Blaenau Gwent (Senedd constituency)

Blaenau Gwent is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales East electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Not to be confused with Blaenau Gwent (UK Parliament constituency).

Blaenau Gwent
Senedd county constituency
for the Senedd
Blaenau Gwent shown as one of the 40
Senedd constituencies
Current Senedd county constituency
Created1999
PartyWelsh Labour
Member of the SeneddAlun Davies
Electoral regionSouth Wales East

Boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Blaenau Gwent Westminster constituency.

The other seven constituencies of the South Wales East electoral region are Caerphilly, Islwyn, Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney, Monmouth, Newport East, Newport West and Torfaen.

History

This seat has had large changes in percentages and swing. Labour have had large majorities but following the By-election in 2006 Blaenau Gwent People's Voice gained the seat, with the previous incumbent Peter Law's wife Trish Law taking the seat and holding it in the 2007 National Assembly for Wales election. The party did not stand in the 2011 election and Labour regained the seat with a very large majority. However, in the 2016 election this was slashed with Plaid Cymru increasing their vote from 5.4% to 36.6%. Blaenau Gwent People's Voice won the seat in the 2006 by-election and the 2007 election.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and Members of the Senedd
ElectionMemberParty
1999 Peter Law Welsh Labour and Co-operative
2005 Independent
2006 by-election Trish Law Blaenau Gwent People's Voice
2011 Alun Davies Welsh Labour and Co-operative

Elections

Elections in the 2020s
2021 Senedd election: Blaenau Gwent[1]
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[2]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Alun Davies[lower-alpha 1] 10,226 49.1 +9.4 9,983 48.2 +9.4
Plaid Cymru Peredur Owen Griffiths 3,588 17.2 -19.4 3,849 18.6 -12.9
Conservative Edward Dawson 2,611 12.5 +6.2 2,905 14.0 +8.6
Independent Mandy Moore 2,376 11.4 New
Abolish Richard Taylor 1,364 6.6 New 1,457 7.0 +3.2
Liberal Democrats Paula Yates 333 1.6 +0.2 419 2.0 +0.5
Reform UK Robert Beavis 319 1.5 New 277 1.3 New
Green 653 3.2 +1.6
UKIP 480 2.3 -13.5
Gwlad 282 1.4 New
No More Lockdowns 181 0.9 New
Propel 118 0.6 New
Communist 75 0.4 +0.2
TUSC 44 0.2 -0.2
Majority 6,638 31.9 +28.8
Turnout 20,817 40.31[3] -1.8
Labour hold Swing
Notes
  1. Incumbent member for this constituency

Regional Ballot void votes: 165. Want of an Official Mark (0), Voting for more than ONE party or individual candidate (50), Writing or mark by which the Voter could be identified (0), Unmarked or Void for uncertainty (115)

Elections in the 2010s
Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Constituency[4] Regional[5]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Alun Davies 8,442 39.7 -24.3 8,260 38.8 -23.9
Plaid Cymru Nigel Copner 7,792 36.6 +31.2 6,716 31.5 +22.2
UKIP Kevin Boucher 3,423 16.1 New 3,373 15.8 +10.8
Conservative Tracey West 1,334 6.3 +1.0 1,158 5.4 -1.6
Liberal Democrats Brendan D'Cruz 300 1.4 -0.4 328 1.5 -1.7
Abolish 820 3.8 New
Green 344 1.6 -0.6
Monster Raving Loony 104 0.5 New
TUSC 81 0.4 New
National Front 64 0.3 New
Communist 51 0.2 -0.1
Majority 650 3.1 -42.0
Turnout 21,291 42.1 +3.3
Labour Co-op hold Swing -28.0
Welsh Assembly Election 2011:Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Constituency[6] Regional[7]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Alun Davies 12,926 64.0 +32.7 12,567 62.7 +18.9
Independent Jayne Sullivan 3,806 18.8 New
Plaid Cymru Darren Jones 1,098 5.4 +0.6 1,869 9.3 -4.0
Conservative Bob Hayward 1,066 5.3 +1.2 1,404 7.0 +0.2
BNP Brian Urch 948 4.7 New 980 4.9 -0.8
Liberal Democrats Martin Blakebrough 367 1.8 -3.9 641 3.2 -5.2
UKIP 1,009 5.0 -1.3
Socialist Labour 683 3.4 +0.8
Green 440 2.2 -0.1
Welsh Christian 292 1.5 -0.9
English Democrat 89 0.4 New
Communist 58 0.3 ±0.0
Majority 9,120 45.1 N/A
Turnout 20,211 37.8 -6.7
Labour Co-op gain from Blaenau Gwent PV Swing

Regional ballots rejected at the count: 171[8]

Elections in the 2000s
Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[9]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Blaenau Gwent PV Trish Law 12,722 54.1 N/A
Labour Keren Bender 7,365 31.3 -38.9 10,141 43.8 -17.1
Liberal Democrats Gareth Lewis 1,351 5.7 -5.2 1,933 8.4 -2.2
Plaid Cymru Natasha Asghar 1,129 4.8 -4.8 3,080 13.3 +2.0
Conservative Bob Hayward 951 4.0 -1.7 1,584 6.8 +0.3
Independent - Colin Hobbs 1,680 7.3 New
UKIP 1,462 6.3 +3.4
BNP 1,313 5.7 +3.8
Socialist Labour 608 2.6 +0.2
Welsh Christian Party 590 2.6 New
Green 526 2.3 -0.1
English Democrat 79 0.3 New
Communist 77 0.3 New
CPA 54 0.2 New
Majority 5,357 22.8 N/A
Turnout 23,518 44.5 +6.7
Blaenau Gwent PV gain from Labour Co-op Swing +46.5
By-election 2006: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Blaenau Gwent PV Trish Law 13,785 50.3 New
Labour John Hopkins 9,321 34.0 -36.2
Liberal Democrats Stephen Bard 2,054 7.5 -3.4
Plaid Cymru John Price 1,109 4.0 -5.6
Conservative Jonathan Burns 816 3.0 -2.7
Green John Matthews 302 1.1 New
Majority 4,464 16.3 N/A
Turnout 27,387 49.6 +12.2
Blaenau Gwent PV gain from Labour Co-op Swing +43.3
Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[10]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Peter Law[lower-alpha 1] 13,884 70.2 +8.4 12,003 60.9 +8.4
Liberal Democrats Stephen Bard 2,184 10.9 -0.5 2,087 10.6 -0.6
Plaid Cymru Rhys Ab Ellis 1,889 9.6 -11.5 2,219 11.3 -12.8
Conservative Barrie O'Keefe 1,131 5.7 +0.1 1,273 6.5 +0.8
UKIP Roger Thomas 719 3.6 New 573 2.9 New
Green 480 2.4 +0.6
Socialist Labour 469 2.4 -1.2
BNP 379 1.9 New
Cymru Annibynnol 161 0.3 New
ProLife Alliance 61 0.3 New
Majority 11,736 59.3 +18.6
Turnout 20,022 37.8 -10.6
Labour Co-op hold Swing +4.5
  1. Incumbent member for this constituency

2003 Electorate: 52,927
Regional ballots rejected: 300

Elections in the 1990s
Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Blaenau Gwent
Party Candidate Constituency Regional [11]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Peter Law 16,069 61.8 N/A 13,714 52.5 N/A
Plaid Cymru Phil Williams 5,501 21.1 N/A 6,289 24.1 N/A
Liberal Democrats Keith Rogers 2,980 11.4 N/A 2,931 11.2 N/A
Conservative David Thomas 1,444 5.6 N/A 1,475 5.7 N/A
Socialist Labour 928 3.6 N/A
Green 463 1.8 N/A
Others 300 1.1 N/A
Majority 10,568 40.7
Turnout 25,994 48.2
Labour Co-op win (new seat)

References
  1. Archived 18 April 2021 at the Wayback Machine Blaenau Gwent Statement of Persons Nominated
  2. "2021 Regional declaration" (PDF). Blaenau Gwent. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
  3. Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
  4. "Wales elections > Blaenau Gwent". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
  5. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
  6. "Wales elections > Blaenau Gwent". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
  7. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 25 October 2021.
  8. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
  9. "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
  10. The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
  11. "Vote 99 Wales (Time Stub 27:54)". YouTube. BBC News. Retrieved 11 August 2022.

51.777°N 3.195°W / 51.777; -3.195

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