Century Initiative

The Century Initiative (originally the Laurier Project Foundation)[2] is a Canadian lobby group and charity that aims to increase Canada's population to 100 million by 2100.[3] This includes increasing the population of megaregions, which are interlocking areas with more than one city centre and a typical population of 5 million or more (e.g., the Greater Toronto Area, Greater Vancouver, and the National Capital Region).[3]

Century Initiative
Formation2009 (2009)
FounderDominic Barton and Mark Wiseman
TypeLobby group
BN 843519638 RR0001[1]
Legal statusFoundation
FocusPopulation growth, immigration
Headquarters2 St Clair Avenue East, Suite 300, Toronto, ON M4T 2T5
Area served
Canada
Key people
  • Mark Wiseman, Board Chair
  • Lisa Lalande, CEO
Websitecenturyinitiative.ca
Formerly called
Laurier Project Foundation (2009-2011)

The Century Initiative was co-founded by Mark Wiseman and Dominic Barton, who also led the Trudeau Jr. government’s Advisory Council on Economic Growth.[4][5] The Initiative is supported by former Conservative Prime Minister Brian Mulroney[6] and by influential Liberal Party advisors including advisors to former Minister of Finance Bill Morneau.[7][8] The Century Initiative has been listed on Canada's lobbyist registry since 2021 and has organized meetings with the immigration minister's office, the minister's parliamentary secretary, and Conservative and NDP members of parliament.[9]

Mission

The Century Initiative aims to increase Canada's population to 100 million by 2100;[3] its official mission statement reads:

Growing our population to 100 million by 2100 would reduce the burden on government revenues to fund health care, old age security, and other services.[10][11]

This includes increasing the population of megaregions. It suggests a population increase Greater Toronto Area from 8.8 to 33.5 million, the Greater Montreal region from 4.4 to 12.2 million, the Calgary-Edmonton Corridor from 2.8 to 15.5 million, the Greater Vancouver region from 3.3 to 11.9 million, the National Capital Region from 1.4 to 4.8 million, the Southwestern Ontario region from 1.2 to 2 million, and the Winnipeg Metropolitan Region from 800,000 to 1.7 million.[3]

The organization intends to reach its population goal through a massive increase in immigration and by investing in economic development around megaregions.[3][12]

Century Initiative forecasts predict that, without changes to Canadian immigration policy, the population of Canada will increase to 53 million people by the end of the century.[12]

Board Members

In 2023, the 8 official leaders of the Century Initiative group were:[13]

Name Position Profile
Lisa Lalande Chair of the Board of Directors
Willa Black Member of the Board of Directors
  • Director of Lobbying for Cisco Canada
  • Ranked in 2025 as one of the 30 most powerful women in Canada.
Mark D. Wiseman Member of the Board of Directors
Goldy Hyder Member of the Board of Directors
Marie-Lucie Morin Member of the Board of Directors
  • Former diplomat
  • Member of the Board of Directors of Sun Life
  • Member of the Board of Directors of Chorus Aviation
  • Member of the Board of Directors of AGT Food
Murad Al-Katib Member of the Board of Directors
Ratna Omidvar Member of the Board of Directors
  • Senator from Ontario since 2016
  • Originally from India, she lived in Iran until the Islamic Revolution
Thomas V. Milroy Member of the Board of Directors
  • International Financier
  • Former CEO of BMO Capital Markets
  • Heads the family office of one of Canada's wealthiest family

History

Laurier Project

The Century Initiative was founded in late-2009 as the Laurier Project Foundation by Mark Wiseman and Dominic Barton, who was the head of McKinsey & Company at the time, along with other "prominent Canadians."[15][2]

Initially, large-scale population expansion and immigration was not the stated goal of the project; rather, the project aimed to bring "Canada to a position of global leadership through the development and implementation of a major initiative that:[15]

  • "Successfully convenes Canadian leaders in the public, social, and private sectors to work collaboratively in its achievement;"
  • "Catalyzes action to nurture and advance Canada’s strengths as a nation by leveraging best practices, scholarly research, and building on the work of active partners on the ground;" and
  • "Develops a roadmap for success to drive transformative impact over the long-term."

The foundation based its aspiration on adapting the titular former Prime Minister Wilfrid Laurier’s dream that, "The 20th Century will be the Century of Canada" (c.1904) into the 21st century. Their goal was to define and drive impact through a project for the 21st Century,[15]

a project that would define the nation, like the national railway or Confederation itself had defined the country in the 19th Century. Success for this project would be measured by Canadians in the year 2100 saying that the project had helped define the country and had a positive impact on its development in the 21st Century.

With this, the foundation's four areas of exploration were: The Arctic, Smart Nation, Virtuous Energy, and "A Genius for Getting Along."[15]

Many prominent Canadians served on the Laurier Project's board or were advisors to the project, such as Chrystia Freeland, David Naylor, and Nadir Mohamed.

Century Initiative

In 2011, the project shifted to population expansion,[16] and was later rebranded and reorganized as the Century Initiative.

In March 2021, The Globe and Mail hosted a virtual event in partnership with the Century Initiative examining key indicators of the Century Initiative’s progress towards growing Canada’s population to 100 million by the year 2100.[17][18]

The Century Initiative has also been written about by columnists including Andrew Coyne,[19] Terence Corcoran,[20] and Doug Saunders, who subsequently authored the book Maximum Canada: Why 35 Million Canadians Are Not Enough.[21]

Controversies and critiques

McKinsey & Company involvement

Multiple founders and affiliates of the organization have been employed by McKinsey & Company, a multinational consulting firm.[15] Due to this, the Century Initiative has been connected to a scandal over McKinsey consulting expenses by Justin Trudeau's government, in which whistleblowers have highlighted McKinsey's large and growing influence over Canadian immigration policy.[9][22][23][24][25]

Dominic Barton, co-founded Century Initiative when he was the head of McKinsey & Company.[15] Barton also served as the Trudeau government’s ambassador to China from 2019 to 2021, and left the position during the embroiling national security issue.[26]

Aleema Jamal, the inaugural executive director of the foundation, was also previously employed by McKinsey.[15]

In 2016, four of the organization's five volunteers were employed by McKinsey.[15] Also that year, one third of the initiative's manpower was employed or formerly employed by McKinsey & Company.[15]

As of January 2023, the Century Initiative has a current McKinsey executive on its board of executives.[9]

Connections to BlackRock

The Century Initiative Board of Directors is chaired by co-founder Mark Wiseman, who was the Global Head of Active Equities of BlackRock and ran Blackrock's Alternative Investment division at the time that the Initiative was founded.[27][28] BlackRock owns $35 billion in real estate and it could possibly benefit from a real-estate bubble.[29]

BlackRock's Alternative Investment division includes the firm's international real estate investment portfolio[30] and is reported to be actively purchasing single family homes.[31] The Century Initiative's other co-founder, Dominic Barton, is married to Geraldine Buckingham, BlackRock's Asia Pacific chief, which has previously generated conflict-of-interest concerns.[32]

Connections to the Chinese Communist Party

Co-founder Dominic Barton also has strong ties to the People's Republic of China. He formerly lived in Shanghai and Beijing for extended periods. Barton has had many dealings with both authoritarian and kleptocratic regimes.[33]

Rejection by French Canada

The ideology of pro-expansive immigration is mostly rejected in French Canada, due to concerns that this amount of immigration can likely cause the disappearance of the French language in North America and the assimilation of its francophones.[34] Some critics argue that the Century Initiative is pushed to permanently get rid of francophones, as Quebec's separate language and culture is thought to be "problematic" for the federal government and English Canada.[35] Quebec's premier François Legault is officially opposed to this plan and stated that "it constitutes a threat to Quebec."[36] The Parti Québécois party is opposed to the plan as well.[37][38]

Strain on Canada's cost-of-living and infrastructure

Some critics argue that the organization's ideology is pushed by this lobby solely to benefit the economic interests of some wealthy groups and does not improve the life of the average Canadian citizen.[34] Moreover, such critics might also believe that increasing Canada's population growth rate will put pressure on infrastructure, housing, and the medical system.[39]

Mega-regions

The Century Initiative envisions Canada in the year 2100 as a nation of "mega-regions," which it defines as interlocking areas with more than one city centre and a typical population of 5 million or more.[3]

Mega-region 2016 population (million) 2100 population goal (million) Population change
Greater Vancouver 3.3 11.9 +261%
Calgary–Edmonton 2.8 15.5 +454%
Winnipeg Metro 0.8 1.7 +113%
SW Ontario 1.2 2.0 +67%
Greater Toronto 8.8 33.5 +281%
Greater Montreal 4.4 12.2 +177%
National Capital 1.4 4.8 +242%

See also

References

  1. "Who We Are". www.centuryinitiative.ca.
  2. "Century Initiative / Initiative du Siecle | Canada Corporation Directory". www.canadacompanyregistry.com. Retrieved 2023-05-14.
  3. "CI report" (PDF). uploads-ssl.webflow.com. Retrieved 2021-05-09.
  4. "Dominic Barton - Co-Founder & Former Board Member".
  5. "Advisory Council on Economic Growth".
  6. Ibbitson, John (31 March 2021). "It's time for Canada to focus on expanding our population". The Globe and Mail.
  7. "Influential Liberal advisers want Canadian population to triple by 2100". Global News.
  8. "Finance Minister's key advisers want 100M Canadians by 2100". Toronto Star. 23 October 2016.
  9. "The value of one consulting firm's federal contracts has skyrocketed under the Trudeau government". Retrieved 2023-01-10.
  10. Hopper, Tristin (2023-01-06). "Is an 'opaque' U.S. consultancy behind Canada's dramatic spike in immigration?". National Post.
  11. "Why 100M". www.centuryinitiative.ca. Retrieved 2023-02-25.
  12. ""UNMASKING THE FUTURE 2021 Environmental Scan"" (PDF). Retrieved 2021-08-19.
  13. "Our Team". www.centuryinitiative.ca. Retrieved 21 May 2023.
  14. "Canada's political leaders". Financial Times.
  15. "Brief History of the Laurier Project". The Century Iniatitive. Retrieved 28 March 2023.
  16. Blatchford, Andy. "Influential Liberal advisers want Canadian population to triple by 2100". The Canadian Press. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  17. "Supporting a growing Canadian population". The Globe and Mail. 8 April 2021.
  18. "Century Initiative and The Globe and Mail present People and Prosperity: Planning for Canadian Growth". www.centuryinitiative.ca.
  19. "Andrew Coyne: Increased immigration is good for Canada — and the reasons aren't only economic".
  20. "Terence Corcoran: 100 million Canadians? We could only hope".
  21. "Maximum Canada by Doug Saunders: 9780735273108 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books".
  22. "Influence de la firme McKinsey : l'opposition à Ottawa veut une enquête". Retrieved 2023-01-10.
  23. "Poilievre calls for parliamentary probe of Liberals' relationship with McKinsey consulting firm". Retrieved 2023-01-10.
  24. "Conservative leader calls for probe into federal contracts awarded to McKinsey". Toronto Star. 10 January 2023. Retrieved 2023-01-10.
  25. "Conservative leader calls for probe into federal contracts awarded to McKinsey". Retrieved 2023-01-10.
  26. "Canadian ambassador to China Dominic Barton resigns after two contentious years". National Post. 2021-12-06.
  27. "Canada needs to get to 100 million people by 2100: BlackRock's Wiseman". 21 August 2022.
  28. "Mark Wiseman leaving BlackRock after failing to disclose 'consensual relationship' with colleague".
  29. Lee, Evelyn. "BlackRock Real Estate makes more senior leadership changes". PERE. PEI Group. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  30. "Alternative Investments".
  31. "If You Sell a House These Days, the Buyer Might be a Pension Fund". Wall Street Journal. 4 April 2021.
  32. <url=https://www.thestar.com/vancouver/2019/09/18/canadas-new-ambassador-to-china-was-already-facing-questions-for-his-business-ties-his-marriage-is-raising-more.html%7Ctitle =Canada’s new ambassador to China was already facing questions for his business ties. His marriage is raising more|accessed=19 August 2022>
  33. Yakabuski, Konrad. "McKinsey still can't shake Dominic Barton's reign of error". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved 3 March 2023.
  34. St-Pierre, Guillaume. "Le Québec pris au piège par Ottawa". Le Journal de Montréal. Retrieved 2023-05-06.
  35. Bombardier, Denise. "100 millions de Canadiens: on achève bien les Québécois..." Le Journal de Québec. Retrieved 2023-05-06.
  36. Bergeron, Patrice (9 May 2023). "100 millions d'habitants en 2100: L'Initiative du siècle est une menace pour le Québec, dit Legault". La Presse (in Canadian French). Retrieved 10 May 2023.
  37. https://montrealgazette.com/news/quebec/quebec-alone-will-determine-its-immigration-levels-premier-legault-says
  38. https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/plan-to-boost-canada-s-population-through-immigration-threatens-quebec-premier-says-1.6391514
  39. Fox, Chris. "Ontario's population could grow by more than six million over the next two decades. Will we have the infrastructure to accommodate the boom?". CP24.com. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
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