 28,185 | 42.50% | 66,310 |
| Latah | 7,265 | 39.98% | 8,093 | 44.53% | 696 | 3.83% | 2,119 | 11.66% | -828 | -4.55% | 18,173 |
| Lemhi | 3,011 | 73.51% | 733 | 17.90% | 139 | 3.39% | 213 | 5.20% | 2,278 | 55.61% | 4,096 |
| Lewis | 1,202 | 75.60% | 270 | 16.98% | 17 | 1.07% | 101 | 6.35% | 932 | 58.62% | 1,590 |
| Lincoln | 1,184 | 67.73% | 360 | 20.59% | 102 | 5.84% | 102 | 5.84% | 824 | 47.14% | 1,748 |
| Madison | 8,941 | 56.99% | 1,201 | 7.66% | 4,669 | 29.76% | 877 | 5.59% | 4,272 | 27.23% | 15,688 |
| Minidoka | 4,887 | 71.13% | 1,167 | 16.98% | 463 | 6.74% | 354 | 5.15% | 3,720 | 54.15% | 6,871 |
| Nez Perce | 10,699 | 62.20% | 4,828 | 28.07% | 352 | 2.05% | 1,322 | 7.68% | 5,871 | 34.13% | 17,201 |
| Oneida | 1,531 | 74.03% | 184 | 8.90% | 271 | 13.10% | 82 | 3.97% | 1,260 | 60.93% | 2,068 |
| Owyhee | 3,052 | 77.76% | 591 | 15.06% | 108 | 2.75% | 174 | 4.43% | 2,461 | 62.70% | 3,925 |
| Payette | 6,489 | 74.55% | 1,507 | 17.31% | 314 | 3.61% | 394 | 4.53% | 4,982 | 57.24% | 8,704 |
| Power | 1,666 | 60.41% | 699 | 25.34% | 233 | 8.45% | 160 | 5.80% | 967 | 35.07% | 2,758 |
| Shoshone | 3,297 | 64.39% | 1,384 | 27.03% | 87 | 1.70% | 352 | 6.88% | 1,913 | 37.36% | 5,120 |
| Teton | 2,167 | 43.55% | 2,159 | 43.39% | 327 | 6.57% | 323 | 6.49% | 8 | 0.16% | 4,976 |
| Twin Falls | 19,828 | 66.37% | 6,233 | 20.86% | 2,065 | 6.91% | 3,813 | 5.86% | 13,595 | 45.51% | 29,874 |
| Valley | 2,906 | 54.33% | 1,913 | 35.76% | 194 | 3.63% | 326 | 6.28% | 993 | 18.57% | 5,349 |
| Washington | 3,283 | 73.69% | 776 | 17.42% | 175 | 3.93% | 221 | 4.96% | 2,507 | 56.27% | 4,455 |
| Totals | 409,055 | 59.25% | 189,765 | 27.48% | 46,476 | 6.73% | 45,137 | 6.54% | 219,290 | 31.77% | 690,433 |
Swing by county
Legend
-
Democratic — +>15%
-
Democratic — +10-12.5%
-
Democratic — +7.5-10%
-
Democratic — +5-7.5%
-
Democratic — +2.5-5%
-
Democratic — +0-2.5%
-
Republican — +0-2.5%
-
Republican — +2.5-5%
-
Republican — +5-7.5%
-
Republican — +7.5-10%
-
Republican — +10-12.5%
-
Republican — +12.5-15%
-
Republican — +>15%
Results by congressional district
Trump won both congressional districts.[16]
| District | Clinton | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63.7% | 25.4% | Raúl Labrador |
| 2nd | 54.5% | 29.8% | Mike Simpson |
See also
References
- Secretary of State: Lawerence Denney. "Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results". www.sos.idaho.gov. Retrieved May 16, 2020.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
- "News". Idgop.org. Retrieved March 11, 2016.
- "Mar 08, 2016 Presidential Primary Election Results United States - by County". sos.idaho.gov. Idaho Secretary Of State. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
- Gr, The; Inquirer (March 10, 2016). "Scott Copeland wins Idaho Constitution Party primary". The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
- Gr, The; Inquirer (March 2, 2016). "Patrick Ockander drops out of Constitution Party presidential race, endorses J.R. Myers and Ted Cruz". The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
- "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Idaho
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