Opinion polling on Catalan independence

This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Catalan independence.

Polling institutions

Centre for Opinion Studies

The Centre for Opinion Studies (Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió; CEO) fell under the purview of the Economy Ministry of the Generalitat of Catalonia until early 2011. Since then it has been placed under direct control of the Presidency of the Generalitat and is currently headed by Jordi Argelaguet i Argemí. Since the second quarter of 2011, CEO has conducted polls regarding public sentiments toward independence.

Date In favor (%) Against (%) Others (%) Abstain (%) Do not know (%) Did not reply (%)
2011 2nd series[1]42.928.20.523.34.40.8
2011 3rd series[2]45.424.70.623.84.61.0
2012 1st series[3]44.624.71.024.24.60.9
2012 2nd series[4]51.121.11.021.14.71.1
2012 3rd series[5]57.020.50.614.36.21.5
2013 1st series[6]54.720.71.117.05.41.0
2013 2nd series[7]55.623.40.615.33.81.3
2014 1st seriesa ------
2014 2nd series[8]44.545.3--7.52.8
2015 1st series[9]44.148.0--6.01.8
2015 2nd series[10]42.950.0--5.81.3
2015 3rd series[11]46.747.8--3.91.7
2016 1st series[12]45.345.5--7.12.1
2016 2nd series[13]47.742.4--8.31.7
2016 3rd series[14]44.945.1--7.02.9
2017 1st series[15]44.348.5--5.61.6
2017 2nd series[16]41.149.4--7.81.7
2017 3rd series[17]48.743.6--6.51.3
2018 1st series[18]48.043.7--5.72.6
2018 2nd series[19]46.744.9--6.71.6
2019 1st series[20]48.444.1--6.71.6
2019 2nd series[21]44.048.3--5.52.1
2019 3rd series[22] 43.7 47.9 - - 6.5 1.9
2020 1st series[23] 44.9 47.1 - - 6.5 1.6
2020 2nd series[24] 42.0 50.5 - - 5.6 1.9
2020 3rd series[25] 43.6 49.0 - - 5.8 1.6

a The question was not asked in this survey; instead the two part question was asked (see below).

CEO likewise conducted polls in the 1st and 2nd series of 2014 based on the 9N independence referendum format. The questions and choices involved were:

  • Do you want Catalonia to become a State? (Yes/No)
  • If the answer for question 1 is in the affirmative: Do you want this State to be independent? (Yes/No)
Date Yes + Yes (%) Yes + No (%) No (%) Abstain (%) Others (%) Do not know/Did not reply (%)
2014 1st series[26]47.18.619.311.12.711.2
2014 2nd series[8]49.412.619.76.96.23.3

In addition, CEO performs regular polls studying opinion of Catalan citizens regarding Catalonia's political status within Spain. The following table contains the answers to the question "Which kind of political entity should Catalonia be with respect to Spain?":[27]

Date Independent state (%) Federal state within Spain (%) Autonomous community within Spain (%) Region within Spain (%) Do not know (%) Did not reply (%)
June 200513.631.340.87.06.21.1
November 200512.935.837.65.66.91.2
March 200613.933.438.28.15.11.2
July 200614.934.137.36.96.10.7
October 200614.032.938.98.35.10.8
November 200615.932.840.06.83.70.8
March 200714.535.337.06.14.92.2
July 200716.934.037.35.55.41.0
October 200718.534.235.04.76.01.5
December 200717.333.837.85.15.01.0
January 200819.436.434.83.84.11.6
May 200817.633.438.95.14.30.7
July 200816.134.737.06.15.20.9
November 200817.431.838.37.14.21.2
February 2009[28]16.135.238.64.53.62.0
May 2009[29]20.935.034.94.43.01.7
July 2009[30]19.032.236.86.24.21.6
December 2009[31]21.629.936.95.94.11.6
2010 1st series[32]19.429.538.26.94.41.6
2010 2nd series[33]21.531.235.27.34.00.7
2010 3rd series[34]24.331.033.35.44.91.0
2010 4th series[35]25.230.934.75.92.70.7
2011 1st series[36]24.531.933.25.63.51.3
2011 2nd series[1]25.533.031.85.63.40.8
2011 3rd series[2]28.230.430.35.73.91.5
2012 1st series[3]29.030.827.85.25.41.8
2012 2nd series[4]34.028.725.45.75.01.3
2012 3rd series[5]44.325.519.14.04.92.2
2013 1st series[6]46.422.420.74.44.91.2
2013 2nd series[7]47.021.222.84.63.50.9
2013 3rd series[37]48.521.318.65.44.02.2
2014 1st series[26]45.220.023.32.66.92.0
2014 2nd series[8]45.322.223.41.86.50.9
2015 1st series[9]39.126.124.03.45.32.0
2015 2nd series[10]37.624.029.34.03.91.1
2015 3rd series[11]41.122.227.43.74.21.4
2016 1st series[12]38.526.325.14.14.51.5
2016 2nd series[13]41.620.926.54.05.61.3
2016 3rd series[14]38.923.224.15.7N/AN/A
2016 4th series[38]36.129.223.64.53.43.2
2017 1st series[15]37.321.728.57.03.81.6
2017 2nd series[16]34.721.730.55.36.11.7
2017 3rd series[17]40.221.927.44.64.71.2
2018 1st series[18]40.822.424.06.34.62.0
2018 2nd series[19]38.822.425.57.84.41.1
2019 1st series[20]39.721.526.35.94.71.9
2019 2nd series[21]34.524.527.07.84.61.6
2019 3rd series[22] 36.7 21.7 28.0 5.9 5.8 1.8
2020 1st series[23] 35.5 23.9 26.8 6.5 5.5 1.7
2020 2nd series[24] 33.9 22.9 29.6 6.8 5.2 1.7
2020 3rd series[25] 34.9 22.6 28.0 6.4 6.0 2.1

Social and Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona

The Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona (Institut de Ciències Polítiques i Socials; ICPS) performed an opinion poll annually from 1989, which sometimes included a section on independence. The results are in the following table:[39]

Year Support (%) Against (%) Indifferent (%) Did not reply (%)
19913550114
19923153115
1993375095
19943549143
19953652103
19962956114
19973252115
19983255103
19993255103
20003253133
20013355111
20023452121
2003[a]4343121
2004[a]3944133
20053644156
20063348172
200731.751.314.12.9
201141.422.926.59.2

a telephonic instead of door-to-door interview

Newspaper polls

Catalan newspapers El Periódico and La Vanguardia also published surveys up to 2013.

El Periódico

Date Yes (%) No (%) Others (%)
October 2007[40]33.943.922.3
December 2009[41]39.040.620.4
June 2010[42]48.135.516.6
January 2012[43]53.632.014.4
September 2012[44]46.422.025.7
November 2012[45]50.936.912.2
November 2012[a][45]40.147.812.1
May 2013[46]57.836.06.3

a The same poll, but asking what would be the case if a yes vote would imply leaving the EU

La Vanguardia

Date Yes (%) No (%) Others (%)
November 2009[47]354619
March 2010[48]364420
May 2010[49]374122
July 2010[50]473617
September 2010[51]404515
April 2011[52]343035
September 2012[53]54.833.510.16
December 2013[54]44.94510.1

References
  1. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 2a onada 2011" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 29 June 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  2. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2011" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 25 October 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  3. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2012" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 2 March 2012. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  4. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 2a onada 2012" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 27 June 2012. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  5. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2012" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 8 November 2012. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  6. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2013" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 21 February 2013. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  7. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2013" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 20 June 2013. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  8. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2014" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 31 October 2014. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  9. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2015" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 13 March 2015. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  10. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2015" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 3 July 2015. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  11. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2015" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 13 November 2015. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  12. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2016" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 18 March 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  13. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2015" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 22 July 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  14. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2016" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 18 November 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  15. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2017" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 30 March 2017. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  16. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2017" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 21 July 2017. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  17. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2017" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 31 October 2017. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  18. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2018" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 11 May 2018. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  19. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2018" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 20 July 2018. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  20. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2019" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 5 March 2019. Retrieved 18 September 2019.
  21. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2019" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 26 July 2019. Retrieved 18 September 2019.
  22. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2019" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 20 December 2019. Retrieved 4 April 2021.
  23. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2020" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 20 March 2020. Retrieved 4 April 2021.
  24. "Political Opinion Barometer. 2nd wave 2020" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 31 July 2020. Retrieved 4 April 2021.
  25. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2020" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 20 November 2020. Retrieved 4 April 2021.
  26. "Political Opinion Barometer. 1st wave 2014" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 30 April 2014. Retrieved 9 March 2019.
  27. "Baròmetre". Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  28. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2009" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 26 February 2009. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  29. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 2a onada 2009" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 21 May 2009. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  30. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2009" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 30 July 2009. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  31. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 4a onada 2009" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 4 December 2009. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  32. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2010" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 26 February 2010. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  33. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 2a onada 2010" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 21 May 2010. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  34. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2010" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 30 July 2010. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  35. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 4a onada 2010" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 5 November 2010. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  36. "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2011" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (in Catalan). 25 February 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  37. "Political Opinion Barometer. 3rd wave 2013" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 22 November 2013. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  38. "Political Context Survey. 2016" (PDF). Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió. 29 December 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2019.
  39. "ICPS: Institut de Ciències Polítiques i Socials". Icps.es. Archived from the original on 2012-06-20. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  40. "El suport a un referèndum a Catalunya sorprèn els partits". Elperiodico.cat. 16 October 2007. Retrieved 9 March 2019.
  41. "L'independentisme avança fins a quedar-se a un punt de la majoria - Política - El Periódico". Elperiodico.cat. Archived from the original on 2012-03-04. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  42. "Quasi la meitat de Catalunya trencaria avui amb Espanya - Política - El Periódico". Elperiodico.cat. Archived from the original on 2012-03-04. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  43. "La independència guanya a les enquestes - Notícies Societat - e-notícies". Societat.e-noticies.cat. Archived from the original on 2012-03-01. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  44. "Els catalans dividits en dues meitats davant la independènci". Elperiodico.cat. Archived from the original on 2012-10-05. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  45. "El independentismo bajaría al 40% si Catalunya saliera de la Unión Europea". Elperiodico.com. 2012-11-03. Archived from the original on 2012-11-06. Retrieved 2012-11-04.
  46. "El 75% de los catalanes reclaman a Rajoy que autorice una consulta". ElPeriodico.com. 2013-06-08. Archived from the original on 2013-11-08. Retrieved 2013-06-08.
  47. "La mayoría aprueba la consulta independentista pero votaría en contra". Lavanguardia.es. 2010-01-07. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  48. "El apoyo a las consultas y el rechazo a la independencia se mantienen estables". Lavanguardia.es. 2010-03-15. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  49. "La independencia logra su mayor cota mientras cae el rechazo a la secesión". Lavanguardia.es. 2010-05-19. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  50. "CiU sigue cerca de la mayoría absoluta frente a un tripartito que no remonta". Lavanguardia.es. 2010-07-17. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  51. "El apoyo a la independencia remite y cae al 40%". Lavanguardia.es. 2010-09-07. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  52. "El 34% de los catalanes votaría sí a la independencia mientras el 30% se decantaría por el no". Lavanguardia.com. 2011-04-11. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  53. "CiU se sitúa a un paso de la mayoría absoluta". Lavanguardia.com. 2012-09-29. Retrieved 2012-09-29.
  54. "Empate entre partidarios y contrarios a la independencia". La Vanguardia. 2013-12-21. Retrieved 2013-12-23.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.