2021 Lisbon local election

The 2021 Lisbon local election was held on 26 September 2021 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council.

2021 Lisbon local elections
26 September 2021
All 17 Councillors in the Lisbon City Council
9 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout51.0% Decrease 0.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Carlos Moedas Web Summit 2021 - Opening night.jpg
(Fernando Medina) Web Summit 2018 - Media PMM 9339 (30136649707) (cropped).jpg
João Ferreira (48951288883) (cropped).jpg
Leader Carlos Moedas Fernando Medina João Ferreira
Party PSD PS PCP
Alliance New Times[lower-alpha 1] More Lisbon[lower-alpha 2] CDU
Last election 6 seats, 31.8%[lower-alpha 3] 8 seats, 42.0% 2 seats, 9.5%
Seats won 7 7 2
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 1 Steady
Popular vote 83,185 80,907 25,550
Percentage 34.3% 33.3% 10.5%
Swing Increase 2.5 pp Decrease 8.7 pp Increase 1.0 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Beatriz Gomes Dias (Comício Lisboa, Capitólio, Set.2021).jpg
Nuno Graciano (Maluco Beleza, 2018).png
Bruno Horta Soares.jpg
Leader Beatriz Gomes Dias Nuno Graciano Bruno Horta Soares
Party BE CH IL
Last election 1 seat, 7.1% Did not contest Did not contest
Seats won 1 0 0
Seat change Steady New party New party
Popular vote 15,057 10,730 10,213
Percentage 6.2% 4.4% 4.2%
Swing Decrease 0.9 pp New party New party
Mayor before election

Fernando Medina
PS

 Elected Mayor

Carlos Moedas
PSD

In what was the biggest surprise of the 2021 municipal elections, Carlos Moedas, the candidate of the center-right coalition led by the Social Democratic Party, managed to be elected Mayor of Lisbon and put an end to 14 years of Socialist rule.[1] Against all expectations, the center-right coalition managed to regain the capital by winning 34.3% of the votes and 7 councilors.[2] Despite his victory, Carlos Moedas will have to seek understandings with the other parties represented in the City Council.

The big loser in this election was Fernando Medina, candidate of the Socialist Party (which ran in alliance with LIVRE), as he lost his reelection bid, an office he had hold since 2015 and which had been in Socialist hands since 2007. Unexpectedly, the Socialists lost almost 10% of the votes, compared with the previous election, with Medina labeling the defeat as "personal".[3]

The Unitary Democratic Coalition presented former MEP João Ferreira again and achieved positive results, registering a slight electoral growth to 10.5%, the best result for CDU since 2005, and that guaranteed two Communist councilors.[4] The Left Bloc, which now supported Beatriz Gomes Dias as a candidate for mayor, managed to keep their sole seat in the municipal council, despite having registered a slight drop in votes.[5]

People-Animals-Nature, CHEGA, and Liberal Initiative failed to elect any councilor.

Background

In the 2017 election, the Socialist Party led by Fernando Medina, won with a comfortable advantage over the opposition parties, although losing its absolute majority. The center-right wing alliance led by Assunção Cristas' CDS - Peoples Party obtained a historic result for the chamber, surpassing 20% of the votes and electing 4 councilors. The Social Democratic Party, which had Teresa Leal Coelho as its candidate, had its worst result in history in Lisbon, finishing in third place, with just over 11% of the votes and 2 councilors, a far cry from the Socialists and Christian Democrats (CDS).

Finally, the Unitary Democratic Coalition obtained 9.6%, winning 2 councilors and the Left Bloc obtained its best municipal result in the capital, managing to conquer 1 councilor with 7.1% and entering in a coalition with the Socialists.

Electoral system

Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.[6]

Parties and candidates
Party/Coalition Political
position		 Candidate[7] 2017 result
Votes (%) Seats
ML More Lisbon
Mais Lisboa PS, LIVRE		 Centre-left Fernando Medina 42.0%
8 / 17
NT New Times
Novos Tempos PSD, CDS–PP, A, MPT, PPM		 Centre-right Carlos Moedas 31.8%
6 / 17
CDU Unitary Democratic Coalition
Coligação Democrática Unitária PCP, PEV		 Left-wing
to far-left		 João Ferreira 9.5%
2 / 17
BE Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda		 Left-wing
to far-left		 Beatriz Gomes Dias 7.1%
1 / 17
PAN People Animals Nature
Pessoas-Animais-Natureza		 Centre-left Manuela Gonzaga 3.0%
0 / 17
NC We, the Citizens!
Nós, os Cidadãos!		 Centre-right Sofia Afonso Ferreira 0.6%
0 / 17
E Rise Up[lower-alpha 4]
Ergue-te		 Far-right José Patrocínio 0.5%
0 / 17
PDR Democratic Republican Party
Partido Democrático Republicano		 Centre Bruno Fialho 0.3%
0 / 17
IL Liberal Initiative
Iniciativa Liberal		 Centre-right
to right-wing		 Bruno Horta Soares — —
CH Enough!
Chega!		 Right-wing
to far-right		 Nuno Graciano — —
VP Volt Portugal
Volt Portugal		 Centre
to centre-left		 Tiago Matos Gomes — —
STL We are all Lisbon
Somos todos Lisboa		 Centre Ossanda Liber — —

Campaign period

Party slogans
Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
ML « Mais Lisboa » "More Lisbon" [8]
NT « Novos Tempos »
« Lisboa pode ser muito mais do que imaginas »		 "New Times"
"Lisbon can be much more than you think"		 [9]
CDU « Por uma Lisboa com vida » "For a Lisbon with life" [10]
BE « Uma cidade em comum » "A city in common" [11]
PAN « Lisboa nas tuas mãos » "Lisbon in your hands " [12]
IL « 1 vereador liberal faz toda a diferença » "1 liberal councillor makes all the difference" [13]
CH « Chega. Lisboa sem Corrupção » "Enough. Lisbon without corruption" [14]

Candidates' debates
2021 Lisbon local election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present    A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee 
ML
Medina		 NT
Moedas		 CDU
Ferreira		 BE
Dias		 PAN
Gonzaga		 IL
Soares		 CH
Graciano		 NC
S. Ferreira		 NC
Patrocínio		 PDR
Fialho		 VP
Gomes		 STL
Liber		 Refs
2 Sep 2021 SIC Notícias Clara de Sousa P P P P P P P N N N N N [15]
7 Sep 2021 TVI, TVI24 Sara Pinto P P N N N N N N N N N N [16]
9 Sep 2021 Antena 1 Natália Carvalho P P P P P P P P P P P P [17]
15 Sep 2021 RTP1, RTP3 António José Teixeira P P P P P P P P P P P P [18]

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Polling

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS
L		 PSD
CDS
PPM
MPT
A		 CDU BE PAN IL CH O Lead
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021 — 33.3
7		 34.3
7		 10.5
2		 6.2
1		 2.7
0		 4.2
0		 4.4
0		 4.4
0		 1.0
CESOP–UCP 26 Sep 2021 4,146 31–35
6/8		 32–36
6/8		 10–13
1/2		 5–7
1		 2–4
0		 3–5
0/1		 3–5
0/1		 2–9
0		 1
ICS/ISCTE 26 Sep 2021 8,159 31.3–
36.3
6/8		 30.2–
35.2
6/8		 10.4–
13.4
2/3		 5.7–
8.7
1/2		 1.8–
3.8
0		 3.2–
6.2
0/1		 2.4–
5.4
0/1		 1.6–
4.6
0		 1.1
Pitagórica 26 Sep 2021 6,206 32.6–
38.6
7		 29.3–
35.3
6/7		 6.6–
12.6
2		 4.2–
8.2
1		 1.0–
5.0
0		 3.3–
7.3
0/1		 1.9–
5.9
0		 2.1–
6.1
0		 3.3–
3.7
Intercampus 26 Sep 2021 6,406 32.0–
36.4
6/8		 31.2–
35.6
6/8		 10.1–
13.7
1/3		 5.5–
8.5
0/2		 1.6–
4.6
0/1		 2.9–
5.9
0/1		 1.6–
4.6
0/1		 2.5–
3.3
0		 0.8
Pitagórica
Seat projection		 15–21 Sep 2021 600 40.6
8/9		 33.1
6/7		 7.6
1		 4.7
0/1		 3.2
0		 3.2
0		 2.1
0		 5.5
0		 7.5
CESOP–UCP
Seat projection		 16–20 Sep 2021 1,292 37
7/8		 28
5/6		 11
1/2		 7
1		 3
0		 5
0/1		 3
0		 6
0		 9
Pitagórica
Seat projection		 30 Aug–4 Sep 2021 600 39.8
8/9		 32.6
6/7		 8.5
1		 6.8
1		 3.8
0		 3.0
0		 2.8
0		 2.7
0		 7.2
Intercampus
Seat projection		 25–30 Aug 2021 642 45.2
9		 27.0
5		 9.7
2		 8.5
1		 1.8
0		 2.1
0		 3.2
0		 2.5
0		 18.2
Eurosondagem
Seat projection		 23–26 Aug 2021 2,225 38.6
8		 26.9
4		 7.7
0/2		 6.3
0/2		 3.3
0/1		 6.3
0/2		 4.8
0/2		 6.1
0		 11.7
Aximage 14–21 Aug 2021 792 51 27 9 4 2 2 2 3 24
ICS/ISCTE 3–18 Jul 2021 803 42 31 6 8 3 2 4 4 11
Intercampus 8–13 Apr 2021 611 46.6 25.7 7.1 6.6 0.5 2.3 6.1 5.1 20.9
2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 — 42.0
8		 31.8
6[lower-alpha 3]		 9.6
2		 7.1
1		 3.0
0		 — — 6.5 10.2

Results

Municipal Council
Summary of the 26 September 2021 Lisbon City Council elections results
Parties Votes % ±pp swing Councillors
Total ±
PSD / CDS–PP / Alliance / MPT / PPM 83,18534.27Increase2.57Increase1
Socialist / LIVRE 80,90733.33Decrease8.77Decrease1
Unitary Democratic Coalition 25,55010.53Increase1.02Steady0
Left Bloc 15,0576.20Decrease0.91Steady0
CHEGA 10,7304.42—0—
Liberal Initiative 10,2134.21—0—
People–Animals–Nature 6,6252.73Decrease0.30Steady0
Volt Portugal 1,0160.42—0—
We are all Lisbon (STL) 8640.36—0—
We, the Citizens! 4940.20Decrease0.40Steady0
Rise Up 3380.14Decrease0.40Steady0
Democratic Republican 3190.13Decrease0.20Steady0
Total valid 235,298 96.93 Increase1.1 17 Steady0
Blank ballots 4,8231.99Decrease0.6
Invalid ballots 2,6221.08Decrease0.4
Total 242,743 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 476,05050.99Decrease0.1
Source: Lisbon 2021 election results

Municipal Assembly
Summary of the 26 September 2021 Lisbon Municipal Assembly elections
results
Parties Votes % ±pp swing Seats
Total ±
PSD / CDS–PP / Alliance / MPT / PPM 75,61631.15Decrease0.917Steady0
Socialist / LIVRE 74,76530.80Decrease6.917Decrease5
Unitary Democratic Coalition 26,89011.08Increase0.96Steady0
Left Bloc 18,5287.63Decrease0.84Steady0
Liberal Initiative 14,4475.95—3—
CHEGA 13,0045.36—3—
People–Animals–Nature 8,5733.53Decrease0.81Decrease1
Volt Portugal 1,4010.58—0—
We are all Lisbon (STL) 1,0690.44—0—
Rise Up 4380.18Decrease0.40Steady0
Total valid 234,731 96.70 Increase1.1 51 Steady0
Blank ballots 5,3372.20Decrease0.7
Invalid ballots 2,6711.10Decrease0.4
Total 242,739 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 476,74050.92Decrease0.2
Source: Lisbon 2021 election results

Parish Assemblies
Results of the 26 September 2021 Lisbon Parish Assembly elections
Parish%S%S%S%S%S%S%S%S Total
S
ML NT CDU BE IL CH PAN IND
Ajuda 51.5 8 15.9 2 13.6 2 6.5 1 3.6 - 5.5 - 13
Alcântara 53.7 8 18.8 3 9.3 1 5.3 - 6.2 1 3.8 - 13
Alvalade 28.6 6 33.2 7 8.6 2 6.4 1 6.4 1 4.2 1 5.0 1 19
Areeiro 25.9 4 42.6 7 7.7 1 5.8 - 7.0 1 4.6 - 3.4 - 13
Arroios 23.8 5 29.0 6 12.5 3 10.7 2 5.5 1 4.2 1 5.4 1 3.6 - 19
Avenidas Novas 26.8 5 43.0 9 6.9 1 5.8 1 9.1 2 4.8 1 19
Beato 39.5 6 18.2 3 13.0 2 9.4 1 2.5 - 7.5 1 5.8 - 13
Belém 24.2 4 46.4 7 6.6 1 4.0 - 8.6 1 4.8 - 2.6 - 13
Benfica 45.6 10 23.7 5 8.9 2 6.5 1 3.8 - 5.0 1 3.3 - 19
Campo de Ourique 34.3 5 34.0 5 8.8 1 7.5 1 6.4 1 4.8 - 13
Campolide 38.9 6 25.7 4 9.0 1 6.8 1 6.8 1 5.5 - 3.7 - 13
Carnide 18.2 3 20.1 3 45.5 7 3.3 - 3.5 - 3.8 - 2.1 - 13
Estrela 23.7 3 47.8 8 7.1 1 5.6 - 7.3 1 5.3 - 13
Lumiar 27.1 6 41.3 9 8.7 1 5.2 1 6.6 1 4.6 1 3.2 - 19
Marvila 48.5 11 13.7 3 11.7 2 6.9 1 2.4 - 9.2 2 2.4 - 19
Misericórdia 33.1 6 27.4 4 12.3 2 10.6 1 5.1 - 4.5 - 4.0 - 13
Olivais 34.7 8 24.9 5 13.8 3 8.0 1 3.4 - 6.8 1 4.5 1 19
Parque das Nações 34.4 5 35.8 6 7.4 1 4.2 - 8.0 1 4.4 - 2.8 - 13
Penha de França 37.0 8 20.6 4 13.5 3 11.2 2 3.8 - 5.3 1 4.5 1 19
Santa Clara 36.2 6 22.0 3 12.4 2 6.4 1 3.8 - 11.2 1 13
Santa Maria Maior 45.0 8 16.4 2 14.3 2 7.7 1 3.6 - 4.2 - 3.3 - 1.4 - 13
Santo António 23.6 3 44.6 7 8.1 1 7.4 1 6.7 1 3.4 - 3.4 - 13
São Domingos de Benfica 32.8 7 35.3 8 8.6 2 6.1 1 5.8 1 4.2 - 3.8 - 19
São Vicente 28.7 5 19.4 3 22.9 3 11.6 2 5.0 - 3.5 - 4.3 - 13
Total 33.3 146 30.5 123 11.5 47 6.8 21 5.5 14 5.2 11 2.8 3 0.7 1 366
Source: Election Results

References
  1. Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país". Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  2. Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens". CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  3. Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "Fernando Medina assume derrota "pessoal e intransmissível" em Lisboa". Fernando Medina assume derrota "pessoal e intransmissível" em Lisboa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  4. Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "João Ferreira destaca crescimento da CDU em Lisboa". João Ferreira destaca crescimento da CDU em Lisboa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  5. "Um mau resultado, os assim-assim e um líder que segurou o partido". www.dn.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  6. "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  7. "Autarquicas 2021 Candidatos" (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-03-03.
  8. "IMG_6722". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  9. "O BOM REVERSO DA MEDALHA – COMEÇAM A CHEGAR". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  10. "Ephemera Facebook". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  11. "Ephemera Facebook". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  12. "Twitter Manuela Gonzaga". Manuela Gonzaga (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  13. "ELEIÇÕES AUTÁRQUICAS DE 2021 – LISBOA – FREGUESIAS – IL". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  14. "Facebbok CHEGA-Lisboa". CHEGA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
  15. "Debate autárquico. A luta política entre os sete candidatos a Lisboa". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 3 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
  16. "O debate entre Medina e Moedas na íntegra". TVI24 (in Portuguese). 7 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
  17. "Debate com todos os candidatos à Câmara de Lisboa". RTP (in Portuguese). 9 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
  18. "Eleições Autárquicas 2021 - Debates Episódio 22 - de 15 Set 2021 - RTP Play - RTP". RTP (in Portuguese). 15 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.

Notes
  1. Coalition with PSD, CDS–PP, Alliance, MPT and PPM.
  2. Coalition between the PS and LIVRE.
  3. Sum of the PSD and CDS separate results in 2017.
  4. In July 2020, the National Renovator Party (PNR) changed its name to Rise Up (E).
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