Mitt Romney's 2016 anti-Trump speech

On March 3, 2016, U.S. Republican politician Mitt Romney delivered a major speech for the Hinckley Institute of Politics at the Libby Gardner Hall in the University of Utah. In that speech, he denounced Donald Trump, who was then the front-runner in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. He urged citizens to use tactical voting in the remaining primaries and caucuses to maximize the chance of denying Trump a delegate majority.

Mitt Romney's 2016 anti-Trump speech
Part of 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
Mitt Romney speaking at the University of Utah on March 3, 2016
DateMarch 3, 2016 (2016-03-03)
Time9:30 a.m. (MST)[1]
Duration20 minutes
VenueLibby Gardner Hall, University of Utah
LocationSalt Lake City, Utah, U.S.
Coordinates40.765010°N 111.843057°W / 40.765010; -111.843057
TypeSpeech
ThemeAnti-Trumpism
Patron(s)Hinckley Institute of Politics Forum
OutcomeTrump nominated and elected
Romney later elected senator, voted to convict Trump twice in impeachment trials.
This article is part of a series about
Mitt Romney
Governor of Massachusetts
Presidential campaigns
U.S. Senator from Utah

Romney's speech represented an almost unprecedented attack by a major U.S. party's most recent presidential nominee against the party's current front-runner for the nomination. Trump dismissed the comments, criticizing Romney for his losses in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and for "working with the establishment." Two months after the speech, Trump secured the Republican Party's presidential nomination and subsequently won the general election and became the President of the United States.

Background

Romney was the Republican nominee in the 2012 United States presidential election.[2] After he lost the election to Barack Obama, he decided not to run again for president in 2016. Instead, he initially decided to play a sideline role in the election. He grew frustrated with Trump's campaign platform and his rise in popularity. In January, Romney considered doing an interview to point out Trump's flaws. Romney's former campaign advisers told him that such an attack on Trump would likely backfire, and Romney decided against it. Romney viewed Trump's apparent failure to disavow former Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke in a CNN interview as the final straw, and decided to speak out.[3]

Speech

Announcement

In a press release issued on March 2, 2016, Mitt Romney announced he would address the "state of the 2016 presidential race". The speech, scheduled to be delivered at the University of Utah's Libby Gardner Hall and hosted by the Hinckley Institute of Politics Forum[4] was described by sources with advanced knowledge of its content as a chance to criticize Trump's progress toward the Republican Party's 2016 presidential nomination.[5] Romney had initiated a targeted attack against Donald Trump via media interviews and written statements in the days preceding the speech, criticizing Trump for not releasing his tax returns and predicting "bombshells" were hidden in the documents.[6][lower-alpha 1]

The following morning, on March 3, Romney released excerpts from the planned speech to some media outlets.[7]

Speculations regarding purpose

Although Romney began the speech by expressly disavowing any intention to seek the 2016 Republican nomination himself, several media outlets theorized that the speech was intended to inject Romney back into the national discussion in an effort to introduce him as a compromise candidate during the 2016 Republican National Convention, should Trump not obtain a majority of votes on the first ballot and a contested convention result.[8][9][10] Following the speech, online betting site PredictIt saw a spike in wagers that Romney would eventually be a candidate for president, with a seven-fold increase in oddsmaking on the prospect.[11]

Content

The speech, which was delivered on March 3 several hours before a GOP presidential debate, lasted approximately twenty minutes. Romney used the address, a targeted critique of Donald Trump, to declare that the candidate's promises were "worthless", describe him as a "fraud", and claim that "he's playing the American public for suckers: he gets a free ride to the White House and all we get is a lousy hat." Romney went on to predict that Trump would be handily defeated by Hillary Clinton in the general election, should he receive the Republican nomination, and criticized Trump for calling George W. Bush a liar.[6] Romney encouraged Republicans to engage in tactical voting, by supporting whichever of the three remaining rivals – Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, or John Kasich – had the best chance to beat Trump in any given state, thus increasing the chance that Trump would be unable to gain a majority of all delegates selected.[12][13]

Romney's March 3 speech was delivered at the Gardner Hall in the University of Utah.

Historic nature

As an attack by a major U.S. party's presidential nominee against the party's front-runner for the nomination, Romney's speech had few precedents in American history.[14][15][16][17] There was also little precedent for a major party figure such as Romney urging a course of action that would lead to a contested convention.[12] The speech was considered evidence that the Republican Party had fallen into an internal schism.[17]

Jonathan Martin of The New York Times wrote, "Mitt Romney's political assault on Donald J. Trump on Thursday was so savage that historians strained to recall any precedent in American politics, with a major party's former nominee blistering his party's leading presidential candidate in such a personal and sweeping fashion."[18] Historians pointed to two instances: Theodore Roosevelt harshly criticizing William Howard Taft on a personal basis when Roosevelt split from the Republicans, and the erstwhile friends ran against each other in the 1912 U.S. presidential election, and Al Smith, the Democratic nominee in the 1928 U.S. presidential election, strongly denouncing Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt and the New Deal in a 1936 speech before the American Liberty League; Neither instance was thought to be truly comparable to Romney's denunciation of Trump.[18]

Reaction

Donald Trump
"I backed Mitt Romney. He was begging for my endorsement. I could have said 'Mitt, drop to your knees.'" Donald Trump, responding to Romney's speech[19]

Donald Trump responded to Romney's initial press release scheduling the speech by describing it, in a post to his Twitter account, as "another desperate move by the man who should have easily beaten Barrack [sic] Obama".[5] On March 3, the morning of the speech, Trump telephoned the Today Show and attacked Romney as a "stiff" who had, as a presidential candidate, "failed twice".[7]

Following the speech, Trump immediately responded with what Politico described as "withering scorn," dismissing Romney as a "choke artist." At a campaign rally in Portland, Maine, Trump told supporters, in reference to the 2012 presidential election, "I backed Mitt Romney. He was begging for my endorsement. I could have said 'Mitt, drop to your knees.' He would have dropped to his knees."[19] In messages posted to his Twitter account, Trump went on to describe Romney as a "failed candidate" who was "working with the establishment".[20] Trump continued to mock Romney's speech in late May, saying: "He walks like a penguin onto the stage. Like the penguin!"[21]

Activists and analysts
  • Former Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele questioned whether Romney's speech would have any impact at all. Commenting on Romney's 2012 presidential bid, Steele noted that "Romney lost three million Republicans, who didn't even bother to show up and vote for him because they did not support his campaign. So now to double back and to go after the very guy who has brought them back into the party ... I don't understand what they think is going to happen here."[22]
  • In an online editorial for Fox News, veteran conservative commentator Jonah Goldberg applauded Romney's speech as "lucid, morally compelling, factually and analytically correct in every way".[23]
  • Matt Schlapp, president of the American Conservative Union, reacted to Romney's speech by saying that "it's strange to see people all of a sudden become animated when they are against somebody that 40 percent of the voters, at least in the Republican primaries, seem to be standing for."[24]
  • Eric Trump, in a statement posted to social media, criticized Romney for not showing more loyalty to his father. Donald Trump had endorsed Romney during the 2012 U.S. presidential election; at the time, Romney praised Trump's business savvy.[6]
  • Roger Stone, a political strategist and Trump supporter, said after the speech that "being called a phony by Mitt Romney is like being called ugly by a frog".[12]

Elected officials
John McCain, another unsuccessful Republican presidential candidate, said he shared Romney's concerns about Donald Trump.
  • Senator John McCain released a statement following the speech in which he said "I share the concerns about Donald Trump that my friend and former Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, described."[25] McCain had been the Republican presidential nominee before Romney, in the 2008 U.S. presidential election, and his siding with Romney emphasized the unprecedented nature of the intra-party strife.[17]
  • In an interview with Katie Couric, presidential candidate Ben Carson said he did not believe Romney's speech was helpful and criticized it for being overly negative.[12][26]
  • Utah Governor Gary Herbert, who attended Romney's speech, said there was "room to criticize" Trump and that Romney "hit it out of the park".[27]
  • Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Paul Ryan, who was Romney's running mate in 2012 and who had dined with Romney prior to the speech, declined to comment on it, or Trump, afterwards, saying he sought to remain politically neutral so as not to compromise his position as chairman of the Republican National Convention.[28]

Media
  • In an analysis of the speech, Politico observed that the speech was "a stirring call to arms for a strategic-voting retreat".[25]
  • Following the speech, The Washington Post concluded that "being attacked by Romney is more likely to cement Trump's hold on the nomination than loosen his grip on it".[29]
  • Fortune opined that Romney's speech would be largely ineffective, noting that "it won't matter a lick to Trump’s supporters. If anything, the denunciation of two-time presidential election loser Mitt Romney may make them even more likely to go out and vote for Trump."[30]

Social media

On Twitter, users posted about Romney approximately 38 times per second immediately following the speech, with positive comments about Romney slightly eclipsing those for Trump.[31]

In the March 5, 2016, episode of Saturday Night Live, Jason Sudeikis made a guest appearance portraying Mitt Romney in a sketch set-up as an interview between Romney and CNN's Jake Tapper (played by Beck Bennett). In the sketch, Sudeikis' Romney entered the scene by announcing "that's right, America, I'm back. You didn't ask for it, but you've got it."[32]

Effects

Two days after the speech, Cruz showed strength in the March 5 contests, winning decisive victories in the Kansas and Maine caucuses while coming a close second to Trump in the Kentucky caucuses and Louisiana primary. Whether this could be attributed to the effect of Romney's speech was difficult to determine.[33][34] In the March 8 primaries, Trump won three states of four,[35] and subsequent primaries into April showed a mixed pattern, with some key Cruz victories being followed by just as important Trump victories.[36]

A Morning Consult poll conducted March 4–6 found that 31 percent of Republicans in fact considered themselves more likely to vote for Trump given Romney's speech, compared to only 20 percent who said they were less likely.[37] On March 8, Romney appeared as a guest on Jimmy Kimmel Live and called for Trump to drop out of the race altogether.[38]

Scattered instances of Romney's proposed tactical voting occurred after this, including suggestions by Rubio shortly before March 15 results forced his withdrawal from the race.[39] Romney announced his own instance of tactical voting on March 19 by saying he was voting for, although not endorsing, Cruz for president in the March 22 Utah caucus.[40] He said of Kasich, "I would have voted for him in Ohio. But a vote for Governor Kasich in future contests makes it extremely likely that Trumpism would prevail."[40] Cruz ended up winning the Utah contest by a very large margin.[41]

Before the New York primary, with the race Cruz, Kasich, and Trump, Romney stated that keeping the race between three people would likely give Trump the nomination on the first ballot of the convention.[42] Romney's original vision was formally fulfilled on April 24, when Cruz and Kasich announced an alliance of convenience whereby Kasich would stop campaigning for the following month's Indiana primary and Cruz would do the same for contests in Oregon and New Mexico.[43][44] As NPR wrote, "It took them nearly two months to do so, but John Kasich and Ted Cruz are finally taking Mitt Romney's advice."[43] In the May 3 Indiana primary, Trump won a majority of the vote and all of the delegates. Cruz dropped out of the presidential race that night and Kasich followed the next day, making Trump the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party.[45]

In reaction to the outcome, Romney declared that he would not support Trump, saying, "I am dismayed at where we are now, I wish we had better choices, and I keep hoping that somehow things will get better, and I just don't see an easy answer from where we are."[46] Romney also said he would not attend the Republican convention.[47]

Efforts among the Never Trump movement continued, however. In late May, pundit and publisher William Kristol said that Romney was "thinking seriously" about mounting a third-party run for the White House.[48] But Romney ruled himself out several times, although he indicated that he would support a third-party candidate and was considering Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and his running mate William Weld.[49]

See also

Notes
  1. The New York Times reported on its contents in September 2020.

References
  1. "Special Address: Mitt Romney on the 2016 Election". utah.edu. University of Utah. Archived from the original on February 24, 2017. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
  2. Rothman, Lily (March 3, 2016). "Here's What Mitt Romney Said About Donald Trump in 2012". Time.
  3. Viser, Matt (March 12, 2016). "Mitt Romney spoke out against Donald Trump after months of rising frustration". The Boston Globe. Retrieved March 15, 2016.
  4. Roche, Lisa Riley (March 3, 2016). "Romney: 'Phony' Trump playing American voters 'for suckers'". KSL. Deseret Digital Media. KSL Broadcasting. Archived from the original on September 4, 2017. Retrieved July 2, 2016.
  5. Bradner, Eric (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney to speak on 'state of the 2016 presidential race' Thursday". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  6. Jackson, David (March 3, 2016). "Romney blasts Trump as a 'fraud' Clinton would beat". USA Today. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  7. Jacobs, Peter (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney is about to smash Donald Trump in a speech for the ages". Business Insider. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  8. Sherman, Gabriel (March 3, 2016). "Romney Says He's Not a Candidate — Don't Believe Him". New York. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  9. Noel, Hans (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney suggests a path to a brokered convention". Vox.com. Vox Media. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  10. Bradner, Eric (March 3, 2016). "First on CNN: Team Romney explores blocking Trump at RNC". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  11. VanderMey, Anne (March 3, 2016). "Betting Odds That Mitt Romney's Running For President Just Spiked". Fortune Magazine. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  12. Huey-Burns, Caitlin; Berg, Rebecca (March 3, 2016). "Romney Assails Trump, But Impact Is Unclear". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  13. Holland, Steve (March 4, 2016). "Republican Romney calls Trump 'a fraud,' creates pathway to contested convention". Reuters.
  14. One precedent for this sort of criticism: Al Smith, who had been the Democratic Party's 1928 nominee, criticized and opposed the re-election bids of Franklin Roosevelt, his former ally, in 1936 and 1940. See "Al Smith", Wikipedia, December 29, 2020, retrieved January 8, 2021
  15. O'Keefe, Ed (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney slams 'phony' Trump: He's playing 'the American public for suckers'". The Washington Post.
  16. Neely, Brett; Gonyea, Don (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney Calls Donald Trump 'A Phony, A Fraud'; Trump Hits Back". NPR.
  17. Collinson, Stephen (March 5, 2016). "GOP at war with itself". CNN.
  18. Martin, Jonathan (March 3, 2016). "Republican Turmoil Has Historians Straining for Parallels". The New York Times.
  19. Collins, Eliza (March 3, 2016). "Trump punches back at 'choke artist' Romney". Politico. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  20. Furlong, Josh (March 3, 2016). "Americans React to Romney's Speech". KSL-TV. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  21. DeCosta-Klipa, Nik (May 25, 2016). "Donald Trump, who has not stopped attacking fellow Republicans, says Mitt Romney 'walks like a penguin'". The Boston Globe. Retrieved May 28, 2016.
  22. Hains, Tim (March 3, 2016). "Michael Steele Dumbfounded By Romney Speech: "I Don't Know Who They Think This Is Going To Influence"". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  23. Goldberg, Jonah (March 3, 2016). "Bravo, Mitt! Romney attacks Trump in fact-filled, morally compelling speech". FOX News. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  24. Riddell, Ken (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney's slam on Donald Trump gets mixed reaction at CPAC". The Washington Times. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  25. Goldmacher, Shane (March 3, 2016). "Romney speech shows why Trump is winning". Politico. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  26. Walsh, Michael (March 3, 2016). "Ben Carson criticizes Romney for anti-Trump speech, calls for GOP unity". Yahoo! News. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  27. Wells, David (March 3, 2016). "Gov. Herbert: 'There's room to criticize' Trump, other GOP candidates". KSTU-TV. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  28. Walsh, Deidre (March 3, 2016). "Ryan refuses to join Romney in Trump criticism". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  29. Cillizza, Chris (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney did Donald Trump a BIG favor by attacking him". Washington Post. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  30. Geier, Ben (March 3, 2016). "Mitt Romney's Withering Attack on Trump May Have Just Sealed the Republican Party's Fate". Fortune. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  31. Tennery, Amy (March 3, 2016). "Romney's anti-Trump speech ignites social media debate". Reuters. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  32. Wilstein, Matt (March 5, 2016). "'Saturday Night Live' Mocks Trump's Dick, Cruz's Booger, and Romney's Delusion". The Daily Beast. Retrieved March 5, 2016.
  33. DelReal, Jose A. (March 6, 2016). "Cruz gains steam with 2 wins on 'Super Saturday'; Trump calls on Rubio to drop out". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 30, 2016.
  34. "Cruz tightens race with Trump, Sanders makes gains at decisive moment". Hartford, Connecticut: WTIC-TV. March 6, 2016. Retrieved June 30, 2016.
  35. Jackson, David (March 9, 2016). "Donald Trump wins Michigan, Mississippi GOP primaries". USA Today. Retrieved June 30, 2016.
  36. Singer, Paul; Allen, Cooper (April 6, 2016). "Top takeaways from the Wisconsin primary". USA Today. Retrieved June 30, 2016.
  37. Slack, Donovan (March 8, 2016). "Poll: Romney helps more than hurts Trump with Republicans". USA Today. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  38. Stuart, Tessa (March 9, 2016). "Watch Mitt Romney Read Donald Trump Supporters' Mean Tweets". Rolling Stone. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
  39. Altman, Alex (March 11, 2016). "Marco Rubio Says Ohio Should Vote Kasich to Stop Trump". Time. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
  40. Schleifer, Theodore (March 19, 2016). "Mitt Romney to vote for Ted Cruz in Utah". CNN.
  41. Condon, Stephanie (March 23, 2016). "Donald Trump wins Arizona primary, Ted Cruz wins Utah, CBS News projects". CBS News. Retrieved March 28, 2016.
  42. Gregory, David (April 18, 2016). "Mitt Romney: 3-man race throws Donald Trump the nomination". CNN. Retrieved May 7, 2016.
  43. Detrow, Scott (April 25, 2016). "The Cruz-Kasich Deal: Will Their Alliance Against Trump Work?". NPR. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
  44. Maloy, Simon (April 26, 2016). "The Cruz-Kasich pseudo-alliance: The non-Trumps reluctantly enter into a weird pact filled with obstacles". Salon.
  45. Fahrenthold, David A.; Weigel, David; Rucker, Philip (May 4, 2016). "John Kasich exits the presidential race, leaving Trump as presumptive nominee". The Washington Post.
  46. Trudo, Hanna (May 6, 2016). "Romney says he won't back Trump". Politico. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
  47. Viser, Matt (May 5, 2016). "Mitt Romney RSVPs 'no' to GOP convention". The Boston Globe. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
  48. Martin, Betsy Fischer (May 26, 2016). "Bill Kristol Says He Sees Romney 'Thinking Seriously' About Third-Party Run". Bloomberg News. Retrieved May 28, 2016.
  49. Schliefer, Theodore (June 11, 2016). "Mitt Romney says Donald Trump will change America with 'trickle-down racism'". CNN. Retrieved June 25, 2016.
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